You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
MLBTR Chat with Nicklaus Gaut
powered byJotCast
Nicklaus Gaut
11:00
Hello, friends
11:01
It's appx 1 million degrees here -- let's get going so I can distract myself
Gray and Robertson question
11:01
Hi Nicklaus! I have Jon Gray and David Robertson. What are their chances of being useful for saves and/or holds for ROS?
Nicklaus Gaut
11:02
Robertson is the better add imo, even if he's not ready yet
Role isn't clear but it'll be high leverage and will come with K's
11:03
I'm still not convinced a high-leverage role is in Gray's future, or if he's just keeping warm in case Rocker/Leiter falter
Buhlake
11:03
Jon Gray was great in his season debut but the Rangers have a surplus of pitchers. What are the chances that he gets traded and what would Texas get?
Nicklaus Gaut
11:03
See above -- but also, I'm not sure what kind of value the Rangers could expect to get out of him
AL Pitching Question
11:04
10 team AL-only 5X5 Wins, K's, WHIP, ERA, Sv.
AL only 10 team 5x5: Wins, WHIP, K's, ERA, Sv:  Skubal, Gilbert, Castillo, Hader, Clase the core 5.  Rest of staff (includes 3 reserve slots):  Walter, Cameron, Cecconi, Boyle, Springs, Lopez, Perkins.  Best 2 on waiver wire are Sears or Rocker.  Feel least confident in Springs/Lopez.  Question 1: if you were to cut a pitcher whom would you cut?  Question 2: at the moment K's is tightest category, would you start Lopez later this week @ Houson?
Nicklaus Gaut
11:04
Like what you have better than Sears/Rocker
I'd feel least confident in Springs
11:05
If you're locked in on K's, Lopez v. Houston is a reasonable stream
White Sox MI
11:05
AL only between Colson Montgomery and Brooks Baldwin for middle infield who would you roster for rest of season value?  Low on FAAB so need to pick one and hope.  Thanks.
Nicklaus Gaut
11:05
Gimme Monty
JoeSweet
11:06
How many more innings will the Mariners allow Brain Woo to pitch this season?  At present he is a few innings short of his previous high
Nicklaus Gaut
11:07
Shouldn't have any restrictions, I wouldn't think. He's approaching his major league high but also had 14 IP in the minors, for a total of 135 IP
11:08
I'd say he still makes 8/9 starts and ~50 IP
buffy, the umpire slayer
11:08
Thanks for the Nerdy League comment at the close of you last Chat.
Nicklaus Gaut
11:08
Ya!
buffy, the umpire slayer
11:08
I am finding that RoS projections are in many aspects unhelpful (being kind). Both Zips and Steamer have what they refer to as UPDATED versions which are almost overly impacted by YTD results. Looking at my only pitching stat ERA, I seems the all sites pretty much disregard bullpen arms that do not get saves. In my AL-only league, each team carries anywhere from 4-6 of these pitchers. Is looking exclusively at the most recent 60 & 30 days results a reasonable approach? April and May seem like ancient history in late July. We can only add about once a month in a standings-based draft and our next to last replacement draft is the Sunday after the MLB trade deadline. Your thoughts.
Nicklaus Gaut
11:09
Yeah, to get "true" value for non-save RPs, I'd pay much more attention (almost exclusively) to more recent results.
11:10
Role/usage for these types just massively swings value
Barbarossa
11:10
Long time grievance; relatively rare occurrence these days, but do you know the reason why a starting pitcher going 8 or 9 innings and allowing 4 earned runs is not a quality start? 8 innings and 4 earned is the same 4.50 ERA that a 6 inning, 3 earned run start renders. Has always bothered me - feel this should be changed ubiquitously to a QS
Nicklaus Gaut
11:11
Because the arbitrary designations they've chosen are super dumb?
I'm with you -- doesn't make much sense
11:12
Using a flat ERA seems like it'd be more fair
Jason
11:13
I seem to have a trading problem, having completed 8 deals already this season. Trying to strengthen my lineup for the final push to the playoffs and debating trading away Caminero/Skenes for Schwarber/Woo. Not many metrics lead me to believe this is a ROS deal for me as most predictors are not giving Woo much of a chance to finish as strong as he started. Skenes perceived ip limits are creeping up and it's hard to tell if Caminero can keep mashing. Summer heat continues to rise he is playing a lot of games in a hitter's park but is quite morbid on the road. My original offer included Yamamoto but he countered with Skenes in his place.
Nicklaus Gaut
11:13
I'm not doing the deal
Even if Caminero falls off some, I don't think it'll be crazy short of Schwarber
11:14
And Skenes will out-value Woo out of the water, barring a quick pull on his innings
You can make the trade but I think you'd basically be betting on Skenes not pitching much more
Guest
11:14
There are rumors the Padres may trade Dylan Cease before the trade deadline. Given the Padres are firmly in the playoff hunt and  in light of their thin starting pitching staff (especially with King on the IL), do you really believe the Padres would deal Cease?
Padres Panic?
11:14
Will trading Cease bring in any high return for the Padres? Does a Cease trade make more
Nicklaus Gaut
11:15
I think it actually does make sense
given the Padres situation
11:16
Trading Cease would bring prospects they don't have and save them $5 million. Could then use either to bolster outfield/bench for this season, or (more smartly) just use it as a restock because they're only fake contenders in 2025
they're in a tough spot
11:17
could contend but need to make moves to do so -- but also don't have the assests (and/or inclination to spend) to do so
David
11:17
Thanks for the chat, Nick! Post trade deadline, who do you like as a few likely available relievers to get consistent save opportunities? I’ve got Fairbanks and Jansen and I’m anxious about them ending up in 8th inning roles with contenders and losing save opportunities.
Load More Messages
Connecting…