JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/5/21

Dan Szymborski

12:01

The appointed time has arrived.

Sad, Confused Marlins Fan

12:01

Is this a regular Gallo ebb and flow thing or is he pressing with the new team?

Dan Szymborski

12:01

I think it's just a bad run

Moose_Bolton

12:01

If you became a chess grandmaster, what do you think the Szymborski Gambit would consist of?

Dan Szymborski

12:02

Dunno, grandmaster Szym would be better than actual Szym

12:03

And I think all the good gambits have probably been discovered?

thelaundry

12:04

Do you feel like we have enough information and park/league adjusted stats to account for the Happy Fun Ball being used in the minors right now?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

We never have *enough*

But I think we have a pretty good idea about the environment

Sid Bream

12:04

Why has nobody approached me about opening a restaurant chain of Crispy Bream Sliders? The ads write themselves.

Phil Buck

12:04

Our cat chose Willy Adames as NL mvp. Is he right?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

I'm sorry, cats lie

shh31

12:04

Hi Dan-- I was wondering what you think accounts for the difference between the ZiPS post-deadline model putting the Rays with a ~60% to win the AL East and the FanGraphs ensemble having them only with a ~33% chance. Which do you lean towards?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

ZiPS has generally liked the Rays more.

I do too.

I think the ZiPS model is good at sussing out depth

James

12:05

Kyle Tucker is hitting .326/.383/.620 since May 9. How close is that to his true talent level?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

A bit above, but he's a really good player

barney gumble

12:05

at what point does Belli get benched? or even optioned?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

I don't think he does, but I see him sitting more due to matchups

barney gumble

12:06

aaron judge has one of the largest xwOBA-wOBA differences in the league despite playing in a hitter's park. any idea why that's the case?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I'm not sure I follow. xwOBA isn't a park-adjusted version of wOBA, it's a statcast-calculated estimate of wOBA from hit balls

Pumpsie Green

12:07

Is Randy Dickchuk the correct name if the Blue Jays go with a Randall Grichuk/Corey Dickerson OF platoon?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

It is now!~

Who's Fabio?

12:07

Hey Dan - can the neural network tell us about Boba Chet's rise to the major leagues and his stature as the only Grey Jedi in MLB?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

Sorry, mom was knocking on my door.

I have that running, wait a minute

Mom has a key to my house, but for some reason prefers knocking anyway

Yuniesky Betancourt

12:12

What is the best office phrase that really means "I'm dead inside?" I vote for "Livin' the dream"

Dan Szymborski

12:12

teamwork makes the dreamwork

Sodo Mojo

12:12

In terms of total WAR is the Toro/Graveman trade going to be the most lopsided of this deadline when we look back in 4 years?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

It coudl very well be

Jon

12:12

As a long time Hosmer truther, what do you make of San Diego's failed attempts to trade him?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I expect the money didn't work out enough

Bebo

12:12

What does ZiPS think of the Padres' chances if Tatis has to be shut down?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I'll run this!

12:14

70%

down from 76%

(I'm already assuming less time and the Reds aren't super threatening)

Adam

12:14

I had thought the secret to unlocking Good Kenley was plenty of rest, but he had it last night and still got touched. Is it time to just hand over the job to Treinen?

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