JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/28/22

Dan Szymborski

12:00

It's chat time!

12:01

And yes, that's a Gordon Solie reference in the teaser for the link on the main page to this chat.

Champdo

12:01

So I saw something about how most tigers hitters vertical bat angle has gone down this year. Could that explain their hitting woes?

Dan Szymborski

12:01

I saw it too and in fact retweeted it! Whether it's the factor or not is a trickier matter. Causation is a cruel mistress. But it's at least *interesting* and worth a deeper exploration

12:02

Maybe I'll look at it in August at some point. But this week is TRADE DEADLINE MADNESS~!

or it better be!

S_McAnderson

12:02

Should the Giants sell? Very unlikely to host the wildcard series and only 1 in 5 chance of even getting there. Slater, Ruf, Yaz, Joc, a host of Ps. They have a lot of pieces...

Dan Szymborski

12:02

I don't get the impression that they intend to be sellers

But given how much they've struggled very recently, opinions in-org could have changed

Appa Yip Yip

12:02

Y u no maek trade 4 blue Jays :(

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Hey, I only made seven!

You want me to be murdered for submitting an 8000 word article?

OR MAYBE YOU DO, HOW DARE YOU SIR

RTJ

12:03

Padres in on Soto? Does Abrams move the other way?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

*If* the Padres were to get Soto, it would be a challenge to do it, I think, without giving up Abrams

12:05

They'd probably have to give up most of the prospects just behind Abrams

And I can understand Washington's position or at least what I imagine their position would be

"We're trading up the best player we're likely to have this generation. Other teams are offering their best prospect in the package. So why shouldn't we get yours?"

12:06

Now, maybe the theoretical Padres have a package that rebuts that general assumption

Sodo Mojo

12:06

Are you surprised about how little the Yankees had to give up for Beneddeti?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

No, it's actually fairly similar, in FV to the one I proposed

It's only two months of Benintendi. They weren't getting Reynolds or Laureano with the same pckage

Guest

12:06

How can we expect the Cubs return for Happ to compare to Benintendi’s return? Twice as much? Three times?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I hate multiplicatives of prospect value! It feels a bit like subtracting temperatures

But nothing in the Benintendi trade makes me think t hey'll get anything drastically different from what I suggested in my piece

12:08

(which was a 45 and a couple 40s; Benintendi fetched a 40+, a 40, and an unranked)

Vlad's Dad

12:08

Ross Atkins went on record saying that prices are very high at the moment, but the Benintendi trade makes me think otherwise. Do you think that deal set the market or do you think the vax status came with a discount?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

There's a lot of speculation that he is getting his vaccination

I don't think it was as big a deal as some from the Yankees perspective once I sat and crunched the numbers

Dom Browski

12:09

Is Ramon Laureano likely to be moved before the deadline, and what would be his most probable destination? Asking for a friend ...

Dan Szymborski

12:09

I think it's possible, but like Soto, I don't think the A's are necessarily in a rush

George

12:10

I’m seeing a lot of Padres-Soto rumors. With Gore hurt, Would Abrams, Hassell, Wood, Lesko, Merrill, and Zavala move the needle for you if you’re the Nats?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

For me, it would

Though they can't trade Lesko until after the WS

Scott A.

12:11

How you weigh?