JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer

1:47

Hello everyone!! Happy New Year!

I'm getting my lunch together and made a mess, sorry for the delay lol

James

1:47

Paul! Long time no chat (for me, at least). Where would you rank Gallo among OFs in a league where AVG is replaced by OBP?

Paul Sporer

1:51

I've got him mid-30s right now and I'd probably jump him 10-12 spots in OBP leagues

1:57

I've got Gilbert highest by a good bit. Unquestioned spot unlike Houck and not coming off a substantial injury that ended his season early unlike Sandoval. It's a great trio so I'm interested in rostering any of the 3, but Gilbert is the choice if it's just 1 pick: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/paul-sporers-2022-sp-rankings/

1:57

Houck, Sandoval or Gilbert for 2022? Explain

Paul Sporer

1:57

Should probably put the question I'm answering FIRST! I've had a few weeks off for chats, so I'm rusty!!!

Yuniesky Betancourt

1:58

Who does MLB: The Show do the dirtiest? Someone who is much better in real life than in the game?

Paul Sporer

2:01

Hmmm that's a great question. I can think of the inverse instantly as both Mike Zunino and Joey Gallo are GODSSSS in the game while not playing quite as well IRL (though big Z had an excellent season in '21). On the other end, hmmm... and we're only talking Live Series cards here bc specialty cards usually make up for these shortcomings... I think my pick is Emmanuel Clase. His live card doesn't fully capture his amazingness.

Hale

2:01

are you as terrified to draft Louis Robert as I am, healthy he is worth the price. If not its a disaster, am I crazy for being scared of him?

Paul Sporer

2:07

I can understand some concern paying a top 20 pick for someone with 124 MLB gms under his belt, but the skills profile is so rich for fantasy. As someone who hasn't been afraid to pay up for Mondesi and Buxton over the years, I can get behind taking the shot on Robert

Guest

2:07

Why is Sewald going so low amongst closers? He had the job at the end of the year and was very good too? Is the disconnect SEA signing more bullpen help, or lack of track record?
He had the 2nd highest K% among relivers with 60+ IP in 2021

Paul Sporer

2:08

Wasn't Steck mostly closing down the stretch. I think he's being seen as the guy coming into '22 which is why Sewald isn't going all that high

2:10

Which SP do you think has the highest floor, or is most likely to finish as an SP1? Including health risks.

Paul Sporer

2:10

if I'm picking *most* likely to finish #1, it'd be Cole or Buehler

2:11

and then if we get word on deGrom's health being ready to roll, he jumps back to the top

Datt Mamon

2:11

Keibert Ruiz - viable fantasy C for 2022?

Paul Sporer

2:12

Absolutely! He's widely regarded in the market so far, going at 8th C off the board (ADP of pick 153).

Sean

2:13

Is it crazy to think India will be better than Albies next year?

Paul Sporer

2:14

Not crazy at all. I'm an Albies guy through and through, but they are close enough to prefer India if you like him better

BBall

2:14

When are the ATC projections coming out?

Paul Sporer

2:14

Would have to check w/Ariel on that!

Lloyd

2:14

Paul, 15 teamer, keeper round in parenthesis, please pick 5.
Sandy Alcantara (4)
Schwarber (7)
J. Montgomery (8)
Ray (15)
Rodon (15)
Severino (15)
Votto (15)
Teoscar (16)
Jorge Polanco (20)
Many thanks!

Paul Sporer

2:16

Polanco, Teoscar, Ray, Votto (does one up go up to 14 if you keep two 15s?), and even though he's essentially full price, I'll take Alcantara as the 5th. You're getting so much plus value on the other four that I think you can afford to just take the best player w/the 5th pick

Broken Bat

2:16

heard your pod regarding Houck. The splits between first half and Second half show real,growth. Former first rounder and huge. He will be top 45 starters in 2022 IMO. Easy to pass Hill and Wacha. His stuff (slider led) is makings of Of an Ace. Regret placing him 70ish?

Paul Sporer

2:20

No no, I don't regret it. I'm big on Houck. The main reason he is down there is uncertainty regarding his workload. I think his upside is top 45 SPs, but I can't slot him there to start the year

Greg

2:20

Who would you be surprised most at winning a Cy Young in 2022: Webb, Snell, or Rogers?

Paul Sporer

2:22

Just based on their recent work, it'd have to be Snell even though he has 1 under his belt. All 3 have the talent to contend for the award, though

Bob Villar

2:22

Anthony Rendon or Christian Yelich in a 5x5 OBP based league?

Paul Sporer

2:26

Rendon for me. Both have some health concerns, but Rendon hasn't really seen the skills fall off that Yelich has

Retirees

2:26

Buster Posey and Kyle Seager are the rare retirees who were still fantasy relevant. We were trying to remember who else retired on a roster in our 10-teamer over the last decade and came up with Big Papi. Can you remember anyone else who retired rosterable in shallow leagues?

Paul Sporer

2:28

It was kind of a forced retirement, but Jermaine Dye jumps out. His 2009 was a drop from his big 2008, but he was still a good hitter that had 27 HR, 81 RBI, and 78 R. Even at 36, it was still shocking he couldn't land anywhere!

Richie

2:28

Hey Paul. Is Bellinger someone you'd be targeting in keep forever 5x5 leagues? Would you rather have him or Matt Olson? Thanks!

Paul Sporer

2:32

Bellinger is OF-only so it's an OF v. 1B and a price debate. Belly is about 60 picks cheaper so do we think the discount is enough to buyback. I think I'd still prefer the more expensive Olson. Not to fence sit (Olson is the pick if you just want my one choice over the other), but I'd be open to rostering both

James

2:32

If you had to handicap Akil Baddoo's chances of putting together a 20/20 season, what would they be?

Paul Sporer

2:36

Like a % chance? Let's say with a PA qualifier otherwise it's a little too broad. If he reaches 550+ PA, I'd give him like a 60-65% chance of getting there. I reeeaaaallly liked his development in-season last year and think there is a bright future ahead!

Jacob Hernandez

2:36

Who do you think finds more success next year and over the next three years: Meadows or Verdugo?

Paul Sporer

2:42

I like Verdugo by a little. Strong plate skills build that strong AVG foundation while Meadows' profile isn't super hard to replicate elsewhere in the draft. Plus, Verdugo could see his pwr grow in the coming years and become even better

2:42

If McCullers looks healthy in spring training, where would he move up to on your SP rankings?

Paul Sporer

2:45

Maybe a handful of spots, but it won't be a substantial move. Love the talent, but the health has been a persistent issue and he's coming off injury so even if healthy in spring, I'm still penciling him for 130-140 IP max given his history

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