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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:01
Good morning from Tempe where the temps are starting to crank to 20+ degrees above what is typical for March. I'm sure it's fine, my dad says this is just cyclical.
DR
12:01
Are the Yankees doing something specifically bad with their high dollar international talent?  I know the fail rate is pretty high when considering a 14-17 year old population. But it seems (perhaps because NYY prospects get more publicity generally) that they have had significantly worse outcomes among their high dollar guys.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:03
Agreeing to deals earlier and earlier opens you up to more risk of failure. It's already a volatile market due to the youth of the players on signing day, the error bar is bigger when you're reaching verbal agreements with 12- and 13-year-olds, to say nothing of the ethics of it.
Seth
12:03
If you're Steve Cohen, should you leverage your immense wealth to find advantages beyond the field, like building an electrical substation near Dodger Stadium?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
Have a robust scouting staff even as teams like the Cubs and Braves hemorrhage scouts. Start cultivating and/or understanding talent in places that are either largely unscouted (like Africa) or places with a finite amount of space, like Asia. Obviously, the Dodgers have already manufactured a revenue and talent stream from Asia and have a head start in Africa. Better get going.
DR
12:06
Does Vance “Spring Training Babe Ruth” Honeycutt’s absurd ST output allay any fears that came up during his bad 2025?  I know Aberdeen is a terrible place to hit, but he was bad everywhere. I don’t think anyone who saw him in Aberdeen would’ve predicted this many HRs in 2026 as a whole, let alone ST
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
He struck out SO MUCH last year, you've gotta let it air out over a larger sample and see what happens.
Will
12:07
Have you learned anything eye opening from your How's my Driving?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
Do a better job identifying guys with 70-grade command or breaking pitches.
Sidd Finch
12:07
Are there any high school juniors you're particularly excited about for the 2027 draft?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
Carter Hadnot
Baseball learner
12:07
Sounds like the Yankees system is light on purpose? Like the strategy is "trade the guys who probably won't make it slash the ones we don't need for big league players we might need now"? Do you think you that they are running out of what to deal for on
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
I think there is an elevated sense of urgency for Cashman to keep his job, and also some "we don't really think this guy is going to hit, let's trade him while he has value" to it.
Kelly Clarkson
12:09
Any popup prospects piqued your interest this spring?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
Rockies A-ball kids not named Ethan Holliday looked good this week.
Brito, Arguelles, Andujar
Erick
12:10
if the A's are frisky, what do you see as the ETA for de vries?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
Could be this year if he keeps looking like this
Spring Breakout Games
12:10
What players are at the top of your watch list?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
Anyone who was a Pick to Click
Dylan
12:11
Has your view on any prospects been significantly changed by spring training? Do you take spring training at all seriously when looking at these guys?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
Not from a box score performance standpoint. Physical growth during the offseason, added velo, new pitches... that stuff I care about.
szakyl
12:12
What's a reasonable expectation for DeLauter's average PA per season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
450
Dorian Soto
12:12
When do you get eyes on him?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
I go to Pennsylvania April 2-10 and then Ft Myers April 10-??, I need to get my hands on Extended ST schedules for Florida.
Erick
12:13
I know he's a graduated prospect, but will warren's stuff+ appears to be up significantly this spring. is this a blip or has he made positive changes?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
I think he looks great but you're talking to the guy who has historically been high on Warren.
ZH
12:15
Why is MVP Baseball 2005 still the greatest game ever made?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
I mean, Breath of the Wild is pretty rad.
doughboy
12:16
after the smoke has cleared after the 2025 season, how do we make sense of Jackson Jobe's FV? His stuff+ on all pitches were league average to plus; but he wasn't missing as many bats as you'd hope. There was some talk about his limited arm extension and fastball being too true. What do you anticipate from him in 2027?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
I guess we'll see, but I think all the tinkering that was going on during the last couple of years was maybe a sign the Tigers didn't think things would work as constituted.
Oaktown Blues
12:17
If a prospect who previously was in the DSL gets some Spring Training ABs in AZ, is that a good indicator that the team plans to bring them stateside to start the year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
If a guy is up here he's almost certainly going to remain up here.
Rayner Arias is the only one I can recall who went back for a bit.
Kate
12:18
Did something change with Tornes' profile that moved him from a 45+ to a straight 45?  Or was this just kind of re-calibrating how to value these kinds of far off guys with a lot of questions to answer?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
71% contact rate in the DSL is a little bit scary, likely corner guy. Still looks like a first round HS bat but probably more toward the back half than inside the top 10, which is more what a 45+ is.
Kate
12:20
Is there anything we can look for in smaller guys with meh pop coming out of the draft to guess at who will actually develop meaningful impact?  Thinking about a guy like McGonigle.  I tend to miss on this profile of smaller, good hit tool guys who end up developing pop no one saw coming.  Like looking at a guy like Gavin Kilen and wondering if something like that might be in there?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
Hip/hand separation, maybe an uptick in measured bat speed if we have access to the amateur number from showcase/college tournament stuff.
Wood
12:21
Do you have any updated notes on two Nats prospects Luke Dickerson and Marconi German?
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