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Eno Sarris Baseball Chat
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Eno Sarris
10:59
Be here shortly!
11:02
These guys were great last week. A little harder than I thought from their radio hits, but really enjoyed them.
YD
12:02
What are two simple cost effective moves that could make the Royals good again
Eno Sarris
12:02
They need an SP and and a 2B. Wait till Kendrick signs and sign Murphy for less? SP market is crazy full of pitchers. Just put a 3/30 offer out there and wait till someone takes it?
Bruce
12:02
Who earns more in 5x5 for next year- Soler or Souza?
Eno Sarris
12:03
I'm taking Soler, like his approach, has bettered his k/bb numbers more significantly than Souza in past.
eno time
12:03
The Oriole Bird
12:03
Eno, what beer should I pair with the birth of my second son? I don't mean literally in the obstetric OR (he has already been born, and such casual drinking is not permitted in an operating theatre), but rather when celebrating my sleepless nights?
Eno Sarris
12:04
A coffee stout lol. Speedway! Life is just a speedway now, speeding between picking up crap and feeding them crap and cleaning their crap.
senpaisanto
12:04
hi eno! how many wins do you figure warthen's worth to the Mets?
Eno Sarris
12:04
Put the finishing touches on Familia and deGrom for sure. I'd be uncomfortable giving a coach more than a win or two though. Still, that's maybe worth $10 million!
Johny5Alive
12:04
the mets are selling wilmer as the utility guy... that's a mistake right? they cant honestly believe cabrera is at this point a better player than flores on either side of the ball
Eno Sarris
12:06
I'd actually pause before I say anything definitive defensively. Offensively, Wilmer projected to be about five percent better, but bats from right side. Might be a platoon thing.
Sean
12:06
Karns worth more than $1 in 5x5 mixed league?
Eno Sarris
12:06
only a dollar or two more, and I like him. Keep him under five for sure.
Todd
12:07
Reports are that the Reds insisted on C. Frazier and B. Zimmer - plus in their trade talks with the Indians for Todd Frazier, but then they settle on a deal centering around Peraza. Does this make any sense? Wouldn't a deal centered around one of C. Frazier or B. Zimmer had made more sense?
Eno Sarris
12:08
Zimmer has to be the best prospect, but I'm guessing they liked the second and third pieces better from Dodgers. I've been in similar negotiations in my 20-teamer, though, and I think you push for the single best piece and don't worry about the rest.
lord helmut
12:08
how do you interpret this - “Historically, we haven’t,” Mozeliak said. “That’s something that we may have to recalibrate ourselves and rethink it. We’ve had a very disciplined process to date and it has worked. I think we all recognize that sometimes you have to change. Sometimes you have to do things that get you out of the comfort zone. I’m not suggesting that that’s exactly what we’ll do. But my point is think back over the last few years and the model was definitely working. But the game is changing a bit. Are we going to change with it? It’s certainly something that we understand that we have to be cognizant of — and willing to accept.”
Eno Sarris
12:09
"We couldn't afford the stars we tried to get and now we have to wonder if our model was spitting out too low a number or if other people just overpaid"
Marty
12:09
We aren't in the 'know' but the Dodgers look to be doing some very stupid things.
Eno Sarris
12:09
They just washed three prospects for better prospects (by them at least) without doing anything but being there at the right time! Dropping out of Iwakuma if they don't like the physical is fine.
Johny5Alive
12:10
the mets were projected to be mediocre last season, and were being just that until after the trade deadline. obviously, some better than anticipated play and luck put them where they were. Aren't they essentially the same this year? i mean, the odds are good they dont even make the playoffs again
Eno Sarris
12:10
You're not going to project rookie pitchers to be as good as Thor was, but you will project him to be good his sophomore season if he makes good in his first season. The Mets are projected to be a top-ten team this year, better than that I think, without looking.
senpaisanto
12:10
any reason why there hasn't been any Mets/Cubs trade smoke?
Eno Sarris
12:10
There has been forever. It won't happen if it hasn't.
The Oriole Bird
12:11
Here's a cautionary tale, Eno. Ever since learning that "confidence" is an oft-used explanation for all manners of sporting brilliance, I have been cynical about the word's usage in other contexts. My recent reading of the very good book "Performance Under Pressure" has reaffirmed the importance of confidence in our personal success and welfare. So let's all remember that sportscasters say dumb, dumb things--but this shouldn't blind us to other truths.
Eno Sarris
12:11
Allen Webster reminds me of this. But confidence is funny. Carrasco had none until he went to the bullpen, didn't worry about command, and just threw his fastball by people. Then he got the confidence to throw the ball in the zone. Then he was great. It can come and go, and probably faster than the people that think confidence is super important think it moves.
Corey
12:12
These are my undervalued OF targets for fantasy this year. Piscotty, Grichuk, Peralta, Soler, Conforto. What are your thoughts?
Eno Sarris
12:12
Yes.
Sean
12:12
Saw your tweet about Chris Bassitt, but didn't see him mentioned in the article. Does he have legit breakout potential this season?
Eno Sarris
12:12
Less legit than others that got more mention, but 93 mph FB plus hard slider and a curve that's getting better, in that park, means I'll have shares.
Drew
12:13
Nice piece on slide pieces. You concluded that "Velocity differential is not very useful for predicting swinging strikes." Maybe I'm reading this wrong but 13.9% and 16.6% are pretty different. Why are they not statistically significant enough to be predictive. And why is the 3% change in GB% from 46 to 43 predictive?
Eno Sarris
12:13
The buckets aren't about being predictive, that's descriptive, so don't worry about the 3%. You have to look at the number under velocity differential to see how much that contributes to swinging strike, and it's a super low number.
ballsandgutters
12:14
if Kiley McDaniel leaves Fangraphs to be an asst. director of baseball operations, Eno Sarris would leave Fangraphs to be (________)?
Eno Sarris
12:15
I never thought there was a role in baseball for me until I read Big Data by Travis Sawchick. I can't be Dan Fox, he's the man, but could I be a FO guy that runs numbers and talks to the players about them? Yes. Whatever that role is called.
senpaisanto
12:15
if you built a book filled exclusively w/ pix of pitchgrips - i would come
Eno Sarris
12:15
Tell my agent please.
Method
12:15
Eno, Kenny Williams has started haunting my dreams. Why do the Wsox keep straddling this imaginary line of "competing"; what will it take for another organization to hire him away? Why cant they just do a legit rebuild instead of trying to get struggling flawed sluggers from the NL that never pan out? Is KW collecting our tears to store his live lobster?
Eno Sarris
12:16
Got a piece about this coming up on ESPN. It's about the A's, but in it Billy Beane says "sometimes good things happen." And think about it this way. A team projected to win 81 games probably has a standard deviation of about 10 games. So winning 91 wouldn't be that big a deal. Except it would be.
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