JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/26/19

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Dan Szymborski

12:02

It is time. A time for chats.

James

12:03

After last night Greinkes fangraphs war for 2019 past his 2015 war. Do you buy that he has been more valuable this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Absolutely.

12:04

Let's not forget that offense is up more than a half-run a game since 2015

And Arizona is still tougher than Dodger stadium

Adam

12:06

Which wild card contender is most likely to beat the Astros in the division series?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I still think the Indians can be dangerous in a short series where you get a lot of Beebs and Clevs

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:07

Daniel-son, do you have any thoughts about the top of the 2020 draft at the moment? Tork or Martin for you?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Dean Martin > Peter Tork

Since it's the Tigers, I think it's Torkelson

12:08

I suspect the Orioles would have tkaen Hancock

While I generally advocate taking the best player available and bollocks to the position (given the length of time and uncertainty in the MLB draft), the Tigers are just *so* awful offensively on the farm and so much better with pitching that I don't think you can't take a top bat

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:09

The Tigers are clearly devoid of any quality hitting, but have money to spend. Is there any half-decent FA bat you could see actually being a realistic fit for them this winter?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

Not really. Maybe they'll make some one-year offers to guys like Smoak, but the team's pitching isn't going to be awesome in 2020 yet I don't think

v2micca

12:10

Acuña's quest for a 40/40 season has officially ended just shy of the mark due to the Braves wanting to ensure he is healthy for the NLDS. Are you as bummed out about his as I am?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

A little but this won't be the only shot

Anonymous

12:10

MLB's new Happy Fun Ball is neither 'Happy' nor 'Fun'. Discuss.

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Fact: It's still a ball

Kristen

12:11

What kind of deals will the better FA C's this offseason like D'Arnaud and Grandal get?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I can see d'arnaud MAYBE getting 2/20, but his injury history is going to scare people away as a catcher

Grandal, well, I'll be writing about him in the FA predics article!

v2micca

12:11

Why is it the AAA plays with the MLB ball, but not AA and below. Feels like an arbitrary cut-off point.

Dan Szymborski

12:11

DON'T RUIN THE WHOLE MINORS

Derek in LIttle Rock

12:12

I love wRC+ but do you know how the park factors, league averages, etc., are calculated in real time? Also: will you be hosting playoff chats and will you subsequently grow a playoff beard?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I'm not involved in that, so I'm not sure.

v2micca

12:12

Do you expect MLB to attempt to "de-juice" the ball this off-season?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Wicho, Jr.

12:12

Besides Machado, Tatis and a first baseman who shall not be named, how much of their current crop of players can the Padres realistically roll with next season if they want to make the playoffs?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I think a lot of them.

Adam

12:12

Do you think the pre-injury improvements Gallo showed this year will stick going forward?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Mostly, yes

Mariner's Fan

12:12

Are AFL stats used in the Zips model?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

They are not. When I've tried to make translations, they've been incredibly noisy. Maybe someone smarter than me has figured out a way

dfan

12:15

Can a 2-pitch pitcher like Paddack succeed at a high level in MLB or is the development of a 3rd pitch necessary to get to the elite level?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I expect his curve to improve over time. He's made such a big, fast jump to the majors that I think he's going more with what works right now as he's gotten adjusted to majors

David

12:16

For the last time in Seattle, Happy Felix Day.

Bobby

12:16

Like any normal human being, I’m always on a random B-R or FG page. I know this is FG, but I really need Goose Gossage’s 1975 bWAR explained to me please.

Dan Szymborski

12:17

well, that's 141 2/3 innings of *212* ERA+

(I knew the year you were referring to but had to look up to get the exact numbers)

12:18

White Sox defense helps him too.

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