JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat

FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 12/20/16

Paul Swydan

8:51

Who will be happier with the Clay Buchholz trade?

Red Sox (20.4% | 19 votes)

Phillies (29% | 27 votes)

One of the 28 teams who didn't acquire him (50.5% | 47 votes)

Total Votes: 93

9:01

Hi everybody!

9:02

Not sure if Jeff will be here or not. I forgot to talk to him today.

In any case, welcome to the last FanGraphs After Dark chat of 2016. It's been a journey.

Josh

9:02

What options are there for LHH 4th Outfielders?

Paul Swydan

9:04

Perusing the list, I see Angel Pagan, Rajai Davis (though he's better from the right side), Michael Saunders, Brandon Moss, Nori Aoki, Michael Bourn. http://www.fangraphs.com/freeagents.aspx?sign=all&pos=OF&nteam=all&oteam=all

Roadhog

9:04

I would still really love the A's to sign Edwin, odd as it sounds. Couple him with Dyson for CF, and I believe that full seasons of Cotton/Healy/Wendle/Maxwell will be improvements as well.

Paul Swydan

9:05

And that would get you to what...74 wins?

I don't see why that would be worth it, at all.

KCFanInPA

9:05

Any chance Dyson could geto traded to Orioles for Brach or Oakland for Doolittle? What kind of package do you think it would take?

Paul Swydan

9:06

I can't see why the Royals trade Dyson if they're trying to compete in 2017, so I wouldn't see those as acceptable returns. But if they are trying to win now and trade Dyson, then yeah, those are in the ballpark.

9:06

Quintana for Rodgers Dahl and tapia who says no?

Paul Swydan

9:06

Rockies

Quintana for Rodgers would be an overpay by the Rockies, nevermind adding the other two guys.

Jared

9:07

Thanks for all the good work and fun! Avid reader! Happy holidays! NL only, 25 man roster, 10 teams. Unlimited keepers, salary Increases $3 a year. I traded joe Ross at $6 and Thor $11 for Luke weaver $3 and Trea $6.

Paul Swydan

9:07

Seems pretty fair. Trea at $6 is the most attractive player to me in that deal by a fair amount, so I'd say that's pretty sweet.

SurferJeff

9:08

Is this the year Carlos Rodon finally breaks out? What do you see as his floor and his ceiling this year?

Paul Swydan

9:09

He's been pretty much the same guy in his first two big league seasons, he just pitched more in 2016. I wouldn't expect him to take a big leap forward, but that's OK -- 2.5 WAR pitchers don't grow on trees.

Snarfle

9:09

Tips for first auction? Or prepping for first option?

Paul Swydan

9:11

The mistake I made in my early drafts was not being willing to go a couple dollars over budget to get the guys I really wanted. If a particular player auction really gets out of hand - say $7-8 over budget, it's OK to let go. But don't lose a guy over $3-4. Get the guy you want, and figure out how to get back under budget later on.

Brian

9:11

Do you think Nate Jones gets moved before the season starts?

Paul Swydan

9:11

No, I'd guess that they'll use him as a midseason trade target.

Ryan

9:11

Could the White Sox be 2018 wild card contenders? A lot of the talent they've picked up is close to MLB-ready, and they could still have Quintana and Abreu

Paul Swydan

9:12

I think 2019 is probably more realistic, especially since they're still likely to move Quintana and Abreu at some point in the next 9 months.

Fat Kenny G

9:12

After dominating my fantasy baseball league for three years, my last two years I finished last. Give me a motivational comment on why I should continue to put effort into the off season.

Paul Swydan

9:13

Because you've been dominant in 3 of the last 5 seasons and your leaguemates are still terrified of you, and like 2Pac, you like striking fear into the hearts of men.

Old professor

9:13

Has Nats trading of Giolito raised red flags about his "'top of rotation" potential? What umbers do you see for his 2017 season?

Paul Swydan

9:14

I think those concerns were always there, as they would be for any player who has already had TJ surgery. But I think a lot of these supposed red flags are people working behind the scenes for Washington's benefit, trying to make the price they paid not seem so steep. Giolito is still going to be a highly-rated prospect.

Bort

9:14

Um, Rajai Davis is a RHB.

Paul Swydan

9:15

You know Bort, for some reason I always think Davis is a switch hitter. My fault.

Fat Kenny G

9:15

Clay Bucholz 2017 NL Cy Young?

Paul Swydan

9:15

It's destination.

Peter

9:15

I am so conflicted on Dee Gordon this year. Are you bullish or bearish?

Paul Swydan

9:15

Neither!

John

9:15

Should the Mets trade for Blackmon, go with Grandy/Lagares or something else? Would would it take to get Blackmon?

Paul Swydan

9:16

Steven Matz? That'd be who I asked for, anyway.

Snarfle

9:16

Most Mets thing?
1. Dropping Justin Turner, having him turn into a star.
2. Having 3 RFs and half a CF.

Paul Swydan

9:16

Oh, definitely 2. No one really thought Turner would be this good.

Rox season ticket holder

9:17

Outline the dream scenario for the Rockies for the remainder of this off season please.

Paul Swydan

9:17

Well, I suppose the dream scenario would be trading Charlie Blackmon for Mike Trout.

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