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Klawchat, 7/13/17.
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Keith Law
1:00
Klawchat. A cry for help in a world gone mad.
Matt
1:00
I'm surprised Alex Reyes didn't make the list at all. Tommy John is pretty common now a days. His arm that big of a concern going forward?
Keith Law
1:01
TJ surgery is common, but not routine or something to handwave away. The success rate is still only around 85%, maybe a tick lower, and that's without considering whether pitchers who have one are at greater risk of having another. So, since he's not even back throwing yet, I don't think he's a top 50 prospect right now.
Bryan Daniel Carter
1:01
Was Derek Fisher in consideration?  What are your thoughts on his breakout this year?
Keith Law
1:01
In consideration, not top 50.
Pops
1:01
Sixto Sanchez deserves a place at the table. Have you seen his electric arm?
Keith Law
1:01
Saw him last night and tweeted about him several times. Not top 50, somewhere in the next tier.
Brendan
1:01
What separates Vladdy from Bo Bichette, considering performances so far? Is it age, mechanics, something else?
Keith Law
1:02
Yes, all of that, but especially age. Doing what Vlad and Tatis are doing at age 18 in full-season ball is ridiculous.
Andrew
1:02
Before the last two were promoted, Lakewood had an all time grade 80 pitching staff of names: Sixto Sanchez, Adonis Medina, Ranger Suarez, JoJo Romero
Keith Law
1:02
I hadn't realized that but yes, that's a murderer's row of great names.
Bob
1:02
Within the Padres organization, Lauer and Lucchesi have been phenomenal, but are never cited as having the upside that Quantrill does.  Granted that their time in the minors has been pretty short, but what is it that's seen as the limiting factor that they have relative to Quantrill?
Keith Law
1:02
Nowhere close to the same stuff.
Ben
1:02
How far off your list was Maitan? About how many years away is he?
Keith Law
1:03
He's 17 with a handful of GCL at bats, not really enough to justify running him up the list. He'd be in the next group as well.
Mike F
1:03
Just finished Smart Baseball and loved it!  I was a little surprised to see Kingery on the list at 31 but Hoskins not make it.  Is it mostly because of defense?  Thanks for all the writing and the chats!
Keith Law
1:03
Hoskins is 1b only and there's still a lot of doubt about whether it's going to be more than just average power in the majors. I think he's at least an everyday player, but I think Kingery is at least an above-average everyday player.
Jake
1:03
Thoughts on Acuna's bump to Gwinnett? Do the Braves see Andruw 2.0 in him?
Keith Law
1:04
I think they're rushing him. He's a hell of a prospect, but I don't get the urgency here, and I'd like to see him struggle at a level and then have to stay there long enough to make adjustments at the plate, since he's not very patient or selective.
addoeh
1:04
No Luis Robert?!  Don't you know an anonymous, and perhaps non-existent, director of international scouting claimed he was the best player on the planet, without exaggeration?
Keith Law
1:05
I had heard about that, yes, and share your skepticism that the source even exists.
Randy Burgess
1:05
Do you think Flaherty (50), Tyler Mahle, and Chance Adams have similar ceilings?
Keith Law
1:05
I do not. Flaherty's is higher. Adams is the most ready of those three. All are big-league starters.
Joel Embiid
1:05
What are your thoughts on J.P. Crawford since he's fallen out of your top-50? Should Phillies fans be alarmed?
Keith Law
1:06
I got nothing but negative reports on him from scouts and execs this month. I heard unanimous downgrades on his defense at short, and multiple scouts say he's swinging for the fences too much and becoming much less disciplined at the plate. I'm alarmed, and I've been a big fan of his since high school. I don't know if he's sulking, or if he thinks hitting bombs will get him promoted, or maybe I was just wrong about his ability, but this doesn't sound like the guy I've seen every year for the past four or five years.
Dario Saric
1:06
Why didn't Sixto Sanchez crack the top-50?
Keith Law
1:07
The simple answer is that I think there are fifty prospects who are currently more valuable (or valued, by the industry and me) than he is.
Ryan
1:07
Philly.com had a very impressive article about Sixto Sanchez's start last night, quoting four scouts in attendance.  I believe you were also in attendance from your Twitter account.  Thoughts and would that have changed today list at all?  Thanks!
Keith Law
1:08
I finished this list after I got home from Lakewood; if I thought I had to change the list based on one 62-pitch outing, I would have, but didn't. It's an 80 fastball and it's very easy. The rest is a work in progress.
Chris
1:08
Keith, any real concerns with Delvin Perez yet? Only a couple weeks worth of games but he's been demoted and there seem to be serious concerns with his work ethic? If his name was Chase Peters (wink, wink) would people still be as concerned?
Keith Law
1:08
He had off-field/behavior questions in HS, some tied to actual incidents, so I don't think this is racial issue. He needs to grow the heck up. No one suggested him for my top 50 either.
@richfreed
1:08
Cleveland media says Mejia is vastly improved defensively.  He has worked on his English and communicates better with pitchers.  Truth or local media pumping a prospect?
Keith Law
1:09
I saw him once in AA plus the Futures Game, and he threw great but received just fine. Couple of scouts I asked who've seen that club more were more bearish on his glove. I think he'll be fine in time, but isn't major-league ready defensively.
Jake
1:09
Where would Luis Robert have ranked? I'm assuming he didn't qualify.
Keith Law
1:09
He qualified. Not top 50.
Randy Burgess
1:09
Do you think Alderson is preventing Rosario from getting the Conforto-treatment by a lame duck Collins?
Keith Law
1:10
That's possible. Until Collins is gone, I can't be terribly optimistic about short-term development of prospects (Rosario, Smith, anyone else they call up).
Ethan
1:10
No Tigers arms in your top 50?! How would you rank Burrows-Manning-Faedo-Funkhouser?
Keith Law
1:11
Burrows, Funkhouser, Faedo, Manning. Manning was having trouble throwing strikes this spring, and his stuff has been down in the NYPL.
Nate
1:11
Two questions. Was Espinoza left off because of concerns he can stay healthy or diminished stuff? Raul Mondesi make the list if he were prospect eligible?
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