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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:06

Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!!

Love Is A Battenfield

1:06

Who is the better pickup/stream for Friday: Gore vs the Astros or Flaherty vs the Twins?

Paul Sporer

1:07

Flaherty for me, HOU is still good vL as their offense isn't the main culprit behind their slow start

Günter

1:07

Is it time to move on from Colt Keith? Just another prospect that experts missed on?

Paul Sporer

1:07

Stopppp, it's been 2 weeks...

1:08

Like he might be cuttable in a shallower format bc he was probably drafted pretty late, but suggesting he's a miss already after 62 PA is wild

Dan G

1:08

I know all about overreacting early but there are some brutal starts to the season. Abreu, Kepler, Hendricks, to a lesser extent Goldy and Julio. Which ones have you concluded are likely done?

Paul Sporer

1:10

Goldy and Julio don't belong on such a list. Just nowhere near worried about them. Abreu lookin rough w/the Ks way up and BBs even lower than his normal low output, plus age-37... that said, he's a chronic slow starter w/.737 OPS in April and .800+ in every other month so I might stick w/him a bit longer. That said, it's league size dependent and who you're picking up matters, too. Kepler is 5 gms and Hendricks was always living on a thin margin and now as he gets older, the downside is just way too big to mess with him as far as I'm concerned

Ragans to Riches

1:11

Is Kopech must roster in a 12 team 5x5 H2H league? Would you drop Alvarado or Yates for him? I have Iglesias, and Sewald on IL.

Paul Sporer

1:11

I'd rather just keep Alvarado/Yates... they're on markedly better teams and even as partial closers, they're going to get more opps than Kopech being in Chicago

Handsome

1:11

Nelson Velasquez o/u 28 HRs?

Paul Sporer

1:16

If he gets 600+ PAs, I think he gets there and he's played all but 2 games so I'll take the over and say 30 on the button!

1:16

I know it's early...but in a shallow 8 team roto with minimal bench, are we moving on from Tanner Scott?

Paul Sporer

1:16

8 teamers gotta be more aggressive so yes I can get behind that. Scott wasn't great in spring and hasn't shown anything to be all that positive about so far in the season

Winker, Taylor, Soler, Spy

1:16

Would you start Leiter against our lowly Tigers tomorrow in a 12 teamer?

Paul Sporer

1:17

I'll probably give him 2 x's on the chart which means you can def run him in 12s. Tigers make a lottttttaaa guys playable and he's looked wonderful so far this season

Back-Up OF

1:17

5x5 cats 12-team. I added Jordan Walker on the wire to replace Seiya. I think he'll turn it around but he's losing PT in his slump. Drop Walker for Varsho/Eloy/Jung Ho Lee/Fraley?

Paul Sporer

1:23

I love Fraley, but he had 4 lefties in the 5-6 gms so now's not the best time to scoop him. While I do love Walker, I might rock Eloy or Lee in a 12-teamer. Lee if you need some AVG, Eloy if you're wanting the power

Ranger Suarez

1:23

Am I breaking out? I don't seem to be doing anything new but I'm on fire

Paul Sporer

1:27

Well his BB rate has been cut in half, but it's mostly just a hot streak and he's a very nice Team Streamer. So I'm still sitting him v. teams like ATL/LAD, but I'm not cutting him when he's not in the lineup

Anon

1:27

Hey, Paul! Thank you for all the great work. 13-team roto redraft league w/ OPS I came out of the draft light at 1B with Vaughn, Cronenworth, and Donovan. I traded Donovan for Pasquantino and have picked up France and Kiriloff to see if either pan out. I am now being offered Paredes for Westburg. All the projection systems say do it, but the icy coldness of Paredes’ statcast page gives me second thoughts. I know Westberg will likely not sustain at this level, but it seems this is in the range of outcomes. If/when he falls back to earth, I suspect there will be some danger of losing playing time, and this trade will seem even more obvious. Can you please gift me with your golden advice? Follow up, in a vacuum please choose the odd man out: Kiriloff Buxton Vaughn France Cortes Thanks so much!

