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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 1/23/19
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:26
Hello from ATL. Scout call ran late but your next few lists are mostly done now. To your questions
Oh and in case you're new here, I'm not gonna comment on other top 100 lists. The comment will be our own list, which is coming later
Bogs
12:27
Toss up: Nathaniel Lowe or Peter Alfonso?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:27
Peter Alonso
Rays for Days
12:27
Hi Kiley! Is Wander Franco more so Manny Machado? or More so Carlos Correa?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:28
He's neither b/c people will be comparing prospects to him for awhile. Maybe Jose Ramirez is the closest thing in the big league like him?
Pip
12:28
You mention that Brandon Lowe is one of the safest prospects in the top 100. What is a realistic ceiling though? Does he have a chance to hit 30 home runs?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:28
Well like everyone in the big leagues now apparently has a chance to do that. I'd say expect 15-20, maybe some 20-25 seasons, but 30 obviously is on the board
SAM
12:28
In a vacuum, signing Nick Markakis is an excellent value deal, but the Braves have now said that this move will force Acuña to move to the 4 hole. How do you weigh the value of signing a player cheap vs the affect of it causing your best player to lose ABs?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:29
This week in Braves fans creating problems where they don't exist
Jessup
12:29
Which organization produces the most major league arms on a consistent basis? Seems bully’s are littered with ex Yankees farmhands
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:29
Yep that's the first one I thought of
Disco Stupid
12:29
Is Cuban player Tartabull also free to sign with mlb clubs? What kind of talent is he?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:30
Don't have notes on him and there's like dozens of Cubans floating around the Dominican that never sign, so until I'm told a Cuban is one to pay attention to, I assume they're one of those dozens
Dmitry
12:30
thoughts on Shed Long for Stowers? Why would the Yanks trade a 50fv for a 35fv??
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:31
Tweeted a number of things about it and Jeff also wrote about it using mine/Eric's notes. Stowers is a solid 40 now and some teams (NYY seems to be one) would call him a 45, using out scale
and no 40-man concerns is a big deal for NYY, too
Steve
12:31
Can you please explain why baseball rules do not allow trading of draft picks beyond the compensation picks?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:31
Bc back in the day owners thought the Eli Manning situation would happen all the time but it turns out even in football it happens like every 15 years
12:32
It's insane and dumb and should change but is also not high on the list of things owners/players care about or see as broken
Draught Guy
12:32
What's going on with Luis Medina? Is he ever going to put it together?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:32
Same insane stuff, same maddening command issues. Still early.
Jeff
12:32
Franco and Brujal sound amazing. At this stage how much better are these two than Lindor and Ramirez?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:33
Ramirez wasn't really a prospect when in Double-A, so most guys we talk about were ahead of him at that stage. Lindor was a top-10 pick at the age Franco is now a top-5 prospect in the game, so Franco seems ahead.
But, and I can't stress this enough, players don't develop at a linear rate
GPT
12:34
Have you heard any of the top 2019 J2 players linked to the Giants? I think at this point last year, Marco Luciano was already linked.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:35
So basically all of the good 2019s have been done for awhile, the top tier 2020s are all done and teams are already locking up 2021s. One director said to me that he knows some teams are scouting 2022s to try to get a leg up. We'll have more comprehensive J2 coverage when that signing day is closer
Will
12:35
Enjoyed your Yolbert Sanchez piece yesterday - any ballpark of his FV? Sounded like at least a 50
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:35
He hasn't been scouted much, so it will be much clearer in a few weeks. I would guess a low 45 FV right now
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
12:35
Can you tell us more about the makeup algorithms mentioned in the novel you and Eric wrote about Rays prospects?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:36
It's more just quantifying things that normally aren't quantified, not some super computer that tells your future. Teams usually have a personality test and scouts give makeup grades on various categories. you could add a few more components and call it an algorithm
Go Twins
12:36
Hi, you mentioned a sleeper in the TB system last week (a 2017 J2 40FV).  I see Jelfry Marte and Alberto Figuereo that both meet that criteria.  Which one were you talking about?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:37
Figuereo having similarities to Brujan is what I was talking about
PM
12:37
With the new ways teams are using bullpens is "reliever risk" no longer carrying the same negative connotation in prospect circles? Or is it just elevating the value of the legit starter profile
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:37
Yes, head whack HS pitchers with reliever risk aren't seen as bad of a bet as they used to be
Jimmy Jimmy
12:38
What level of affiliated ball is analogous to the Dominican Winter League?  AA? AAA? MLB++??
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:39
Asked someone about this recently and he said Triple-A but it varies a lot depending on if it's the time of year with lots of big leaguers or it's early and the good players haven't come down ye
Sauce Larry Walka
12:40
Does Brandon Lowe get meaningful PT this year or is TB just teasing us like usual?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:40
I think there's a trade to be made here b/c they're losing some value in having this much MI talent
Eagle
12:41
The Rays list was remarkable. Is that a product of elite scouting or elite player development? Likely a mix, but what do they do that differentiates from other orgs?
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