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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:02
Good morning, everyone. Let me tweet a chat link and we'll get started.
12:03
Alrighty then
12:04
Let's do some links...
I was on the inaugural Keith Law Show over on The Athletic which they somehow cut down to 40 minutes. https://theathletic.com/podcast/168-the-keith-law-show/
12:06
There are two new lists which can be accessed via the prospects homepage https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects
12:07
And I had some general notes go up midweek https://blogs.fangraphs.com/some-cactus-league-and-mlb-draft-scouting-...
Reynolds
12:07
you mentioned that Heriberto was your favorite guy from back half of top 100. what makes him special to you/separates him from peers on the list?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:08
I just like watching him rake. It's 'favorite' in the same way that butter pecan is my favorite, not that I like Heriberto more than others from an analysis standpoint. I've just never seen a player hit the ball so hard so consistently here in Arizona in my five years of living here.
J
12:08
Is your apprehension about Aaron Bracho more defense-based or projectability/frame based? It seems like his bat is very, very good
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
Both. I like the bat, too, but he's LF for me and no body projection.
Xavier
12:09
Eric, how would you rank Andy Pages against recent draftees? Seems to me he's a first-round talent after that pretty sweet 2019 statline.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
You've gotta scrutinize Pioneer League stats. Just toss them out, they're way inflated. He's still in the 40+/45 area. It's a power-based corner profile.
Peter
12:10
Between Alcantara, Duran, and Vargas, who do you think has best chance to be an MLB regular? Duran is oldest/closer, but not sure if that's all there is to it.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
Vargas' defensive ability arguably gives him the highest floor of that group. Duran is doing a high wire act at 2B but if he stays there he has rare power for that position.
Hermie
12:11
Hey, Eric. Did Luis Escobar graduate off the Pirates list, or did he drop below FV35? Thanks!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
I just cut him. He was outrighted off the roster, not a great sign
Danny K.
12:13
The board is one of my favorite features on any sports outlet. Noticed that “risk” is no longer included for the 2020 prospects. Will this be added later on or are you moving away from that?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
Kiley and I were considering updating the Variance ('risk' fits better on the page but really it's 'variance') column to something more detailed and it never materialized, so I'm gonna bring back straight up variance.
Bearry
12:15
I remember reading that Michael Plassmeyer had some good spin rates on his FB/Curve that helped him succeed. Do you know what his trackman reports are saying and if there's anything to like there?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
I have him 88-91 with 2300rpm, which is slightly above the average fastball spin rate but probably plus at that velo (velo and spin are correlated)
BarryBondsJuicedForOurSins
12:16
Tell me a little about Miguel Yajure.  Is he the Yankees best pitching prospect after Garcia?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
Yankees list early next week
greg
12:16
Will Akiyama and Tsutsugo be on prospect lists?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
No, I wrote them up elsewhere so we have something and I'll probably say where on the team lists they'd be, but my six-year window of analysis gets weird when the dudes are that old
BarryBondsJuicedForOurSins
12:18
After Paddack, Patino, and Munoz, the Padres don't appear to have much in the way of pitching prospects.  Am I wrong?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
They have a lot of sneaky pitchability guys, like A LOT, and some of them are going to grow into more velo than we expect and be something. They just have so many that it's pretty likely one or two pan out.
John
12:19
What separates Canaan Smith (picks to click) from the Duran group of NYY in top 100?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
the up-the-middle defensive fit
Zippy_TMS
12:20
I'm seeing some early hype about Reginald Preciado.  Have you had a chance to take a look at him?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
Saw him in the fall, he's on the Picks to Click.
John
12:21
Hey thanks again for the cat, she's doing awesome and we love her.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
Send me a pic!
PicktoClick
12:22
Christian Javier looks nasty thins Spring.  Why’s he so hard to hit?  Sustainable over a full season, or does the novelty wear off?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:24
Now *that* dude has elite spin. 2500ish rpm on the heater, it's a well-designed 4-pitch mix out of the bullpen.
Jojanse Torres
12:24
Have you seen me live? How good am I going to be?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Yes. Slider-first approach, probably a middle relief fit, non-zero chance at later/high leverage innings but I think it's unlikely.
sprenten
12:25
The comp for ONeil Cruz should be Corey Hart and not Aaron Judge.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Yes, that's a more apt body comp
Andy
12:26
How do you grade switch hitters with significantly different abilities on each side of the plate? Do you average the grades or use the higher of the two?
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