JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:05

Hey y'all, thanks for coming out!

Greg

1:05

What are your thoughts on Garrett Whitlock ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:06

I'm still a huge fan. Got sunk by the 32-pitch first inning yesterday, but there's still a lot to like and I hope they commit to him as an SP

Tony

1:06

Are you holding onto Tork in a redraft?

Paul Sporer

1:08

If I can. But in shallow leagues, I'm OK cutting. I do think he'll have a summer heater, but he isn't a must-hold at all costs in shallower formats

Guest

1:08

Hey Paul, hope you are well! How come Felix Bautista isn't the closer in Baltimore? The dude breaks Eno's Stuff+/Pitching+ model and looks every bit to be an absolute beast if he was given the chance

Paul Sporer

1:08

How nasty is he??? Jorge Lopez is pretty nasty, too, though and maybe they prefer Bautista in the fireman's role instead?

Jim Leyland Palmer

1:08

Do you think Kyle Lewis will be viable in 10 teamers when he comes back? Different type of players, but more impactful than say, Laurano for that format (5x5)?

Paul Sporer

1:09

Laureano's speed is probably more valuable between the two. I like Lewis and think he has mixed league viability instantly because of his upside, but I prefer Laureano

John

1:09

Justin Turner and Nelson Cruz. Are we worried about these two?

Paul Sporer

1:10

A bit, yes. I think both are 10-team cuttable. Keep an eye on guys you cut in 10 teamers and don't be afraid to go back if they heat up, but you don't always have to hold through the fire

Guest

1:10

Is Barlow or Staumont going to grab the KC closers role? Or will this remain a timeshare?

Paul Sporer

1:10

Timeshare

Guest

1:10

Can M.Lorenzen become an Sp3 or 2? or his he stuck in the 4/5 range

Paul Sporer

1:10

He has the swinging strikes to generate more Ks and if he does, he can definitely jump a level

Curious

1:10

Hope for Durran (OF) to make an impact this year? What's his upside, if he does get a quick -ish callback?

Paul Sporer

1:11

If they move on from Bradley, yes, but they love JBJ!

Joe

1:11

Is Merrifield droppable in 10 team leagues? He's been atrocious.

Paul Sporer

1:11

He has been, but I'm holding. Virtually everything under the hood remains intact outside of a sub-.200 BABIP. He does have more flyballs than usual, but that's fixable. Unless the FB% holds, I think he rebounds so I've been holding.

Cody

1:12

Chapman for TOR has been back to his struggles in K’s. Would you stick with him or roll with Bohm or Miranda ROS? OBP league

Paul Sporer

1:12

I'm fine with moving him for either. Still too many Ks which makes him a major all or nothing

Andre

1:13

thoughts on Paul Blackburn? Is he a new pitcher? Drop someone like Sonny Gray for him?

Paul Sporer

1:14

Velo is up, secondaries working well with 5-pt boost in SwStr%, and his walk rate is down to 3%. The ERA will absolutely rise from the 1.74 mark, but I think he can be a 3.60-4.20 ERA kind of guy the rest of the way.

Zac

1:14

Is this Taylor Ward breakout real? or do the Angels go back to platooning OFers

Paul Sporer

1:17

I think he's a plus hitter. The near 1:1 K:BB ratio likely won't hold (21 Ks, 19 BB), but there is plenty of wiggle room for those numbers to regree and Ward to remain a strong contributor. They full believe in him, too, batting him 1st regularly (missed the last 2 gms due to injury). When healthy, he is going to play and I think he's going to be an all-formats contributor.

Guest

1:17

Do you think K Hayes has any power coming? The quality seems to be there it’s just the launch angle is terrible.

Paul Sporer

1:17

Eventually, but I'm not really betting on it this year

Guest

1:17

15 team, redraft standard categories. Lamonte Wade or Ozuna ? Thanks

Paul Sporer

1:18

I'd lean Wade.

Fair Weather Fan

1:18

Should I drop Meadows for Marsh despite Marsh's lineup position/platoon risk? Will the Tigers score more runs when it warms up in Detroit? Hard to ignore the Angels have scored twice as many runs. I want some shares in that offense.

Paul Sporer

1:20

I understand wanting Marsh, but I don't think I'd cut Meadows. His power will come and he's been great outside of that. It might be wishful thinking as a Tigers fan, but this offense feels like it has to regress to the mean somewhat. Candy and Schoop seem to be heating up. Meadows, Baez, Grossman. They shouldn't be this bad!

Daily Changes

1:20

Who should I start in LF: Schwarber vs Gilbert in SEA or Lowe vs Ohtani in LA ... ? ! ? !

Paul Sporer

1:20

Schwarber

Larry

1:21

Are you buying anything into the hot start for Rowdy Tellez? Could he be a 1B starter in a 12-team league?

Paul Sporer

1:21

I am. He is a breakout pick of mine this year so I'm fully dialed in on him. I don't even think he really needs to be platooned, either

Guest

1:21

re: Felix Bautista - Eno's Stuff+ model has him as #1 in Stuff+ at a 147 (two ahead of 'Stache Strider at 145). He has 11 appearances and 187 pitches thus far. You may be right about the fireman role. He's perfect for that as well it seems. Here he is striking out Wander with a nasty changeup: https://www.mlb.com/orioles/video/felix-bautista-k-s-wander-franco

Paul Sporer

1:25

Baltimore pitching is coming, y'all. This isn't the Arrieta/Matusz/Tillman era or even the Bundy/Harvey/Scott era. Bradish and Wells have some real juice and Zimmermann can be a solid backend arm. Bautista looks sick. Lopez is much better with 98+ mph sinkers. It's a slow drip, but it's comin'! Grayson Rodriguez & DL Hall are their big prospects on the horizon, too.

Pablo

1:25

Do you think NFBC should/will move to OBP instead of AVG? It sucks seeing my P get dinged for walks (WHIP) but hitters get no credit for them.

Paul Sporer

1:27

I hear ya, but I doubt it. OBP funnels back toward the power profile that is already so prevalent in fantasy w/HR/RBI/R (and even AVG as a HR is of course a hit). AVG helps give a different player class fantasy value. The BB would add a dynamic to some players, but not really any don't already hold value elsewhere. I don't mind OBP leagues, but I'm not as strident about them these days.

Bruce on the Loose

1:27

Rank Strider, Rasmussen, Meyer for ros H2H

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