Paul Sporer

1:33

Paredes still has 5 HRs and solid plate skills so I'd rather him than Westburg. I love the Donovan/Pasquatch move you made, too! Of that group, I think Vaughn is my odd man out. Even if he does get the bat going, the output just isn't that great and it's certainly not enhanced in that lineup

1:33

Nico Hoerner is top 20 in OBP...but just 2 steal attempts. Is Counsell not letting him run? Does he have any roto value if he's not stealing bases?

Paul Sporer

1:39

Yeah, he's not just a rabbit, he brings AVG & R, too, though the R output is dinged by batting lower in the order. But yes, he has value even if he's not running, though admittedly that value takes a significant hit. Cubs are dead last in SBs with just 2 so hard not to think this is a Counsell thing and not just a Hoerner thing. The Brewers ran well above avg in his tenure there so I wonder if this is just a blip or a change in approach based on the team. https://www.baseball-reference.com/managers/counscr01.shtml -- Nothing actionable w/Hoerner right now as we just gotta wait it out a good bit longer to see what's up and hope that Counsell lifts the perceived red light

Guest

1:39

Tork, Greene, Keith … do the Tigers have a problem preparing their hitting prospects for the majors, or is this just how it goes sometimes with 21-22 y.o. rookies? (or a little of both?) what are your thoughts on Keith's ROS projections right now?

Paul Sporer

1:41

More the latter, if anything, and I wouldn't include Greene w/the other 2. He's been a plus bat as a big leaguer. Tork has been up and down w/the rough debut season, slow start last yr and then blazing summer before another slow start this year. And Keith has 2 weeks of PA.

Idiotic Failson

1:41

I know we're still in the SSS portion of the season, but is Goldy cooked? I came into my fantasy year with Nathaniel Lowe and Goldy at 1B. I have Goldy for $20 in Ottoneu, but I'm toying with the idea of cutting him for an alternative.

Paul Sporer

1:43

You answered your question in that first sentence. It's just too early to declare him cooked. I look at the .268 BABIP and 7% HR/FB and think a large portion of the blame lies there after .327/15% last yr and .346/19% for his career

Guest

1:43

Too rash to be done with Rodon in 12T with QS and K/BB if he does anything less than dominate Oakland? I almost cut loose last night before seeing his next opponent

Paul Sporer

1:44

You can bench him if he doesn't pop off v. OAK, but it'd be entirely too rash to cut him Carlos Rodón 5 starts into the season

1:44

Pts league with 50 move limit for whole season. Relievers are only valuable if they get saves. Drop Munoz or T Scott for Alzolay, or wait for Skenes (have first waiver priority)?

Paul Sporer

1:44

If you need the SVs badly, I like Scott for Alzolay

chris

1:44

is flaherty actually worth considering over someone like morton?

Paul Sporer

1:45

Yeah, I'd prefer Flaherty. Morton can snake more Ws w/mediocre and even some bad outings bc he's on ATL, but Flaherty is the better pitcher on a per-inning basis and I'd rather bet on the skills. (And much younger age)

Guest

1:45

The daily starter chart is really helpful!

Paul Sporer

1:47

Thanks so much! Do y'all like the new commentary bits I've been doing atop the chart? And how crucial are the one-liners? I'm not going to stop doing them, but some nights I skip if it's running late and I just wonder if that really takes away from the piece or not. The one-liners will get better as the samples grow, too. I can dig in for some useful statistical tidbits once guys have 8-10 starts

paulie eff

1:47

With plate discipline being questionable, why would the Pirates keep batting Oneil 1st? Would he be suited better for the #6 spot? While I love having the extra PA from a leadoff guy, when 4 of the 5 PA's end in K's...not as much.

Paul Sporer

1:52

(sorry letting the pups out)

1:54

But yeah obviously at 40% K, it's untenable to keep running him up there at the 1 spot, but they have to believe he will improve there and then it just comes down to getting one of your best guys more PA which I can get behind. I'd probably go Reynolds/Suwinski/Ke'Breezy/Tellez/Cruz myself, but I'm not toooo mad about them sticking w/Cruz atop the lineup for now

1:55

Is Paul Blackburn performance for real?

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