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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
2:01
Hey there, everyone. Time to chat.
RS
2:01
Giants catcher in the AFL, Matt Winn, profile good enough to be a major league backup?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
Several caveats when evaluating AFL catchers: they're probably tired, they're catching a whole new staff of guys, they're catching once or twice a week. So the error bar around evals of catchers here is greater. Having said that, I'd answer your question with a 'no'
Jay
2:03
Should the A’s let Lowrie walk and give Barreto a shot at 2B, or trade Barreto for pitching?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
I'd hold onto Barreto
Pip
2:03
Who's the better prospect moving forward, the National's, or the Phillies' Luis Garcia?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
Philly
Tom
2:03
Your thoughts on Lenny Torres?  Obviously long ways away. But was he the best arm in the AZL?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:04
Fastball command is below-average but his slider command is already above. He can spot that thing in an enticing but untouchable location pretty consistently. Best AZL arm? Sure, I don't think anyone had the stuff/chance to start combo he did here this summer.
Ryan
2:05
What do you think of Darwinzon Hernandez's prospects as a major-leaguer?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:05
Lefties with that kind of stuff are going to be big leaguers. I think Hernandez probably ends up in relief.
Will H.
2:05
In your professional opinion, what are the pros and cons of scouting video as opposed to live action?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:06
Several. An entire dimension is missing on video, limited depth of field, etc. Teams have more sophisticated equipment than I do, of course, and they can supplement video with color from data.
Ben
2:06
What is Gabriel Arias' ceiling with the bat and how likely is he to reach it?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:06
Plus SS with some power. Maybe 33-40% he gets there.
Pip
2:06
Seems like the Nats position players in the AFL have struggled so far. Do you think this is mostly a result of them being "raw" and less polished, or are they truly being overmatched by better competition?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:08
I'm not worried about Kieboom or Johnson (though I acknowledge Johnson may be limited) struggling (if they are, AFL stats aren't worth fretting over, good or bad) but haven't been smitten by the others from WSH who are here.
Trent
2:08
The Red Sox have control of Bogaerts for one more year.  Is there anyone in their system who could conceivably play SS in 2020 (e.g., CJ Chatham)?  Or should they be looking for free-agent or trade targets?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
You have the only name one could reasonably expect to be an internal option by 2020
David
2:09
Due to the small sample size, sounds like AFL has a fairly minimal impact on the Prospect evaluations.  Is there anyone who is looking like they may see a more significant improvement in their outlook? Rays and Mariners both seem to have lower evaluated hitters who are performing well.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:11
The statistical sample is small, noisy and meaningless but the eyeball scouting sample is not. Again, ditch the AFL stats. I'll say I've liked what I've seen from McCarthy, Fox and Evan White of the clubs you've mentioned, though.
Other Eric
2:11
Eric, I'm looking for an update on Garrett Cooper. Projections for 2019? His trackman readouts should make him a must buy low candidate.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:12
Yeah, I think he's a sneaky late-bloomer candidate.
Anthony
2:12
Has anyone in Fall League (beyond Whitley and Vlad) stood out to you so far?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:13
Sure, Trammell looks as expected (which is good), Abraham Toro-Hernandez and Luis Barrera have been terrific. Lots of guys, it's a great league.
Tommy N.
2:13
What would a feasible trade for Thor look like from the Padres’ side?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:13
I don't think the Mets properly scout the parts of SD's system that SD would want to deal from in such a trade
Pip
2:14
It seems to me that Carter Kieboom is likely a high floor, player, with a fairly low ceiling. Does hitting .280 with 30 2B, 20 HR and 10 SB seem like a reasonable expectation for a "peek" season?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:14
That seems like a pretty high ceiling season for a SS, and yeah that's what we think he's capable of.
Ben
2:14
Have you seen Nate Pearson at all in AFL this year? How did he look? Still have ace potential for you?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:14
Not yet. 'Ace potential' isn't really something I toss around, more something that has to be proven for 3-4 years in the Majors for me.
Mike
2:14
Is there anything to Nick Heath other than a hot week in the AFL and a solid walk rate this year? Looks like he has zero power.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:15
80 body, 80 run, instincts on the bases. You're right, there's not in-game power there.
EL
2:15
Any chance both Ramos and Bart will be ready before the end of 2020?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:15
Bart could handle a big league staff right now but would struggle to make contact. I bet you see him before you see Ramos.
Tumbler, Whiskey
2:15
Are peanut butter-filled pretzels a 70-grade snack?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:15
45
Anthony
2:15
Did you see Robinson Ortiz at all in the AZL? I know you liked him last year.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:16
Yup, low-90s, up to 94, long arm swing and the ball sails off to his arm side a lot. Future plus change, average breaker. Ability to throw strikes is in question. Still like him but think I'd take Carrillo instead of him at this point.
Danny
2:16
What should we make of Marlins RHP Jordan Yamamoto? He has put up huge numbers past two seasons with lots of swing-and-miss, and is rolling in AFL.
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