JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/27/21

Dan Szymborski

12:03

IT IS CHAT TIME

12:03

More likely to be moved by the deadline: Haniger or Seager?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Haniger

CeddyBReady

12:03

So, all it took was giving up on hitting righty to get my stuff together. Can you comment on how a change in handedness will impact the projection for Ceddy Mullins going forward? Viva la Switchies!

Dan Szymborski

12:03

It should have some impact in season-to-season. less so in-season since it's a simpler model

12:06

You see switch-hitters with platoon splits give it up from time to time

Usually the ones who have big splits, for obvious reasons

Dan Grant

12:07

Are Ke'Bryan Hayes hitting improvements real?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

If you mean a wRC+ of 200, no.

But there's reason to think that he could theoretically be an average first baseman offensively now. That he's an awesome defensive third baseman makes it even better!

12:09

You know who else hit like an average 1B and was awesome defensively? ADRIAN BELTRE

You thought I was going to say the aristocrats, but that doesn't make any sense here

Not that I'm predicting he's Adrian Beltre

12:11

ZiPS had Hayes at 22 MLB WAR, tenth in the majors, before the 2020 season. And that was when ZiPS was ambivalent about his bat and thought he'd be a 90 OPS+ hitter for his career

12:12

That was up to 106 and 30 before this season

Frothing Mets Fans

12:12

What's up with my boy Franky Lindor?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

I'm...not sure

12:13

He's seemed oddly passive at the plate

12:14

But nobody's going to look good to your eyes when you know what their line is

Joseph

12:14

Yasmani Grandal... what’s this guys deal?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

Four years, $73 million.

(Sorry)

12:15

He believe in non-passive resistance to pitches he doesn't like. He's Plate Discipline Gandhi.

Maddoning

12:15

The Angels are going to waste another year of Trout and Ohtani, aren't they? Who can we blame for this travesty?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

It's the Angels curse

12:17

I really wanted to see them end up with Bauer

Ohtani is amazing though

Cave Dameron

12:17

Dan, have you ever dabbled with doing projection systems with other sports (NBA, NFL, competitive yo-yoing)? Thank you

Dan Szymborski

12:17

The first two

12:18

NBA farther along than NFL, but I have so much baseball stuff to do that it's way on the back burner

Did a lot with NFL when I was with ESPN, but the problem you run into is that, due to injury rates, you really should rarely predict a RB to have 1000 yards preseason and there's no way fantasy players don't scream bloody murder about that

Jacques Pederson

12:19

What did you think of the Shildt/Gallegos/Joe West incident yesterday, along with Shildt's post game press conference?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

On the one hand, MLB should investigate.

12:20

And shildt is right to be upset; the enforcement of substances seems to be quite arbitrary

On the other hand, I assume that Joe West is in the wrong because of Joe West's extensive history of being exactly wrong.

Eric the Red

12:21

have Castellanos and Winkers Zips dramatically changed due to their blistering starts? And flip side has Suarez Zips been negatively changed due to his terrible start?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

About 25 points of wRC+ for both in ZiPS ROS, which is about as dramatic as you'll get in season

12:21

Gleyber Torres, not a terrible defender at SS now ?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Still talking small sample

12:22

Nice to see some life in the bat after an execrable start

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