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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 8/29/18
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:09
Coming to you live from my desk while Scout chews on her dinosaur toy in the next room, it's chat time
12:10
I went to a bunch of games in the last week, cleaning up some needed looks on local prospects.
Only non Florida State League game was Jacksonville (AA Marlins) and Birmingham (AA White Sox) where I was going for Dylan Cease but got a bunch of other guys as well
12:13
FSL looks included affiliates of MIN (Royce, Kirilloff, Brusdar, Blankenhorn), ATL (Contreras, Waters, Ynoa, Wentz, Davidson),  NYY (Florial, Deivi Garcia, D. Castillo, Gilliam), DET (Fulmer rehab, Manning, Clemens, Castro),  CIN (Fairchild, Isabel), PHI (Llovera, Moniak, Gamboa, Brito, Falter), TBR (McKay, Brujan, Lowe, Fraley, Padlo, Gray, Palacios)
12:14
Anyway that took longer than I expected to flip thru my notes and compile, but those are the guys I saw recently if any of them or their teammates are of special interest
And there's a post going up shortly of the prospect just added to the board
Zay
12:14
Moises Gomez has been fantastic in A ball for a 20 year old. Is it wrong to say he can become an above average regular in RF?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:15
There's one of the players added to the board. There's a shot, one scout said he may have 70 raw power down the road and he performed well as a 19 year old in Low-A.
(I've also been working on a bunch of behind the scenes stuff the last week or two, which you'll see soon enough)
Greg
12:15
What'd you think of Joey Wentz? Just a lost season for him?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:16
A couple oblique injuries, performance and stuff have been up and down. Mostly, yeah. But he looks healthy and his last outing (first off the DL) was a good starting point to build from
Tommy N.
12:16
Ryan Weathers who is a short strider but has high spin rate how does this affect his effective velocity do they essentially cancel each other out?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:17
Well spin rate won't affect effective velocity, those are separate. In terms of overall effectiveness, often those two will effectively cancel each other out but I'll have to see the data to say for sure.
squeeze bunt
12:18
Is a pitchers short stride something a team would try to change?  Is there more injury risk if they do make that type of change?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:18
Worth a shot, but I wouldn't invest millions in a pitcher you intend to fundamentally change the delivery of. Taylor Jungmann is an example of a guy where the arm action was changed and it was neutral results at best.
Matt
12:19
We shouldn't worry about Will Smith's start to AAA right?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:19
70 bad PA after he crushed Double-A? No.
squeeze bunt
12:19
when is the draft board going to be updated?  Do you know yet if there will be any substantial changes following the summer?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:20
In the next week or so, before the org lists come out. We have some changes to make, but not enormous in most cases.
sportz
12:20
you got a chance to watch Manning..how much is left in the projection tank....
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:21
Projection-wise, probably not much because he's mid-90's with a plus curveball, so the stuff isn't the issue. The CH was average just once or twice, the command is still below and he's working up in the zone with the fastball where that is problematic
12:22
The elements are there to start and a big athlete with stuff if the type you'd like to bet on. I'd try to simplify the delivery more and see if that helps
12:24
hold on a scout saw my tweet about chatting and called me to chat lemme explain to him how this works
Dan Gleeballs
12:25
Is ibandel Isabel just old for his level, or does he have legit power?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:26
80 raw power, kinda stiff, might just be Adam Brett Walker, might be a low end big leaguer
12:27
The board update post just went up
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
12:33
Been hearing the name Moises Gomez a lot as a breakout candidate this week. Check the board, he's already there as a 40 with an up arrow. Any idea how he's tapped into his power without sacrificing the hit tool?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:33
As a little more detail there, he is strong and has a pretty compact swing, so the big picture ability is there to keep doing this at some level
Kyle
12:34
Does Vidal Brujan have a .315 BA, 15 HR season in his MLB future?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:35
I would normally say there isn't that much power, but given the bat control and balls/bats being better and Albies and co. pulling it off and us hyping Madrigal as possibly doing it...I can't rule that out. Brujan does swing at too many pitches, even more than Madrigal/Albies.
pez
12:36
kelly or knizner for cards future backstop
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:36
closer than many would think, i may lean knizner
Jake
12:36
What's your take on Tristen Lutz's season? Early struggles attributable to age/weather?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:38
If you start May 10th, he's been 10% BB, 26% K, .265/.342/.459, 126 wRC+ as a 19 year old in Low-A. That's at or above expectations once you drop the first month.
And we were definitely the highest on him before the season
Mike
12:38
After your recent viewing of Matt Manning, where are you on him as a prospect at this point? Based on where he was coming into the season, would you say he's progressed significantly? Or has his stuff just overpowered lower level hitters this year and masked his issues?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:39
He's made some real progress with command/consistency since it wasn't that long ago he had the yips in the complex league. He's still generally the same sort of pitcher he was when he was drafted. The Glasnow comp isn't that far off. It could take a little while for it all to click
Jared
12:40
With your former privity to evaluation metrics used privately by Major league clubs, could you give an example of a player whose public perception (based on public data) differs greatly from the metrics used by clubs? Would imagine the biggest divergences would come from defense
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:41
Not as much as you'd think. Exit velos from the low levels/complexes can tell you a lot about a young hitter, with Acuna the example I cite a lot here. Also the spin rate/angles/extension stuff allows you to sort through hundreds of generic arms really quickly to find the few that might actually be good.
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