JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:04

Helllooooo everyone thanks for coming out!!

Fletch

1:04

Sporer - Buy low on Adolis?

Paul Sporer

1:04

LOL for sure :)

Ryan

1:04

Any concerns about the regression seen in Mitch Keller’s recent starts?

Paul Sporer

1:06

Not really, no. Yesterday's was the only one that was bad. The trips to SF & SEA weren't great w/10 ER in 12 IP, but he also had 16 Ks and 3 BB. He was never going to hold a 2.44 ERA, so this is some natural regression, I'm still fully in on him

Keith

1:06

Is it time to give up on Rafael Montero in a holds league?

Paul Sporer

1:07

Yeah I'm fine w/that

Farhandrew Zaidman

1:07

There's no way the Orioles fixed Aaron Hicks just like that, right....?

Paul Sporer

1:10

We probablyyyyy need more than 18 PA. If the plate skills hold anywhere near a 1:1 BB/K (currently at 1.5), I could see him being a plus hitter, but I'm far from declaring that

Bullet Joe

1:10

any hope for a shane bieber revival?

Paul Sporer

1:12

Not unless the Ks rise. He needs to at least be at last year's 25% mark... 16% just won't work. I'm still holding, but I'm certainly more nervous than I was to start the season

Dave

1:12

Just acquired Alek Manoah on the cheap in a 12-team, keep-5 dynasty league with one minor league roster slot. How long would you give him to work things out in the minors before using that roster spot for a true "prospect"?

Paul Sporer

1:12

I'd at least see it through for a couple months

Scott TINSTAAPP

1:12

Fun game, go to your live standings and see if you can find the person who started Roansy! It's not hard! Do you think he could get sent down? With VV hurt not sure who would take over

Paul Sporer

1:14

OK, that was pretty easy... is that you in my league???

1:15

BTW, 10th isn't great, but I was in 15th for the first 6 weeks or so, so I'm pretty happy to have grinding up to 10th. It'll be another while to get to those folks in the 70s, but I gotta keep pushin'!

Dee's Nutz

1:15

Thoughts on AJ Smith-Shawver and what's realistic for him going forward?

Paul Sporer

1:19

It'd be unfair to him to put any sort of Strider comps out there and as Justin pointed out on the pod yesterday, he doesn't have 2 amazingggg pitches like Strider, but I do think he could be something on the fantasy landscape if they commit to him in the rotation. I'm down for a speculative pickup!

Less-neski

1:22

Still holding out hope for a useful H. Wesneski ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:24

A little... I tried to pick him up this weekend since he was cut in so many spots, but he's a matchups play at best right now. Just not missing bats like we saw last yr or in spring. I really liked him coming into the year, but 2+ months in he is far from a must-hold in any format. At his cost, there was always risk he wouldn't pan out and unfortunately, he's looking like a flop for the breakout

Matt Damon

1:25

MATT. DAMON.

Paul Sporer

1:25

Datt. Mamon!

Guest

1:25

Move on from yennier cano in sv/hld?

Paul Sporer

1:25

He was always going to regress some. I'm not sure you have to move on in that I don't think he's going to fall apart, but I'm all for hot-handing RPs in a SV/HD league so I won't say he's must-hold

Farhandrew Zaidman

1:26

There's gotta be like 8 teams on the waiver wire ready to take a shot at fixing Plesac, right?

Paul Sporer

1:26

At leeeeaaasssttt. I'm not even a fan of his, but he's an easy pickup for SEVERAL teams, including my own Tigers. Even if he can eat some innings at a 4.75ish ERA, that's valuable in the bigs

1:28

And while his ERA is nowhere near that right now (7.59), his 4.65 SIERA is still in line w/his career levels

seth r

1:28

Meneses for Seiya Suzuki, which side do you prefer?

Paul Sporer

1:28

Suzuki for sure

Mac

1:28

Do you see Rodon as a top 25 pitcher once he returns?

Paul Sporer

1:31

Yes, I'd say so. Might need a start or three to ramp up, but he's an ace and I'll be viewing him as such upon his return

Swing and a miss

1:32

Any signs that Gunnar Henderson will turn his season around and end up going top 50 in 2024 drafts?

Paul Sporer

1:33

Signs? No. Is it possible? Sure, but at a very low probability. It would take SUCH a strong run rest of season to that so even w/good signs in his profile, I'd still be skeptical on rallying to Top 50

Bacon, Eggs and

1:33

Is Manaea just toast at this point?

Paul Sporer

1:34

For fantasy purposes, he isn't rosterable in any format really.

Jax

1:34

EDLC to the moon?

Paul Sporer

1:36

Certainly possible which is why he's a pickup in all formats. Definitely a high risk/high reward situation and I've been invoking the name Oneil Cruz to express EDLC's (Elly De La Cruz for those unaware) volatility. The power/speed is so good for fantasy that you have to take the gamble of his modest plate skills (I'm not sure I buy the BB% jump in AAA this yr yet as he might've been pitched around a bunch given how hot he was prior to the call up)

Dave

1:36

Kelenic will be a top ____ OF going forward

Paul Sporer

1:37

1:40

Plate skills are now back in line w/2022 and it's a near-200 pt BABIP jump aiding his breakout. Now, he had a .167 BABIP last yr which is of course insanely low, but he might have to hold a mid-.300s mark (.363 currently) to outrun his K issues. He may still make me wrong by season's end, but this is why I don't take Ls in April. After a 982 OPS in April, he's at 682 in his last 128 PA and that still includes a .358 BABIP

Load More Messages

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Paul Sporer hosts a chat