JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/21/22

Dan Szymborski

12:02

Good afternoon!

12:02

Who is your favorite to get Soto? When is he more likely to be traded? August or November?

Dan Szymborski

12:02

I think he's more likely to be traded in the offseason

12:03

I think the Padres might make a push

Though I think where he ends up depending on how insistent they are in "bundling" Patrick Corbin in

Vic

12:04

On MLB draft night, so many Top 15 picks are spoke of in glowing terms. It's inferred that many of them are likely a 50/50 prop to have a Francisco Lindor type career. How many of this year's Top 15 even have a 20% chance of a Lindor type career?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

Honestly, I don't have the numbers in front of me! One thing you have to remember about Draft Day is that it by its nature optimistic. They're guessing what players *can* do not necessarily what they will.

But it's fairly low % obviously

Troy

12:05

Have we ever seen a comp to including a guy like Corbin in a big trade? The Adrian Gonzalez trade comes to mind, but crawford and beckett were useful players, albeit overpaid. The 35 mil owed to Corbin in 2024 is...mucho

Dan Szymborski

12:05

To *this* extreme? I haven't

12:06

Though I sometimes joke that the Tigers were trading cash to the Rangers but the condition was that you also had to take Prince Fielder

12:07

(Which was excessively mean since he was declining rapidly, but still useful at that point)

bron cena

12:07

where on the roster does zips say CHW needs to improve? and what dudes could they go for to do that?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

Could use another outfielder and a 2B. The former will be easier to find

Guest

12:08

Pablo Lopez for Santander, Mayo, Stowers, and Rom?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

I've heard worse, but I still think the O's are a year or so away from short-termish trades like that

Matt

12:08

When you go to a baseball game, what is your favorite thing to see/do at the park?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

beer! lol

Also find whatever interesting new hard alcohol concoction is available

12:12

Is there a Black Friday for Deadlinemas?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Not anymore!

barney gumble

12:12

hey Dan. Juan Soto is having, by his standards, a relatively pedestrian season. say the Nationals don't move him at the deadline and he has a second half Bonds-type explosion. is it possible that they'd get more during the offseason in that case than they would now?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I think it is

While they're exploring trades for him, there's no reason it HAS TO be right now

Bing Bong

12:13

Does a strong Montas showing today catapult his trade value back up to that of Luis Castillo?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Not to Castillo, no

12:14

I think all else being equal, Castillo would still be slightly more valuable

git pull hitter

12:14

Is Torkelson bad or fixable? Seems like he's got a good approach, just missing the ball. Maybe he needs glasses?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I think he's fixable

Al Avila

12:14

So when do I get fired?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I'm surprised you haven't been

sadtrombone

12:14

Joe Musgrove grades out as a guy who will be better, longer in FA because of his age. In the following offseason, Julio Urias will be 28.2 years old, Flaherty will be 29.1, Tyler Mahle will be 30.1, Ohtani will be 30.3, and Giolito will be 30.3. Which of these guys looks like the guy who has the best chance to hold value for the long-haul? (as a pitcher, have to specify that because of Ohtani). A team that isn't quite ready now, but should be ready in a year or two--who should they go after?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

As a pitcher, I think Giolito's probably the *safest* though obviously I love Ohtani

Jake

12:17

Everyone is talking about a potential Soto deal, but are there any sneaky under-the-radar additions the Mariners could make at the deadline at a much cheaper price?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I'd certainly talk to the Cubs about Chris Martin

Marshall

12:17

It would be cool to see an article on the ZiPS all-stars (the best players based on current projections) and comparing those to the actual all-star selections.

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Maybe, but it's so easy to just find the best current projections!

Adam

12:18

Do you like your favorite food more than you dislike your least favorite? If given a choice, would you eat the best version of your favorite but also have to eat the same portion size of your least favorite, or would you go with the same amount of something perfectly average instead?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I dislike my least favorite food -- the broccoli/cauliflower family -- far more than I enjoy anything in life

Guest

12:18

Just come out and say it: who wins the Juan Soto sweepstakes?

Load More Messages

Connecting…