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Klawchat 4/2/19
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Keith Law
1:00
Cause only when I try am I happier to see. Klawchat.
Tyler Y.
1:00
All SSS caveats apply, but the A's have already gotten one uncharacteristically good turn out of a mediocre (at best) rotation.  After last years chicken salad out of chicken sh#$ performance, is there something Oakland is doing to coax a better performance out of the Brett Anderson's and Aaron Brooks' of the world than anyone could possibly expect?  Or is this all just defense and ballpark (in which case, maybe they are smart to invest less in SP).
Keith Law
1:01
No, I think it's ballpark, defense, and good luck. Their ERA through that one turn is far better than their peripherals might imply.
Jay
1:01
I suppose I understand why some people are upset at the upcoming 3 batter minimum rule, but, count me amongst the fans of the rule. Commercial breaks in the middle of an inning are the worst. And, even really bad RPs with terrible splits have a 35% chance of a 1-2-3 inning
Keith Law
1:02
I thought a 2 batter minimum would do it. I agree that mid-inning breaks are the worst actual pace-of-play problem (as opposed to overall game length, which I think is what many people mean when tey say "pace of play").
CH
1:02
Do you think Keuchel and Kimbrel end up sitting out this year? Seems more likely by the day.
Keith Law
1:02
No, and I don't think it's becoming any more likely, either.
Boilermaker
1:02
Keith, thanks for the chats. If mlb goes to robot umps for balls and strikes, what does that do to the value of catchers who are good pitch framers? Assuming it nullifies that value, do you think teams are considering that when they negotiate catcher contracts now?
Keith Law
1:02
It will nullify that value - as it should - but I don't think teams are thinking that far in advance.
Jay
1:02
My memory is not what it was, but I remember Hunter Greene being a top SS prospect at the time of the draft. Is pitching that scarce when it's more beneficial to accept near certain injury and a lost year of development than it is to develop a prospect as a position player that can be in the MLB quicker and more than likely have a longer career?
Keith Law
1:03
No, he was a great defender at short with some power but a below-average hit tool. He was and still is a much better prospect on the mound.
Greg
1:04
If you ran the Red Sox what kind offer would you make to Mookie?
Keith Law
1:04
I'd start at Trout and expect him to want far more. He's worth it, but then again, I think Trout's deal undervalued him a little bit too.
Jerry
1:05
Could the flurry of extensions and the adding of Tatis, Jr, Jimenez, etc to opening day rosters be a bargaining move by the owners to try and fend off a work stoppage?
Keith Law
1:05
I do not believe so. I don't see how that would work anyway, since there are, what, a minimum of 750 MLBPA members?
1:06
(I'm blanking on whether all 40-man players are in the union or if they need a day of service.)
Marshall MN
1:06
Hi Keith, my mom was recently diagnosed with an incurable terminal illness (I am not fishing for sympathy), and it is insane how quickly the naturopath quacks come out of the woodwork to offer remedies to solve this.  It is always done with "best intentions" of course, but it is getting very hard to keep my temper in check with these fools.
Keith Law
1:06
I'm very sorry to hear that news, Marshall, but please, lose your temper on those quacks. Naturopathy is woo. It's just bullshit to separate desperate or gullible people from their money.
Jerry
1:06
Has your opinion on Kyle Tucker changed any?  I believe the underlying numbers that show he was unlucky in his brief time in the majors in 2019.  At the same time I've read that some in the organization are souring on his long term outlook.  I feel like it would be a panic move and big mistake to move him.
Keith Law
1:07
My opinion hasn't changed, but if they trade him for someone who helps them right now, I wouldn't necessarily call it a mistake. It all depends on the return - maybe two years of a good major league starter now would justify trading six years of Tucker.
Darren
1:07
Hi Keith, so Eric Lauer was the opening day starter for the Padres, which was unexpected. Good young pitcher, but what do you see as his upside?
Keith Law
1:07
Fourth starter. Maybe a little below-average over the course of his career. But a starter.
Jerry
1:07
What's your impression of Laureano?  Was he projected to be this good?  Could the Astros have gotten more for him?
Keith Law
1:09
Ramon? 2 WAR player last year. That's probably about right. I said good things about him after his AFL in 2016, but didn't put him on my top 100. The Astros' mistake was altering his swing, which led to the bad 2017 and loss of his value.
John
1:09
Thoughts/reactions to the news that Hunter Greene is getting Tommy John surgery?
Keith Law
1:11
Disappointed, but hardly surprised - of the three major prospects I can think of who had similar elbow issues last year, two have had TJ (him and Dunning), and Sixto is heading to extended rather than to double-A. I don't think this is a huge hit for Greene other than pushing his timetable back a year. The funny (peculiar) part is that, as so often happens with guys right before TJ, he apparently looked fantastic in Arizona. Puk had that last year too and then blew out.
Jerry
1:11
Nick Tanielu.  Possible MLB contributor or just Spring Training noise?
Keith Law
1:12
I don't even look at spring training stats so I don't know what the noise would be. I don't think he's even a bench bat.
Steve
1:12
Twitter sometimes recommends tweets liked by who I follow, and frequently recommends tweets that you like. I know "liking" a tweet does not necessarily mean endorsement, but have noticed you like several pro-abortion tweets of late, and was curious how you use science to inform your stance on that issue. Can a mother abort her fetus at 4 weeks, 8 weeks, or 32 weeks? Where do you draw the line (if anywhere)?
Keith Law
1:13
I'm not "pro-abortion." I am pro-choice, and I oppose any intrusion of religion into our secular government. As for your second question, you didn't give me enough information to answer. If that fetus at 32 weeks is nonviable or going to die shortly after birth, shouldn't that be a decision between the pregnant woman and her doctor, with no input from you or me?
Scott
1:14
Red Sox fan from Delaware.....heading to Frawley Stadium this weekend to see Salem...anyone on their roster that would be of interest?
Keith Law
1:14
You can cross-check the Salem roster against my Red Sox prospect ranking: https://klaw.me/2GtRDcK
Evan
1:14
True / False: Michael Conforto will end the year as the most valuable player on the Mets? Pitchers included.
Keith Law
1:14
I'll go with true. Always been a huge fan of his bat.
J.P.
1:14
Thoughts on the Acuna extension?
Keith Law
1:15
Feels like a bad deal for him. I understand any player that age taking the security of the deal, but even considering his lack of leverage in 2019-20, if he becomes the player we all expect him to become, this will be a huge windfall for Liberty Media.
Kyle
1:15
KeBryan Hayes is on a June call-up path or does he need a full season remaining in the minors?
Keith Law
1:15
June sounds good to me. Don't think he needs a full season or close to it.
Tadd
1:15
If Andujar does need the season-ending shoulder surgery, is there somebody on your Yankees radar who would be an obvious replacement?
Keith Law
1:16
Internally? I don't think so. I guess Estrada could slide over there but he's not what they would want.
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