JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

2:10

Hey yall! Gonna be a little tight on time, so let's get started

Minty

2:10

Would you rather trade Puig+ to get Dozier or deLeon+?

Paul Sporer

2:11

DeLeon+. I still believe in Puig so I'd rather move the pitching prospect

Jason

2:11

Austin Hedges have all star ceiling with the bat? 15/20 home runs?

Paul Sporer

2:12

Eek, I don't think so. His best-case scenario if going Yadi Molina and sucking at the dish for years, but getting so many reps bc of defense that he learns to hit. That's SUPER BEST CASE.

Jake

2:12

What should we expect out of Max Kepler's sophomore season?

Paul Sporer

2:13

22-10-.265 or so

Jason

2:13

What kinda numbers could Blake Swihart put up if given 500+ at bats?

Paul Sporer

2:14

Fantasy baseball jumped off that train quickly, but he's still just 25. I could see .275-18-8 in that kind of PT

Jason

2:14

Does Eric Hosmer ever put it all together and break out hitting .300 with 30 home runs?

Paul Sporer

2:15

That seems lofty at this point, he hasn't popped .300 since '13 as the added pwr seems to be coming at the cost of his AVG

Eric

2:17

Do you have any NL sleepers or guys you are targeting?

Paul Sporer

2:18

Andrew Toles, Kyle Barraclough, Addison Reed (though his price will rise when Familia gets his suspension), Tom Murphy (despite being a fake player... inside joke from podcast)

Jason

2:18

Jon Gray or Alex Reyes and why?

Paul Sporer

2:19

Gray. He's further along and while Coors is always a hurdle, I think he's showing that he has a plan to adapt there and survive

Sulzer

2:19

Side A gets Lackey and Chris Davis, side B gets Belt and Quintana. Points league. Thoughts? Thanks!

Paul Sporer

2:20

Side B. Lackey just keeps going, but he's 38 and I just don't want to be holding that hot potato. I'm so over Chris Davis, I can't time him at all. And unless he's hitting .260+, his power just isn't special after last year's HR surge

Kyle

2:20

Does Cashner have any chance at a rebound in Texas this year?

Paul Sporer

2:20

Sure, there's always a chance, but it's low. I'd say 20% tops.

JoeyReno

2:24

How high do you have Cotton ranked? Who are some of his neighbors on your list?

Paul Sporer

2:27

Top 70 right now. That's very preliminary, he's someone I really like, but I need to dive further before I boost him too much. Other guys around him include Finnegan, Conley, and Eickhoff

and teammate Manaea

Sulzer

2:28

Any comps for Brock Stewart in 2017? Beyond?

Paul Sporer

2:29

Eno has hinted at some Stewart love http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/the-change-mid-week-pitching-streamers/ - I don't have any comps right now, but strong 3 pitch mix with added velo and some swing-and-miss looks appealing. That LAD rotation is very shaky health-wise so I think he'll get a chance

Moltar

2:29

A lot of my keeper options don't seem to have a lot of separation in my mind. For a 12tm h2h points, which 2 out of G Sanchez, Bregman, Dahl, Fulmer, and Stroman do you like? All are at or near the minimum keeper salary, and pitchers go for well more at auction than hitters do. Thanks!

Paul Sporer

2:33

I think I go Sanchez and Dahl. You're right about the relative proximity, but it was still a kind of easy decision for me between them even with the factors you mention re: pitching prices

Jack law

2:34

20 team, keep 12. 9 solid bats. Going to keep Arrieta and 2 or 3 of Liriano, Smyly, and Pineda? Thoughts?

Paul Sporer

2:37

Oh man, those are some infuriating arms. I think I'd Liriano and... ughhhhhh, Pineda. While I'm fully skeptical that Pineda will live up to his gaudy base skills, I can't really justify Smyly over him as he Smyly doesn't really do anything better than Pineda

Otis Redding

2:39

What can we expect from Keon Broxton? Can he cut down on K% and improve AVG?

Paul Sporer

2:40

It seems unlikely that he will drastically cut it barring a complete overhaul of his approach bc he's always had a large swing-and-miss contingent to his game. That said, he could still go 15-40 which would be enough to overcome a .245 AVG

Zigs

2:41

Would you rather have a $40 Donaldson in Ottoneu or would you rather combo J Turner and Healy for a combined $5?

Paul Sporer

2:41

I think I'd rather take combo. I know it's usually best to go for most star power, but Turner is really good and I love Healy. The savings are just too much to pass

Doug

2:41

Please rank the following long term: J. De Leon, R. Lopez, J. Cotton, R. Gsellman

Paul Sporer

2:42

Cotton, Lopez, De Leon, Gsellman

Will

2:42

Can Jon Gray overcome Coors field to the tune of 3.50ERA and 200ks a year?

Paul Sporer

2:42

Yes, that's definitely in play IMO. Might linger around 4.00 at home, but then low-3.00s on the road to make up for it.

keeper thoughts

2:43

Paul - I need some help with my keepers and am wondering what order you'd put these guys in. Any additional thoughts would be great as well. Machado, Yelich, Bregman, Braun, Stanton, Sano, W Myers, J Upton, R Hill, J Urias. Need to keep only 6. THANKS!

Paul Sporer

2:45

Machado, Yelly, Braun, Myers, Stanton (Sano is a lesser Stanton right now so I can't really justify him), and J Up ... can't justify the arms w/these bats available. I could get behind Bregman over Upton if you wanted some youth, but I like 35-10 from J Up and I think he'll hit closer to .260 in '17 after finishing strong

2:45

Will Trea Turner end up as a top-3 SS by the end of 2017?

Paul Sporer

2:46

It's very possible. I ranked him 2 at 2B. SS has some depth for sure, but his incredible speed could certainly carry him to that height

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