JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/8/22

Dan Szymborski

12:02

The appointed time that the prophecy foretold has now arrived.

Bo Callahan

12:02

Who would you rather have for the next 5 years? Adley or Julio?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Such a cruel question to pose an O's fan.

If given the choice, I'd marginally take Julio

young catchers always have an element of scary

even terrific ones

and Julio's more likely to have additional offensive development

12:04

But I'm super-stoked about Adley!

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

12:04

Does the new Detroit GM try to undo the recent go for it moves or stick them out while resetting the rebuild around them?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

I think that ownership will have a ton to say about that, which makes it hard to guess. They've had enough setbacks that I'm not sure they can really go for it unless they want a Mets-sized payroll

Bork

12:04

Which team would be best if every team got shot by the ray in Hotel Transylvania 4 and got turned into monsters?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

Still the Dodgers? I assume that the relative baseball-playing abilities of these monsters would stay relatively intact

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

12:05

Forget the MVP Award. Assume Judge and Ohtani are free agents this offseason and both will agree to the same long term contract. Which do you sign?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

Gotta be Ohtani. Even two years in age is a significant difference in free agent valuation.

The guy who asks the lunch question

12:06

What's for lunch, Dan?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I have a coke and a giant hunk of Tilsit

Dansby Swansong

12:09

Does Tony Clark understand the full implication of unionizing the minor leagues and the conflict it could present?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

I don't know what he understands, but I doubt he's unaware of the consequences. It may be painful, but it's an inevitability, I think, the question is when it happens between soon and 2050 or something.

12:10

MLB's patchwork two-tier system is just really unwieldy and leads to really weird incentives

Oddball Herrera

12:10

Barry Bonds was walked intentionally 120 times in a season at his peak. Judge is at 14. Admittedly Judge is not Bonds, but why such a massive disparity?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Bonds was absolutely terrifying

Guest

12:11

When was the last time teammates lead the league (or MLB) in stolen bases?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Maury Wills and Willie Davis in 1962

Jackson Ingram

12:12

Which young diamondbacks outfielder finds a new home this winter

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I don't think they necessarily have to trade any of their OFs. Marte's pretty much a 2B again and the universal DH allows some shuffling of more outfielders

12:14

Now, if you mean it more literally, Jake McCarthy's financial position has largely improved so he might be shopping for real estate

Ben

12:17

If a batter hits into a fielder's choice, but everybody is safe, (say there is a play at the plate, but the run scores safely and the hitter is safe on 1st) how is that accounted for in wRC+ and WAR? Does the batter get credit the same as if it were a single or as if is were a strikeout or somewhere in between?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

It actually depends on how the official scorer chooses to treat it

Josh Nelson

12:18

Hey, Dan. Should the White Sox continue rolling with Miguel Cairo as interim manager and keep Tony La Russa in Arizona?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

I'd "accidentally" put him on a flight to Madagascar and keep blaming "computer problems" for not being able to bring him home

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:19

Trayce Thompson - legit every day OF or a nice story and a hot streak?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Nice story and his stock has gone up, but let's not go nuts yet

Jolly Roger

12:19

Reasons at all to be optimistic moving forward in Pittsburgh?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

In the short term? Not really.

The Pirates may continue to rebuild and have windows of relevance

12:20

But ownership never shows a willingness to put them over the top

12:22

At the start of the Coonelly/Huntington era, the claim was always that all those cheap years made it easy for the Pirates to save for when the team was in contention.

Instead, their payroll peaked at $100 million

Spleebs

12:23

Hi Dan, any idea what's going on with Corbin Burnes lately? I know he's slated to start again today, but these past few starts have been rough for him. Am I reading too much into small sample stuff, or do you think there's something concerning beneath the surface?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

I'm not worried, though some regression was natural; his peripheral stats aren't up to the standards of last year. ZiPS in particular had him as the number one walk overachiever and number 16 strikeout overachiever last month

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