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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/25/18
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AvatarDan Szymborski
2:03
A Time for Chats
Dan k
2:03
Will Harper rebound ?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:03
Yes
John S
2:03
should we expect to see your physique in the ESPN the BODY issue?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:03
They want to SELL magazines.
They should put me on the cover and sell velcro-on clothes for $4.99
Bubba
2:03
With the Phillies and Brave emerging with lots of great young talent, and Nationals seeing Soto demolish the league, when do you think the Mets can actually be competitive?  2027?  2049?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:04
Heh.  It's going to take some planning.
Alderson's "The middle ain't so bad there's no need for extremes!" lip service is not a godo sign
because hte Braves have a lot more talent and the Phillies a lot more money
KyleC
2:05
Are you a belieber?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:05
I specifically remember Jon Lieber
Or do you mean a bebieber?
Lebieber?
2:06
Maydread Lebieber?
2:07
Bieber doesn't exactly wow me or anyone with his stuff, but he's comfortable with his repertoire and the fact that he's striking out like 11 guys a game makes me more confident
Freddy Peralta
2:07
You bullish (stat based) or bearish (scout based)?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:07
ENDLESS PANIC
oh, on freddy
I was trying to figure out what you were referring to
didn't know you meant the name
2:09
Would like one less walk a game for sure
His stuff isn't amazing by any means.
And I don't think he's as much of a *pitcher* as Bieber is
2:10
Not so much his stuff, but his situation feels a bit like rookie Tony Cingrani
Jonathan
2:10
How would (will?) ZiPS handle a case like Alex Reyes, where he had TJS, came back and absolutely lambasted the hitters in every stop in his rehab assignment, but then got hurt again?  Would the dominant MiLB starts prop up his projection, or would ZiPS start getting increasingly pessimistic?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:10
ZiPS will hit him for the injury for sure.  There's additional risk in there
The projections you see already assume the TJS
James
2:11
Astros affiliates have the best records in AAA and AA. How meaningful is that going forward?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:11
Not very.  Never seen much of a relationship here
The number of players that are actual prospects are a small percentage, so those records are determined largely by non-prospects
Jonathan
2:11
Will ZiPS project "openers" like Sergio Romo with GS next year?  If so, does that break the old rule of not letting a player's role influence his projection?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:12
I'm still not sure.  I do have a history of giving the SP/RP projection depending, but I have to think about it
It's kind of a new thing
I'll probably just leave it as a swingman role, he's just swingmanning in early!
Oyster Burns
2:12
Is there an upgrade available for the yanks at first, or do you think healthy bird eventually hits better than the options on the market?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:12
I think he'll be fine
Billy Beane
2:12
Hey Dan. How's life?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:13
Pretty good!  Had a birthday and got a new car
Not for my birthday
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