JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/8/21

Dan Szymborski

12:03

April!

April.

LFC Mike

12:03

The over/under for the answer "It's April" has been set at 5 and a half for this first chat after a week of baseball. And now....the man you would let punch you in the face and then give you his autograph....Heeeeeeeere's DAN...

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Aprilteen

Guest

12:03

FYI - the current link on the homepage for this chat 404's

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Should be working now!

Rougned Odor

12:03

Hi Dan, I'm Rougned Odor. This is my father Rougned Odor and that's my brother Rougned Odor.

LFC Mike

12:05

On a sad and serious note..Do you think Tatis can rest/rehab the shoulder and be effective this year?.....or are they delaying the inevitable?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I imagine it's possible. I think I'd be more worried if he also had to make the deep throw from short left-handed (since that's the problem one). Swing is bad enough

But I don't have his diagnostics and even if he did I'm not a doctor!

Pwn Shop

12:06

Roses are white, tulips are red,
The Angels are living, the A's are ____?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

the baseball team based in Oakland, CA.

Kyler

12:07

Hey Dan I found a problem with a ZiPS ROS projections... Pablo Sandoval should be projected for a .420 wOBA with a 169 wRC+. In a seriousness, I'm glad to see Panda having some success. He's a fun guy.

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Brandon McCarthy finished with 69 wins and a 4.20 ERA.

SPFan

12:07

Hi Dan, Corbin Burnes will be a Top ___ pitcher by season’s end

Dan Szymborski

12:08

Brewers

Chuck

12:09

Hi Dan, thoughts on the A's closer situation assuming Rosenthal opts for surgery?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

I assume Diekman

Tyler

12:09

What's the difference between ZiPS (Rest of Season) and ZiPS (update)? Unfortunately I've been unable to find an answer myself due to "update" having the audacity to also be a regular word that shows up in searches

Dan Szymborski

12:09

Update is ZiPS RoS plus whatever's banked already

So a projection of what the final line *will* be rather than what it will be the *rest* of the way

Hey dan!

12:09

So i've been thinking about setting up a dashboard in tableau/PBI to track some of my favorite players/prospects in a single place - Do you know of any sites that will allows you to set up scheduled extracts of player stats? Or would I be better off writing batch jobs locally to go out and pull the data on a daily basis? Thanks for your work, i find the projections/data work you provide to be extremely valuable

Dan Szymborski

12:09

Not sure, honestly.

12:10

I usually find the data I need and then figure out the technological solutions to use the data afterwards

Generally speaking, your own batch job is probably the easiest. I don't know of any that do precisely what you want

And I'm glad you're finding my work useful!

All models are wrong. But some are useful.

Tom

12:12

I am the only person who misses Rick Porcello. Where is he?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Still a street FA. I suspect Ricky Raindrops will find his way onto a roster.

Stonks Down

12:12

Keston Hiura looks absolutely lost. Is he worth holding or trading off for a mid-tier pitcher at this point?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I'd absolutely trade him in a redraft league

He's a mess now. When the minors start, he needs to be in Triple-A if he's not making better contact

He's swinging at everything and, in what is a serious problem for that profile, missing everything!

ptonkon

12:13

I have noticed a trend with pandemic scheduling for NHL and CBB, I was curious if it applies to MLB. Back to back scheduling for NHL and college basketball has led trends that suggest, home venue advantage is significantly stronger on the second leg of B2B, taxonomically speaking this gives the away team a better chance of victory on the first game. Do you believe this applies to MLB?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I would guess not, though I haven't looked at it. home field advantage tends to be fairly small in baseball

Kate

12:14

Thoughts on John Means after two starts? Obviously not an ace, but is he a solid mid-rotation guy going fwd?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

I'm a bit disappointed he's not topping out at 95/96 like he was last year

But I did pick him as a breakout candidate in my piece

Snake Bit

12:18