JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/16/24

Dan Szymborski

12:01

There's a time for every purpose under heaven, even SzymChat

Guest

12:03

why is ZiPS still so in on Jack Suwinski's bat?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

One thing is I'm not sure taht wRC+ is working correctly on the FG page at the moment

12:04

But it's still an extremely small sample

and full fat ZiPS isn't that much more negative

Guest

12:04

With the new BatCast data, do you think it will turn out to be better to have tightly clustered A and B swings (in terms of length or bat speed), or to have a smooth continuum?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Honestly, I'm not sure yet

Edward

12:05

Who does zips think grabs the lions share of the NYY C position going forward? Both great framers and strengths offensively

Dan Szymborski

12:05

Not sure ZiPS really has an opinion o that type

I expect the amount of the job Wells grabs to be how much his bat plays

Maino

12:06

Is NYY bullpen a mirage?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

To an extent, but not Holmes

Gio

12:07

I feel like I need to stick with Jorge Soler - and reactivate him when he comes off of the IL this week - but I'm wondering if he's going to bounce back. What do you think?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Mildly confident maybe?

It was always going to be a bit of a struggle in the park he was in

And if MLB's monkeying with the baseballs again, I can see it hurting Soler more than the average palyer

Despair

12:07

Say some bad things about the Cardinals for the sake of my catharsis please

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I had a very mean AI thread yesterday

the person who asks the lunch question

12:07

what's for lunch?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I had a bowl of rice chex

12:08

there's chili in the slow cooker for later

Mary Kate Olsen

12:08

MARY. KATE. OLSEN.

Boo the whats for lunch guy

12:08

Boooo !!!!

LookAtThisGraf

12:08

When are we getting the “Padres MVP Jurickson Profar” piece??

Dan Szymborski

12:09

Literal answer: when someone at FanGraphs wants to write that piece

Actual answer: I imagine someone will be interested if he's still good by the end of May

Angelus Novus

12:09

Highly unlikely to happen but could you see the Os doing a bats for arm trade and targeting Crochet? What would the return for CWS look like?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

That woudl be a FUN trade, but I'm not sure the White Sox could get peak value from him now

for him

It remains to be seen how he'll hold up in a full season to a starter workload, even a 2024 starter one

Judge

12:10

Judge, 1st 100 PAs: .183/.320/.354, .304 wOBA, 98 wRC+, 3 HRs, 46.3% hard-hit%, 11.1% barrel%, 0.3 fWAR
Judge, Next 98 PAs: .329/.454/.734, .496 wOBA, 231 wRC+, 8 HRs, 72.1% hard-hit, 26.2% barrel, 1.8 fWAR
1st in HR, SLG, wOBA, wRC+, hard-hit%, barrel%, and WAR in those 98.

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Turns out he's good at hitting balls. Who knew?

Bobby Witless

12:10

Hey, are the Royals a thing, or is this a mirage? (You can't answer "April!" anymore.)

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Yes...ish?

Alex

12:12

Do players get "punished" or "rewarded" in defensive ratings like OAA or UZR if another player makes a catch in the first players "area"?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

This talks about it towards the bottom IIRC

https://www.sportingnews.com/us/mlb/news/mlb-advanced-stats-statcast-d...

Kyle Tucker Career

12:12

have you run Tucker’s rest of career projections? Is he reasonably likely to put up a HoF career with 400 hrs and 300 steals? Or is he more of a Shawn Green comparison

Dan Szymborski

12:16

ZiPS has him a bit short, 2163 H, 384 HR, 234 SB, 49.6 WAR

12:17

so above green

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