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FantasyPros Fantasy Football Chat (3/4)
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Mike Maher
3:00
Hey, everyone! It may be the start of fantasy baseball season, but we all know fantasy football never really ends. Let's get to some questions!
Currentsofspace
3:00
How do you value a TE like Kittle or Kelce in TE Premium Dynasty leagues? Our league does 2PPR to TEs so its even more dramatic, and if your league isn't respecting his value in trades, how long do you think he has as a top3 lock in his career?
Mike Maher
3:02
Different players for a few reasons. In that format, Travis Kelce is a Top 5 player. He caught 105 passes in 15 games last year, and only Darren Waller, DeAndre Hopkins, Davanta Adams, and Stefon Diggs caught more. His 1,416 yards receiving were second only to Diggs, and his 11 touchdowns were good for fifth. Kittle is younger but also comes with injury concerns. He is also more of a big-play tight end than Kelce and probably isn't ever going to be the PPR machine that Kelce is or Zach Ertz was. Kelce turns 32 next year, but he just had the best season of his career at 31. I think it's reasonable to expect 2-3 more years of excellent production from him, especially in that offense.
Bobo
3:03
Where do you think Pitts will end up and if he does go there in the draft what round do you see him going in a 10 team PPR league?  Thanks
Mike Maher
3:04
Great question on both fronts. This is a pretty difficult NFL Draft to predict, especially at the top of the order after the Jaguars and Trevor Lawrence. It sure looks like the Jets are going to take Zach Wilson or Justin Fields at No 2. But after that...? Will we see teams move up to take a quarterback? I could see Pitts going to the Eagles at No. 6 if the Dolphins take Ja'Marr Chase at No. 3. But if the Dolphins take calls for that pick and move back, maybe to No. 8 in a trade with the Panthers or No. 9 in a deal with the Broncos, I could see the reverse happening. For all of these prospects, their fit with their new team/scheme is going to be the biggest question. In startup dynasty leagues, he'll go early. In standard redraft leagues, I think he could go as early as the sixth or seventh tight end considering the intrigue around him potentially playing a lot of WR at the NFL level.
3:05
Short answer: I like Pitts. I think he goes early in the draft and as one of the top handful of tight ends in PPR redraft leagues.
Kevin
3:06
Last year I decided to rebuild my dynasty team.  I've got picks 1.01, 1.02, 1.05 and 2.01.   I want the best RB / WR's that I could possibly hope to get at these spots.  I don't need to compete right away....who should I be targeting in a full PPR league?
Mike Maher
3:07
Love the haul of draft picks. If we are just looking at the players and not their eventual teams, I'd probably double up on Najee Harris and Travis Etienne at 1 and 2, hope for Ja'Marr Chase (probably not likely), Kyle Pitts, or Devonta Smith at 5. At 2.01, you have to hope some quarterbacks go so that a WR like Jaylen Waddle falls to you, but that probably isn't likely. But if some QBs go, you could be looking at Waddle, maybe Rondale Moore? Terrace Marshall?
Guest
3:07
Hi
Mike Maher
3:07
Hello, Guest!
George
3:07
10 team  keeper - Irv smith or mark andrews  ( PPR)
Mike Maher
3:07
Andrews
Guest
3:08
What’s AJ Dillon’s ceiling with Aaron Jones likely gone?
Mike Maher
3:08
As someone who loves AJ Dillon and overdrafted him this year, I think it's high. But I don't think he'll just step in and to what Jones does. I anticipate him being in RB2 territory in 2021.
Owen
3:09
What do u think Washington will do this off-season
Mike Maher
3:10
Figure out the quarterback position. Their defense is set, at least up front. And they have some good weapons. But they need a quarterback. Making the playoffs means they aren't in position to draft one. I think they try to find a one or two year solution at the position while they try to figure out the long-term answer
JA
3:10
Is Dobbins a good enough return for Ridley if I’m looking for a quality RB2?
Mike Maher
3:10
Yes
Guest
3:11
What do you expect from Brandon Aiyuk with Kittle & Samuel likely more healthy in 2021? Is he a WR2 or a WR3? Who would you compare him to in terms of fantasy WR?
Mike Maher
3:12
Well, are we sure they're going to be healthier? But yeah, I get your point. I think he is more WR3 with upside territory, at least entering 2021. He showed his potential, but he'll need the snaps and touches to be a WR2.
As for a comp, I think he can be what everyone hoped Nelson Agholor was going to be.
Guest
3:13
10 team, superflex, dynasty. I have Herbert at QB and Henry at RB and a bunch of mid range guys. I hold 1.02/1.03/1.04/1.05 & 1.09. Lawrence goes at 1.01. Who am I taking 1.02-1.05?
Mike Maher
3:14
My word. How did you get all of those picks? I'd load up with Najee Harris, Ja'Marr Chase, Travis Etienne, Devonta Smith, and probably a quarterback since it's superflex (preferably one that doesn't end up with the Jets)
Guest
3:15
Hi, In a ppr keeper league do i go with gibson in the 9th or kelce in the 3rd. I also have an extra 2nd round pick. Thanks
Mike Maher
3:15
I like Gibson and I like that landing spot, but I think I go Kelce in PPR. There is always the chance that Gibson shares snaps/touches in Washington, while we know what Kelce is.
Guest
3:16
Is Pat Frierman and Brevin Jordan being overlooked because of pitts?
Mike Maher
3:17
I don't know about overlooked, but everyone is an afterthought after Pitts. Pitts has the potential to step in on day one and put up WR numbers at the TE position, depending on where he lands.
Dom
3:18
Should I look to draft Trevor Lawerence in redraft
Mike Maher
3:19
Yeah, sure. But the thing with Lawrence next year is that he is going to be the shiny new toy, and he is probably going to be overdrafted because of that. I don't anticipate having many shares because I don't think I'll be paying the draft day premium for him.
Guest
3:19
Hi mike, how valuable really are first round draft picks in dynasty? I’ve gone over the last 5-6 drafts and the first round is at best a 50% strike rate
Mike Maher
3:20
Well, you kind of answered your own question there. They can be valuable as long as you hit on them. But they're also basically like 20 or 25th or whatever round picks, depending on your league format and your keepers. I trade mine all the time, but they're good to have to replenish your pipeline.
Guest
3:20
Would you trade Justin Jefferson for pics 1.02 and 1.03 in the rookie draft? Full point ppr
Mike Maher
3:21
Yes, but I'm not as high on Justin Jefferson as most. I would imagine that many fantasy analysts would say no to this question, and I'm probably the outlier.
Guest
3:21
Is mahomes worth taking 25 overall in a dynasty league (not super flex)
Mike Maher
3:22
Yes
Joey
3:22
What should I be asking for if I’m shopping Stephon Diggs in a 12-team IDP PPR league? I need depth at RB
Mike Maher
3:23
I would be asking for the moon after the season he just had. I also wouldn't be shopping him, FWIW.
Tony T.
3:23
Dynasty league, superflex, 1/2 ppr, 3WR, should I trade Aaron Jones for Kenny Golladay, Gabriel Davis, and a 2022 3rd round?
Mike Maher
3:24
That's a tough one since there's so much uncertainty there. My gut says no, though. I'd hold onto Aaron Jones for now.
John Thorpe
3:25
10 team 2 QB dynasty. I hold 1.02/1.03/1.04/1.05 & 1.09. Who should I take 1.02-1.05?
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