JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/29/22

Dan Szymborski

12:09

And we are here! There's no queue, so feel free to ask anything off the top of your head.

I had some technical difficulties.

Champdo

12:09

What are your thoughts on Kerry Carpenter and Ryan Kreidler

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Definitely curious to see Carpenter's ZiPS this year. His improvement in power this year has been insane, more than can be explained by the big bump in offense in the minors

He's in the right organization to continue to get opportunities.

12:11

Would be funny if he turned out to be Spencer Torkelson instead of Spencer Torkelson

Appa Yip Yip

12:11

Which of your cats is most likely to conspire against you?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Constantine

12:12

He's the moodiest of the quartet and will nip a little if you thwart him too much

Appa Yip Yip

12:12

If your cats formed an adventuring party what class would each of them be?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Constantine would be thief, Mercutio would be a fighter, Cassiopeia would be a black mage, and Justinian would be a monk

Wiz

12:12

As a fan (who also understands long term consequences), what would your ideal Orioles off-season be?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Signing Rodon

Dont' get obsessed with overpaying on third-tier role players like some teams to do when they approach contention

12:14

Don't fall too much in love with players who happened to be here this year but aren't part of the core talent

Angelus Novus

12:14

Are the Orioles just gonna be one of those organizations (Rays, Hou) who are on the cutting edge from now on?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I certainly hope so!

Slapshot

12:15

What's the best stadium food you've ever eaten?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Well, I did one of those steamed crabs days at Camden around 1997 or 1998 so that obviously!

12:16

Hmm, actually probably a year or two later since I was buying beer

Tim

12:16

Biggest prospect surprises of ‘22?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Gunnar Henderson going from a good prospect to elite tier was a big one

Mike Elias

12:17

Which Os infield prospect do you think will break out between westburg, ortiz, and norby? Could they trade one for pitching?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

J-West

Wilson

12:17

Can the cubs compete next year?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

They *can*. The division just isn't good

Cabrera

12:17

Do you think he starts again? Thx!

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Wait, Rodon?

12:18

He's starting today, no?

Which should leave him with a second start

Oh no, there isn't a very recent injury I'm not aware of yet, is there?

12:19

I was up goofing around on ZiPS too late and didn't wake up until 10:45

baseballenjoyer

12:19

any performance justifications for James Click not currently having a contract after this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Not really, no

Jim Crane's call. Word has been he's demanding

Guest

12:19

Thank you for all your work over the years! A question that's been bugging me for ages: do you think there's any chance we'll get a totally backwards-facing, contextualized, retrospective version of WAR any time?

How do you think it'd work? Something like swapping in RE24 for RBat and doing a similar adjustment for SB? Maybe something like OpenWAR? What do you think? IIRC, BaseballGauge used to have a customizable WAR engine that could get kinda close to this?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

While someone may do something like this, I'm not sure that it will be *here*

There comes a point at which the increased confusion isn't worth the gains of having another WAR around that does something else.

12:20

That's why the ZiPS WAR (zWAR) is only really used for the projections on my end

Sirras

12:20

How do you see the NYM-ATL series playing out? Who wins the series and who wins the division?

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