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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat - 7/27/18
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Meg Rowley
12:00
Morning all, and welcome to the chat!
I am obviously not Jeff. We'll be swapping chat times this week and next so that he can engage in various adventures.
CrashedDavis
12:00
more a Jaffe question, but you're chatting: with statcast and the associated stats (plus future innovations) allowing us to much better judge over/underperformance, how are we going to evaluate that over full careers in HOF debates 15+ years from now?
Meg Rowley
12:01
Just as we have a much better understanding of who is actually good now than we did 50 years ago, I would imagine it will continue to enhance how voters think about who is worthy of induction.
12:03
I think there is a limit to how much stats like xwOBA can change that process, because ultimately the Hall is concerned with the careers guys really had, but it'll have an effect.
I imagine it will also force us to change how many guys voters can vote for at any one time as we better understand just how amazing a lot of these guys are.
Ryan
12:03
Are Oakland/Seattle going to make the AL wildcard race a thing?
Meg Rowley
12:03
I am very concerned.... errr happy?
Matt Chapman
12:03
Objects in mirror are closer than they may appear.
Meg Rowley
12:03
Just very, very concerned.
v2micca
12:04
Nothing is set in stone, but I have to think the Aaron Judge Injury pretty much consigns the 2018 Yankees to the Wildcard.
Meg Rowley
12:05
It is certainly a loss, and one that I imagine will shift the odds somewhat. The Yankees do have internal options, and the deadline hasn't passed, but it's late in the game for a trade they haven't already been in motion on.
That said, I think the pitching is what is going to make the difference.
Matt
12:05
Random question - do teams come to FG to advertise job postings, or do you guys scour their listings, and represent them on your own?
Meg Rowley
12:06
They come to us! We aren't representing them, but there are a lot of smart folks who read the site and are keen to work in baseball. We want smart folks keen to work in baseball to get to follow their dreams, and I hope publicizing these opportunities exposes them to a more diverse pool of potential applicants.
Jim Leyland Palmer
12:06
Meg, what's your take on the Mariners new $180 million dollar demand for signing their new lease at the end of the year?
Meg Rowley
12:08
Granted I haven't read super extensively on this, but my understanding is that this isn't a demand for new money so much as a demand the County and Stadium District make payments for capital improvements the team was assuming they would make.
That said, as someone who lives in Seattle and finds public funding of ballparks yucky, I would much rather that money go to public housing.
12:09
We have a housing crisis in this city, and the justification for public funding of stadiums is that it benefits the community so...
GraphsFan
12:09
I'm a Mariners fan too. This is fine.
Meg Rowley
12:09
Do you ever worry we like feeling sad? I've been worrying about that lately.
Henry
12:09
What last move will the Red Sox make before the deadline?
Meg Rowley
12:10
I know they've been linked to more pitching, though I'd think Evoldi is the "big" move. As an aside, what an underwhelming starter market, my stars.
v2micca
12:11
The Braves desperately need pitching help, but AA hasn't shown much urgency in the trade market yet.  Is Atlanta content to hold this year and make moves for 2019?
Meg Rowley
12:12
I'd mostly think they'll wait. They're a little ahead of schedule, their most appealing players in trade are guys they probably want to keep and they're in a wild card spot.
Also the East is super weird and crazy, so they could play their way into a division spot with what they have. Wild times.
randplaty
12:13
Projection systems are saying Wil Myers is a wRC+ 120 ROS. Are you buying him when he has a career wRC+ of 112 in 2400 PAs? Why do they like him so much?
Meg Rowley
12:13
They are hopeful that if they say nice enough things about him, he'll explain why he spells Wil, short for William, with just one "L."
12:14
He's got a 141 wRC+ now, so that ROS isn't nuts to me. I think he's closer to a 115 guy, but shrug emoji guy.
chet_manley
12:14
Throw out your hot takes on Cole Hamels going to the Cubs!
Meg Rowley
12:15
I think he will be useful. I think it is a good move for them. I think that his tendency to walk guys still makes me nervous.
Just a bunch of guys.
Bort
12:15
Who is more cursed: Clint Frazier or Daniel Vogelbach?
Meg Rowley
12:16
Poor Vogelbach. I think it is Vogelbach. He's on a team that is fading and can't convince the org that acquired him knowing exactly what he is to displace literally Ryon Healy for him.
Frazier might be blocked and he had to cut his hair, but Vogelbach.
Fill in the Kyle Blanks
12:16
How has Marcus Semien's defensive transformation flown so far under the radar? From historically awful three years ago to well above league-average...
Meg Rowley
12:18
Part of it is that we get anxious being overly enthused about half-season defensive samples, because they can have a bunch of squishy noise in them, and part of it is that Matt Chapman's defense at third is what you want to talk about on that infield.
But part of it is that the A's had a 9% chance of making the playoffs a month ago, so we just weren't paying as close of attention to stories on the edge.
12:19
I imagine as we start trying to account for this A's run, that is going to change pretty dramatically.
12:20
And man, good for Marcus. That whole A's defense was super error prone, and errors aren't a reliable indicator, but as someone who watched a lot of A's games by virtue of them being in the AL West, boy oh boy, were those ERRORS.
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