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Klawchat 5/25/18
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Keith Law
12:01
It's just a change in me - something in my liberty. Klawchat.
Spencer
12:01
Corey Ray recent performance is reminding me of what made him so intriguing coming out of L'Ville.  Obviously a SSS, but what do you think his ceiling as a prospect is nowadays?
Keith Law
12:02
Seems like an everyday player, but the chance of him being much more than that is very slim. I'm not sure who changed his setup at the plate, or why, but it cost him a year of development time, and he hasn't totally regained what was lost.
Bill G
12:02
Hi Keith.  Given the extreme shifting and the lack of offense, would you support a rule that forces teams to start infielders on the dirt?  Seems like the "rover" in the OF is hurting offense more than stacking infielders on one side of the field.  Thanks as always for doing these chats.
Keith Law
12:03
No, I don't. One, I think hitters should be more comfortable dropping bunts or shortening up to push groundballs to vacated areas. Two, there's some research (Russell Carleton has covered this) that the shifts are less effective than they first appear to be.
Jc Cuevas
12:03
Is there place in an outfield for a guy like Brandon Nimmo to start? Or is the dreaded SSS? Ty Keith
Keith Law
12:03
He should be playing every day vs RHP, and that was true on Opening Day. Of course, the Mets will probably sign Gorman Thomas instead.
David
12:03
How likely are the Phillies to maintain their current winning percentage over the course of the season? Also, your thoughts on Kingery's play so far and what you would do with Crawford when he returns from the DL? Back to AAA or starting SS?  Thanks.
Keith Law
12:05
They're not going to win 60% of their games this season. Very few teams do that in any given year. Crawford should be the everyday SS.
Dan
12:05
Keith, what's going on with Giolito?  He's shown flashes during his time with the Sox but getting concerned about his consistency.  Anything to worry about long term or just a young pitcher finding his way?
Keith Law
12:06
He was great in March, and it seemed like when he left spring training he left all the gains he'd made mechanically back in Arizona. I don't know if it was the cold, or some undisclosed physical issue (not an injury, but maybe soreness that led to a change), but he's been totally out of whack all season. His velo is down and command is gone right now. I can't see rolling him out there as a starter right now until they've reestablished his delivery.
addoeh
12:06
I see there are more high schools players in your top 10 big board than your mock drafts.  Is the difference down to personal preference (maybe higher ceiling vs higher floor) or purely that college players may sign for lower figures?  Or something else entirely?
Keith Law
12:07
Teams fear the risk of HS players. I get that, but I also think the safety of college players is somewhat overrated. Look at what Haseley and Pavin Smith are doing in high-A right now.
Harrisburg Hal
12:07
Do you listen to albums in order (tracks 1-X) or shuffle?  I've been shuffling ever since i started to listen digitally.  I feel like I'm in the minority when talking to others.
Keith Law
12:07
In order. I figure the artist intended that.
Todd Boss
12:10
What do you think of Tampa's "opener" strategy?  Do you think a team could really try to do an entire staff of relievers?  Isn't that kind of the logical end-game of today's move towards high velocity short inning reliever focus?
Keith Law
12:10
I wonder if teams will respond to this by tweaking the tops of their lineups and eliminating any such advantage. I do like the experimentation, though. Tampa has been so short of starters anyway that they had to do something creative.
Jay C.
12:11
Keith, Given Austin Meadows' impressive SSS performance, does he have a chance to stick w/ the Pirates when Marte returns? How would you project his overall ceiling now after a fairly lackluster minor league career...any changes from your initial assessment?
Keith Law
12:11
It's 25 at bats. you might as well roll a couple of dice.
LexSteele
12:12
If you were running the Giants' draft, assuming the Tigers take Mize #1, who would be your pick at 2?
Keith Law
12:12
That's what my top 100 represents - my personal draft board, based on what I've seen (I think I've gotten more than 40 of those top 100 in person, the rest are from video + talking to scouts).
Andy
12:13
I fully agree that there is a problem with the justice system in this country. The justice system absolutely railroads people into pleading guilty in order to get them through, especially poorer minorities.  There are many fundamental issues that should absolutely be debated and rectified. I just don't think that a white guy who pleaded guilty to doing something untoward with a 6 year old relative is the hill I'm going to start that fight on.
Keith Law
12:13
I'm with you. The fact that he was even offered such a deal, with no jail time, is indicative of the privilege of his race & background.
eric
12:13
what would a good cardinals package for machado be? you think bader, knitzner, Hudson and helsley get it done?
Keith Law
12:14
That actually feels light at the top. It's a lot of quantity, but I would assume baltimore would want a deal with a better headliner even if it means fewer players.
Andy
12:14
Can you imagine how badly the Padres would be doing without Eric Hosmer and his veteran leadership? I mean they would almost assuredly be in last place, competing with the Marlins and Reds at the bottom of the NL.
Keith Law
12:14
He actually hasn't been that bad at the plate, at least - but it's been irrelevant to them, and by the time they're good, he probably won't be.
Rick
12:15
Have you seen/ heard any updates on Haseley over the past month? Is this just a blip or has he possibly turned a corner after a rough first year?
Keith Law
12:15
I just got a report the other day from a scout who saw Clearwater and had nothing positive to say about the bats on the roster - not Haseley, not Moniak, not Gamboa.
Andy
12:15
In NBA and NFL draft circuits, there are a number of guys who rise in the draft based on they look in workouts. Their measurables are huge, but they don't really impress much in game. Kelenic seems to be a baseball version. He looked good last summer, and now is looking good in basically workouts. Could this lead other players to basically work out for a year instead of playing in a less than rigorous high school baseball season that could expose actual flaws?
Keith Law
12:16
I don't think it'll ever be widespread, but for kids who play in weird environments - cold weather states, states without HS baseball or who only have it in the summer - it could make a ton of sense. However, such players lose out on the benefits of playing real games in a team environment, and scouts lose the opportunity to see how the players react to real game situations.
Rick
12:16
Just wanted to say I bought your book last week on Amazon and already finished. It was great. Thanks for writing it.
Keith Law
12:17
Thanks! I'm thrilled you liked it. It makes up for that alt right meanie who said he'd never read my "damn book" this morning.
Jo-Nathan
12:17
Any chance you move Vasil up on your board after his clean two innings?
Keith Law
12:18
Two whole innings? Wow.
Trixie
12:18
What is the funniest book you ever read?
Keith Law
12:18
Gosh, that's a good question. Jasper Fforde's books have really made me laugh out loud in a way that few other authors have. Wodehouse too.
Matt
12:18
Been watching Josh Stowers tear it up for Louisville this season. Top-200 kind of guy this year?
Keith Law
12:19
Top 200 yes. Interesting combination of a little pop, some speed, probably CF in the long term, doesn't have the present hit tool of some of the other college CF in the class.
George R.
12:19
Fernando Tatis, Jr's April: .177/.231/.333, BB 6%, K 33% May: .340/.427/.649 BB 10%, K 26% And he's still 19 in AA. Can people chill out with the doom and gloom talk?
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