JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/22/22

Dan Szymborski

12:03

ITS A CHAT

Camrin

12:03

Initial thoughts on the Tigers signing Scott Harris?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

We're not there yet, but I'm only 8 years older than Scott Harris, so I know the day is coming not just when GMs are my age, but GMs could THEORETICALLY BE MY KID

12:06

Really, it all comes down to how the ownership/Harris relationship goes.

Guest

12:06

Does ZiPS think that Logan O’Hoppe should be the Angels starting C in 2023?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

Looking at his ZiPS, I think that ZiPS would think so

Also, I do like how his name sounds like a beer company's sub-brand

Sam Adams Presents: Logan O'Hoppe's Kilkenny Thunder

12:10

Sam Adams Presents: Logan O'Hoppe's Oat Stout Explosion

Bill Whitehouse from Frederick, Md.

12:10

Why don't the Orioles go out and get more team speed?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

You get the fleas on bases getting picked off, trying to steal, and this is way shorter if you leave out all the curse words

Dayton Moore Talking Head

12:11

Is Dayton Moore a cultural fit with any other major league team (outside of an advisory-type role with no real power)?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Rockies for sure

SuaceBoss

12:11

Do you see Brandon Lowe going back to 4-5 WAR next season?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Five, maybe not, but I think he'll be above average

HornsUp

12:11

How should Scott Harris begin unraveling the Tigers mess? I don't think the org or fans can stomach 5 more years of rebuilding, nor do I think they're going to go Mike Ilitch with the checkbook.

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I think they need to stay the course. The organization isn't bereft of talent

12:13

But there needs to be a realization they can't hotshot a contender

Guest

12:13

Are the White Sox the most disappointing team compared to preseason expectations since the 2015 Nationals?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Depends you how you define expectations!

12:14

I mean they're what, 8 wins behind where expected? That's almost a nothing miss!

12:15

Even if you had perfect knowledge, you'd expect to miss on like six teams by that much

12:16

ZiPS projected the 2018 Orioles to go 77-85 and the 2018 Giants to go 88-74!

Dayton Moore Talking Head

12:16

If Judge was on, say, the Rangers, we're getting about half the coverage, right?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Nah, I do think Triple Crowns are interesting

Anonymous Coward

12:16

This Braves prospect has been mashing, and the defense gives him a high floor, but his plate discipline seems terrifying. Am I describing Michael Harris II or Drew Waters?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

It can't be Waters since he no longer counts as a Braves prospect

And he has not played particularly well in the majors

Dave

12:17

whenever a much older player like Pujols has a renaissance season, one of my first thoughts is "i wonder how much this affects the aging curve". i imagine there aren't too many players to pull from that have played a significant amount of time at 42, does Pujols's (above) average output this year have a noticable affect on your aging curve?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

No, ZiPS looks at hundreds of players

12:21

For example, here's the cutoff of the players that make up half the weight of Justin Verlander's future aging curve

Note that there are doubles here, this is before the step where ZiPS cuts out the doubles