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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:02
Howdy howdy, hope everyone is well. I'm back at the kitchen island in Tempe to chat with everyone, do some draft postmortem, prep for a Top 100 update which will go live on Monday, talk trade deadline... the gamut.
12:03
Thanks, as always, for your wonderful support and readership during the list cycle and the draft. Time to start 2026 draft prep in earnest (East Coast Pro and underclass Area Codes get going right after the trade deadline) and update some contenders' systems prior to the deluge of deals.
But for now, let's chat...
Scotty
12:04
It was reported that Alejandro Rosario still hasn't had TJS... any insight on this? I try not to speculate but it feels like some off the field problem and are we looking at a player who might never get on the field again...
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
This is a Chris Young quote from Kennedi Landry's reporting in February: "..it's likely UCL, I don't want to officially say, but yeah, it's elbow and will probably require Tommy John. … He's going to require surgery. As with all these things, we want to check the boxes and make sure we get multiple opinions. We don't want to sit on this and not announce it when we know he's going to be out, but we're still figuring out the next steps.” I
Here's an Evan Grant tweet that Scooter is referring to...
12:07
sorry to link to the hell site
I have no insight on this, I'll ask around myself and call Pablo Torre's hotline to see if he'll take the case.
IDK what "unrelated issues" could be, but it reads like discontent to me
Dodgers
12:07
Chances Hope or De Paula get traded?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
Given what the market value of prospects seems to be right now, I'd say it's unlikely. I'm not sure there's a big enough fish out there to merit either's inclusion unless it's a bold one-for-one deal, or if it turns out someone we didn't know was available gets moved.
bushupking
12:10
Can anything be gleaned from Jaison Chourio's season besides the fact he seems to have a bum shoulder? Seems like he's been unable to get any momentum.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
He was at least a little bit overrated coming in. At-bat quality is awesome, swing is nowhere near actualized for power and he might be a corner guy
No farm
12:10
Bergert Padres #3? Is he fulfilling your write up. Legit growth or 5th starter 4.50 era?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
My grade is that of a good team's no. 4/5 and he looks about that good. I know I ranked him 3rd but it's a bad system. He was an MLB-ready starter, I'll take it compared to the Kash Mayfield types who are years away and about as talented
Edmundo
12:13
It's being reported BOS turned down Cease, Salas+ for Jarren Duran. Contract wise, I can see why, but can you explain the current perception of Salas' value at age 19 in relation to what you'd expect Duran to fetch? I'd think Duran's value is on its way down?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
It's much easier for me to sit and wait for Ethan Salas to get healthy than it would be to trade one of the deadline's better chips for an injured guy who hasn't performed on paper since 2023.
Alek
12:16
If you’re the Nats, and a package like Alcantara, Ballesteros, and Wiggins comes along, I think you should do that right? The team probably isnt making the playoffs in ‘26, and who knows if a ‘27 season even happens. Then, Gore is a FA.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
IDK if those are the exact names I'm asking for but your logic about moving Gore is sound. At this snapshot in time I think we'll have a '27 season, personally, too much incentive to avoid full season work stoppage.
12:17
But I agree that Gore probably won't sign an extension, and I do think the Cubs covet him.
Jonah Tong
12:17
Any intel as to why I haven't been promoted to triple-A yet?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
You've made two Double A starts?
Oddball Herrera
12:19
How much do you balance age-at-level vs performance?  I am looking at Walcott - his numbers only scream superstar if you couch them in "look at how old he is" terms.   Would you rather bet on a 19 year old putting up his not bad numbers in AA or a 22/23 year old putting up dominant ones at the same level?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
His age (and more importantly his physical projection, which is related to age but not exactly the same thing) contextualizes his performance but I'm not about making some sort of age-related calculation or anything. Is the 23 year old you're talking about built like Walcott is?
12:23
He's 19, is built like prime Larry Fitzgerald and already has 60 raw. His swing isn't actualized for power, but he's 19 so who cares?
Lord Thunder
12:23
Ben was asked in his chat this morning about the large number of "huge athletic freaks" atop the Trade Value list. Who stands out from the draft as that type of player?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:24
Holliday, Arquette, Grays Murf and Taitn, Neyens, Kilby...
Quentin Young
12:25
Nick Becker, Mason Ligenza
Some of the college outfielders who went in rounds 3 to 5
guys with contact risk
James Quinn-Irons, Landyn Vidourek
12:26
Rememebr you can always sort The Board by physical attributes: The Board | FanGraphs Baseball
Barcode Bo
12:26
What is Kevin Alcantara's trade value relative to 4 months ago?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
I think his option years getting squeezed means he's only really a trade fit for a team that has time to let him struggle in the bigs for a couple years
12:27
Like it's a tough fit for PIT because they've gotta get better soon, they can't have him making adjustments for 18 months
War2d2
12:27
Hi Eric! I was reading a thing about the Cubs’ draft and the writer was really excited about their 6th rounder, Jo Hartshorn. They claimed he was a 2nd round value but was thought to be committed to college. Have you put eyes on him? I’d never heard the name before. I realize he’s 5+ years out but I’m always up for some wishcasting.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
Had him ranked more toward the back of Rd 3, he got early second round money at 2mil. my report from The Board: Physical switch-hitting power bat. Injuries (elbow, back) forced him to stop switch-hitting at various points of his high school career, making more impressive his feel to hit (especially from the left side) at this stage because both swings are fairly dialed in and functional. Posted 84% contact rate from both sides of the dish on the showcase circuit. Gap-to-gap style from both sides. Average big league raw power right now (hit a handful of balls 109-111 mph at the Combine), but might not grow into more, as Hartshorn's body is already maxed out. Late-second/third round mix.
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