JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat

Paul Swydan

11:56

What is tonight's best matchup?

CLE vs. Themselves (57.8% | 59 votes)

NYY (Gray) vs. TB (Snell) (7.8% | 8 votes)

SEA (Gonzales) vs. TEX (Gonzalez) (2% | 2 votes)

COL (Gray) vs. ARI (Walker) (13.7% | 14 votes)

HOU (Verlander) vs. LAA (Richards) (18.6% | 19 votes)

Total Votes: 102

*** Tuesday, September 12 ***

Paul Swydan

9:02

Hi everybody!

Pizza Pie Thompson

9:02

Could Kris Bryant be the leadoff hitter the Cubs have been looking for?

Paul Swydan

9:03

Interesting, interesting.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:03

He's fine there or in any of the top 4 spots

Paul Swydan

9:04

He's one of the four-best hitters, and of the four-best hitters he has the highest OBP. But the key is his willingness to hit there. If he doesn't want to be the leadoff hitter, I wouldn't make him the leadoff hitter.

Bork

9:04

Who's your favorite negative WAR player this year and why is it Darwin Barney?

Paul Swydan

9:05

I will say, at the game I was at last Tuesday, Barney made a bunch of nice diving plays in the hole to rob the Red Sox of hits the few times they actually hit the ball hard.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:05

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=30...

Paul Swydan

9:06

Lot of fun names there. I'll take Hyun-Soo Kim. Buck Showalter and the O's have completely sabotaged his major league career.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:06

Greg Bird. I think he can be an average MLB 1b

Paul Swydan

9:06

Yeah he was my other choice.

Oddball Herrera

9:06

Poll idea: what is the most consistently over hyped prospect profile (in terms of expectation vs performance)? Options I've got (1) otherwise ok player who 'should grow into power' (2) strikeout machine who is only missing command (3) physical specimen who is a little raw on baseball skills and (4) premium defender whose bat is going to catch up one of these days

Paul Swydan

9:06

I like this. Anyone have any other options?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:08

I've found those with just high Bat grades to fail the most.

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

9:08

The guy who can do everything except hit a curveball is a classic.

Paul Swydan

9:08

OK, adding these and making the poll. Hold please!

Hatzis

9:09

Guys who needs "just one more pitch" is another classic.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:09

Or a second pitch

Paul Swydan

9:10

What is the most consistently overhyped prospect profile?

"Avg but will grow into power" (3.3% | 2 votes)

"K machine but missing command" (26.7% | 16 votes)

"Physical specimen but raw" (33.3% | 20 votes)

"Premium D whose bat will catch up" (10% | 6 votes)

"All hit, nothing else" (3.3% | 2 votes)

"Can do everything but hit curveball" (8.3% | 5 votes)

"If he just had one more pitch/2nd pitch" (13.3% | 8 votes)

Other? (1.7% | 1 vote)

Total Votes: 60

OK, added that one in too.

9:11

Francisco Mejia just drew his first career IBB because Brad Ausmus is a moron.

Wily Mo's Ghost

9:11

This business with the 1916 Giants and the tie is really annoying me. I hate asterisks. Manfred should just issue a ruling. Although really Swydan and Zimmerman's opinion ought to be considered binding.

Paul Swydan

9:11

Whoa whoa whoa, what are we talking about here? Context please.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:12

Yea but generally asterisks make great conversation pieces.

Wily Mo's Ghost

9:12

The '16 Giants "won" 26 games in a row. Except that they had a tie in the middle, so it's really an "unbeaten" streak, which makes Cleveland a lot closer to the record than is being reported.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:13

I agree with your take

Paul Swydan

9:13

Oh, I see. Well, was it a tie on account of darkness? If it was a tie on account of darkness, then I'll allow their streak. Nothing they could do about that in 1916. If it was for some reason, then they're on shakier ground in my opinion.

some other reason, I mean.

joe

9:14

Are the yanks a more dangerous playoff team than the sox? Assuming they get past the wild card game

Paul Swydan

9:14

I think the Yankees are a MUCH more dangerous playoff team than the Red Sox, to be perfectly honest.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:14

No, I have doubts about their starters. At least the Sox have an ace in Sale.

Paul Swydan

9:15

After Sale though, the Sox SPs are so jumbled that I won't be surprised if Fister starts Game 2.

Roger

9:15

What will JD Martinez's next contract look like?

Paul Swydan

9:15

Like, 4 years, $70 million?

9:16

He's bat only, and may only be a DH, and he's into his 30s, so that will depress his market some.

There will also be people who want to discount his stats given the elevation of Arizona's home park. But, I hope he beats that estimate!

Jeff Zimmerman

9:17

I was going with 5/80, do close

CarrotJuice

9:17

What's more improbable: the best team in MLB losing 11 in a row, or the worst team in MLB winning 11 games in a row.

Paul Swydan

9:17

I think the worst team winning 11 games in a row. But it's close.

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