JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/1/23

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/1/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:00

Greetings! I have a 1 PM appointment, so pretty strict on time today

CK

12:00

I noticed your Bengal reference and I appreciate it

Dan Szymborski

12:00

I made one?

Em

12:01

Do you think that first basemen would get fewer hamstring injuries, since they have to be flexible to receive throws from the other infielders?

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Dan Szymborski

12:01

I'm not sure, I'm not expert enough on the human body to know why this effect, if it exists, might exist

but it might be itneresting to study actual hamstring injuries by position

tongue

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12:05

Sorry, someone at door

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Tacoby Bellsbury

12:05

Why has DJ LeMahieu's strikeout rate skyrocketed? Is it fixable?

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Dan Szymborski

12:06

OK, who figured out reaction icons?

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It's skyrocketed, however, his fundamental plate discipline stats haven't changed grossly

His contact rate has gone down, but not "double the K rate" amount

12:07

I'm running a set of zStat numbers tonight for the third of the season, so there will actually be some clarity there

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Leland

12:08

Hunter Harvey 2 inning save after Finnegan worked 7th, Leiter Jr. also working high leverage, Alzolay looks like next in line for saves. Do you think Finnegan gets traded?

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Dan Szymborski

12:10

You mean to the Cubs?

I imagine the Nats would trade FInnegan this summer if someone's interested

I'm a bit confused, these are two questions right?

Wrights_Back

12:10

Thoughts on Mets pitching staff? Do they need a starter or one or two relievers to have any shot at the playoffs?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I think they still have a shot even without!

But they do need better fortune there

12:12

If no healthy+good Scherzer or Verlander, it's going to be tough though

Bippity

12:12

Any hope Abreu remembers he was a very good hitter very recently?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

There's still a shot, but as I wrote about back in April, the decline in his exit velocities are *very* worrisome

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12:13

As I noted at the time and peeved-at-me Astros fans did not, one of the characteristics of previous Abreu crap-Aprils *still* involved him hitting the ball hard (except 2016)

12:14

It's actually trended well in last couple of weeks

but his plate discipline changes are also scary - he's simultaneously swinging at fewer good pitches and more bad ones.

12:15

You'll see these numbers tend to be correlated when changes are approach based - a player being more aggressive, for example, will tend to see upticks in both, but hopefully a larger uptick in z-swing than o-swing

but going the bad way in both is typically a bad sign

and at Abreu's age, especially concerning. I wish I had bat speed data

NL only

12:15

Should Gary Sanchez be rostered in two C NL only leagues at this point? Think he might actually hit?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Depends how big the league is really!

I'm not sure he'll actually hit though

his BABIP finally got back to where it should have been last year and he still wasn't very good

12:17

and he wasn't really even killing minor league pitchers

Guest

12:17

What does AI suggest for the amount of beans in a chili recipe?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

the AI learns from bad chili recipes!

Curious reader

12:17

Do the authors communicate each week about what it is they'll be writing about; has there ever been a situation in which two writers basically wrote the same thing?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

We communicate in Slack channel what we're thinking of writing about

12:18

if I'm writing a similar subject to a piece a week or two before, Meg will double-check to make sure I'm doing something different enough to make it worthwhile

Like, if Eric and I were both doing pieces on Gunnar Henderson, we'd take very different approaches

12:19

So sometimes if my projected content is too close to something someone else is written, I'll go back to the drawing board and think of an additional spin that I can do that nobody else has yet done

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