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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/12/25

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Dan Szymborski

12:02

Of all the writers how cover baseball, Dan is one of them!

RockiesFanGirl

12:03

Dan, you have a better sense of this than most, but this is a serious question: What can be done to fix the Colorado Rockies?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

I really think you either need new ownership or a change in approach from the current one to give the front office the resources they need to modernize the front office completely.

12:04

There *are* people in the organization who are trying to modernize the organization, but they also need support and leeway.

Old MLB

12:05

With your 47th birthday coming up, who do you think among current major leaguers has the best chance to still be in the MLB at age 47? I guess Rich Hill has an outside shot but he largely looks cooked, and I don’t think Verlander or Carlos Santana are likely to last that long, so is it actually someone young with projectable long term skills like Soto? The plate discipline and power should still be in full swing a decade from now, but two decades is a crazy amount of time to project

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I think a reliever is most likely, maybe someone like Kirby Yates who doesn't blow away batters anyway

Wade Miley could be Jamie Moyer (though nto a reliever)

I don't think he wants to, but it *could* be Clayton Kershaw, becasue if he was interested in it, he could probably just part-time it with the Dodgers, signing every July, and they'd probably go along with it

12:07

You can't put "The final chat for Dan" as the start of the chat byline

Dan Szymborski

12:07

ANY chat can be the final chat!

Even when young. And the actuarial table only gets worse.

12:08

I should tell Meg and David that if I do happen to die, I'd like them to put up one last SzymChat that's exclusively to make jokes about my demise

I want to go out in a flurry of obnoxiousness

Guest

12:09

Goldschmidt last year 88 wRC+ vs RHP and this year 84. should he and Rice just be in a pure platoon?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Goldschmidt PROBABLY should, but it's difficult to just tell the veteran you signed a few months ago who may be a HoFer (he's 15th in JaffeJAWS) that they're going to be the small half of a platoon. And the Yankees are only starting Rice like half the time against lefties anyway and I hate to doom a young player to never get a chance to improve against same-handers

DFOX9139

12:11

What kind of return do you expect to Braves to get for Sale?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

If they did trade it, they ought to get quite a good return. The club option is highly enticing. I'm not sure the Braves are actually "there" yet though

Buyers or Cellars

12:13

True/False: o's victory over the league-leading Tigers yesterday proves they should be buyers at the deadline

Dan Szymborski

12:13

False. No game can prove anything about a season (or at least only extremely rarely) so it's usually false

I mean, a whole team can catch Ebola during a game for example, which really would have a huge effect o nthe season

Cromulent

12:14

Current worst contract per Zips? Top 3?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

I haven't tallied it, but Bogaerts is likely up there. Regrettably Trout because of his health. And with Vladito not maintaining his 2025 levels, he's probably up there just because the numbers are so big and the contract so much to go

Of the Grom

12:15

Has zips changed its outlook on the number of innings for deGrom, either this year or even next?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Yup, it's moved up considerably!

12 to 6

12:16

the pirates are not trading skenes.

can't see it unless he and his reps basically pull an nfl/nba style "get me the hell out of here or i'm going to dog it and make life miserable for you" move, and i don't see that happening.

but IF THEY DID, would Rushing, Ferris, De Paula, Zazueta, and Swan get them there?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I'm not sure that's even enough.

Wind Park Factors

12:16

Do park factors adequately account for wind in places like Wrigley or Citi where it frequently makes the difference on batted ball outcomes? Given how much the winds can change throughout the year I’d imagine just taking a running 3-year average would mask the trends when going month by month might give a more accurate picture of what is really happening. Wouldn’t both the Cubs and the Mets be interested in, say, a fly-ball lefty reliever and be interested in how their home parks will play up or down HR/FB% over the homestretch?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Probably not, but due to sample size, youi're not really going to get to.

12:17

The noise in park factors is massive, so that these micro-samples are going to have so much noise that you'll struggle to find the signal

Mets big splash

12:17

Am I crazy for thinking at least one of the Mets’ current starting pitchers gets traded by the trade deadline? There’s such a glut with reinforcements on the way that a contender-contender swap of positions of need feels like it makes a ton of sense; maybe even someone like Megill is included in a larger package for a long term piece

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I dunno, I can't see them trading a pitcher

Judge

12:17

It just keeps going

Sporter's Five Horses

12:18

Per Bowden, the Nats are looking to pair another ace via trade or offseason acq with Gore at the top of the rotation. I suppose this bodes well for an attempt at a serious run at in the next 2+ years, but if they flip their last remaining good prospects for another ace then I have a hard time seeing their rebuild yield more than a high 70s / low 80s win team. Fair assessment?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I mean, they do have most of the offensive core on the team now that they can build around

The opportunity to add HIGH quality pitching is really hard to ignore though

12:19

I think my feelings are going to be very specific-trade

Ben

12:19

How hot is Jerry Dipoto's seat?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Mildly?

Doug

12:21

What’s your take on Roberts leaving Suaer in to die and then bringing in a position player in the 6th? Seems like a joke and position player pitching rules need another update.

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Sauer definitely took one for the team!

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