Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:02
Good morning from sunny Tempe, where the temps have begun to crank a bit. Check out the Orioles list if you haven't yet. I'm working on Pirates next, Brendan on BoSox. Good systems, all.
Jeb
12:03
How long until Seth Hernandez is the #1 pitching prospect in baseball?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:03
I'd guess end of year he's in the mix once he's held this stuff for a whole season and hopefully thrown strikes against hitters who actually have a shot against him.
lukesingy
12:04
How are you feeling about Dylan Crews? Still a top prospect who just needs time in the minors?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:04
I still think he's so talented that he's going to be good. Will he be franchise-altering? That outcome is leaving the building.
giantsprospects
12:06
Have you seen anything like what Luis Hernandez and Josuar Gonzalez having been doing to start the ACL season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
Even though they play in a windy bandbox and have had many, many faulty prospects who've put up crazy numbers at any number of heir affiliates.... no. Not to this degree where they've got like numbers this nutty.
Eric
12:09
How are we feeling about Kahlil Watson at this point?  Seems like he might be living up to the expectations he had when he was drafted.  Still only 23 years old
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
Feel pretty good about where we had him when we did Cleveland list in January. Feels like a 45, contact rate is still toward the bottom of the scale (it's been more 70%) but he's getting to power reliably. Think he's definitely a useful piece and I expect we'll see him this year.
Bob
12:11
What’s the recalibrated projection for Eric Hartman?
Ryan
12:12
Thanks for the chat! Any thoughts on Eric Hartman and John Gil for the Braves? Are these guys getting to the point of being in the top 100 conversation or are there things that give you pause?
Greg
12:12
Any reports you've heard about Eric Hartman, Tate Southisene or John Gil? Excited about the growth of the Braves system so far this year.
rc1013
12:12
Should we be respecting Eric Hartman's authority?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
The data looks really great. 50% hard hit rate, 108 EV 90, 75% contact, 84% zone contact. Stiffer athlete, bat path is kinda funky and I still think there's variability in how he handles secondary stuff as he's promoted. CF defense feel isn't great, but he easily has the speed to develop out there. Bat speed looks real to me to the eye even though it requires a ton of effort...
Was 33% hard hit rate guy last year, 108 max. So this guy has really, really changed and is definitely an arrow up dude. Reminds me a lot of when Jarren Duran started breaking out.
Guest
12:17
Wondering what’s your thoughts on Nolan Perry
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
Looks really good. Slipped thru the crack on the Jays list because he didn't pitch last year. Prototypical frame, gorgeous arm action, advanced feel (for a guy coming off long term layoff, especially), love he breaking ball feel. Think the curveball is deep enough for it to play against lefties even if his change is only ever fine. Potential end of year top 100 guy if the innings count ends up around 100 frames.
Mickey M.
12:21
I never thought Brice Turang would become this sort of offensive player. Did you?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
No, pretty sure he's swinging Julio Franco's bat now (in that it's crazy heavy) and that he way he's lifted has cost him some on defense. Dark horse MVP candidate for me before the season but that assumed the defense piece would remain stellar.
dan norman lear
12:22
Would it be offensive if Ike Irish's nickname was Irish, so he was called Irish Ike Irish?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:24
I don't think it's offensive, but I also think we can do better. Whiskey Stick or something like that. Just riffing here at 9:30.
CHRISTOPHER BRABLC
12:24
Any insight into the Luis Pena situation? The lack of info and circumstances don't seem encouraging.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:24
After last week's chat I ended up getting a vague text from a Brewers source. Lemme dig it up for y'all...
12:27
ED44
12:28
Love all the great prospects work. A big part of why I renew every year. In an upcoming minor league draft, the highest ranked prospects still available are probably Seth Hernandez, Eli Willits, Liam Doyle, and Luis Hernandez (SFG). This league is largely WAR-driven, and SS is typically a premium position. Based purely on long-term WAR, who would you take? Thanks!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
Willits, then probably Sethy given how fast he's moving.
That's a nice group to get someone from, though.
dan norman lear
12:29
Franklin Arias, Ethan Holliday, and Seth Hernandez end 2026 at ____ levels?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
Triple, High-A, Double-A
Charles Bengal Tiger
12:30
Would you consider Wehiwa Aloy to currently be "arrow up?"
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
Nah, same grade I had at draft time. Chase piece of his profile is going to be more of an issue against upper level guys.
rainingmozzarella
12:31
Hi Eric. Do you know when your next draft rankings update will be?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:31
Shortly after conference tourneys
InsertWittyNameHere
12:31
When I hear about kids throwing 100 in high school, I worry about the hitters who have to face them.  Have you heard of anyone getting seriously hurt being hit by one of this pitches?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
I'm way more worried about college pitchers getting hit with comebackers than the one or two HS kids across the country who sit 100 beaning someone in the exact wrong place. College exit velos are absurd.
CHRISTOPHER BRABLC
12:34
Curious your take on the Cardinals catchers. I assume they package someone but do you see regulars in Crooks, Raniel and/or Bernal?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
We do, Bernal more of a second division guy but the others are impact types. Crooks the defense piece I think will be a really big deal.
Feel like the Rays are the trade partner there
matty25
12:35
What do you make of the A's DFA'ing Junior Perez? A lot of teams would have to consider picking him up right?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
Yeah if you're the Royals or the Cardinals I'd take a shot.
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