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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/21/26

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Dan Szymborski

12:02

Since there is a time to every purpose under heaven, so to there is one for SzymChat

WonderWall

12:04

Is Zips buying what Kyle Harrison has been doing so far?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Mostly-ish?

He's "down" about three tens of a run in the ZiPS ROS basic model

12:05

and right now, his 2027-2029 ERA+ projections are 103, 107, 109

So it's at least confident he's a 2/3 dude

But not in "he's an ace now" territory

drewsylvania

12:06

I did notice you were gone! I've been going "where's Dan?"

Dan Szymborski

12:07

JUST LIKE PIOOCHY

POOCHY

POOCHIE? I forget how it's spelled

ProfessorRossEforp

12:07

since all star break last year guards are 71-47 and tigers are 48-67

Ryan

12:07

Do you have any insights with the Guardians dominating the year to year change leaderboard for swing length and most of those guys seem to be having better results. The oddest part is they are not seeing gains in bat speed (according to savant)

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Unfortunately, I do not; it's hard to say whether it's an approach

Yesavages in the Box

12:07

Trey Yesavage has just one plus pitch, but man he looked good last night. Do you think he has to add a new look to become a true long-term ace, or is the splitter enough to carry him to glory?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I think it can be

12:08

And he's on the right team for a dude using mostly his splitter in several ways to be really good, since Kevin Gausman is RIGHT TEHRE!

Oh crap, I hit delete on a Q

It was about the three most TTO players of all time

(Sorry)

12:09

Rather than a literal BIP%, I'll go with more philosophical avataras

Rob Deer is kind of the proto-TTO dude, the one that caught the imagination of statheads

Late-stage Barry Bonds kind of the Platonic ideal of a TTO guy

12:10

and Dave Kingman as when it all goes wrong

With a smile

12:10

So relieved/happy to read you back. Aside: does ZIPS acknowledge physical make up of a player. Meaning a 5 foot 7 inch Luis Lara or a 6 foot 4 inch Ed Florentino.

Dan Szymborski

12:10

It doesn't; I just haven't found the data to be all that useful. Perhaps someone else has found it so in a different approach

Soddingjunkmail

12:10

With the guardians punting on catcher offense and going all in on catcher defense with Hedges and Bailey, it got me thinking: Is this (defense first catching) the “secret sauce” for their pitching development pipeline?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

It MIGHT be. But I'm also wary of the idea that Austin hedges is secreetly good

sadtrombone

12:10

Dan you were on vacation? No wonder things seemed so dull around here.

Dan Szymborski

12:10

You'r ejust humoring me!

Derek

12:10

From a viewership perspective, would you personally rather watch a pitchers duel or a slugfest of a game?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I like a good mix of things

I just don't want blowouts

Especially if I'm AT the park

Since if you're at the park, you can't just flip to one of the other dozen games going on

12:12

Thought it might be funny to be in the Reds pressbox and very clearly having another game on my laptop and paying attention to THAT game

Ryan

12:12

My girlfriend just moved in with me last weekend, and we're having a bit of a hard time integrating her cat with my two cats. Do you have any advice on introducing cats and getting them used to each other?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Yes, set aside a separate place with the new household cat. No direct meeting initially but let them smell each other's scents. Occasionally flip with the old household cats in the new cats territory and the new household cat outside the room.

Cats learn a lot about other cats and gain familiarity with scent

Guest

12:14

I’ve been puzzled by Arizona manager Torrey Lovullo’s bullpen usage. In particular his apparent reluctance to use Juan Morillo, who is listed here as the #2 guy. He’s pitched 3 innings since 5/08. Despite his 1.83 xERA and his 9.61/2.39 numbers. Is he mildly injured and being rested? Is he in the doghouse for some reason? Appreciate any insight you can offer, thanks.

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