JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/6/23

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/6/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:31

And here we are, for a slightly time shifted chat!

Guest

12:32

Joey Wiemer = Adolis Garcia 2.0?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

Not sure that really fits. Garcia was older but with a better track record

Wiemer's .800ish total OPS in AAA last year is actually quite underwhelming for the offensive environment he played in

So I wouldn't get excited about a handful of games

Or are you just trying to get me to answer April!

Guest

12:32

it doesn't seem reasonable to me that mookie betts would have a 1.5 Def, and acuna would have -0.7. i can accept that betts is a superior fielder, but how is the spread so big so soon? especially since acuna has made every play that's come his way and has a few assists. what does into that calculation?

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I think you're reacting a bit too much to stats that have a lot of volatility and will go up and down over the course of the season

Defensive numbers are always especially volatile.

Counting a relative measure like defense isn't like counting homers.

The homers don't go down.

12:34

As for individual plays, it's hard for me to dissect since I haven't seen all their defensive plays and even if I had, I am not blessed with an eidetic memory

Zack

12:34

When did Gleyber Torres turn into Mickey Mantle? I love SSS

Dan Szymborski

12:34

Be careful about loving SSS, because you're only one letter off from loving this

12:35

laughing

2

Antonio

12:35

Are there any specific kind of showers which are more predictive of May flowers?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Printemps

Tommy

12:35

What do the Yankees do with the (likely) Donaldson injury? Call up Peraza and slide him to third?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

LeMahieu is the best option and playing Tony Phillips is what he's around to do. For an extended injury -- I don't think Donaldson's there this time unless I missed an update this morning -- I think it depends what else is going on in the roster at the time

Bill

12:40

Should the Yankees stick with Brito? That changeup is devastating but I'm worried about how he'd fare against a right heavy lineup

Dan Szymborski

12:40

He actually had pretty decent spare starter projections coming into the season!

12:43

I wouldn't worry too much yet - while he had a reverse platoon split in the minors last year, you also want to be very careful about how you use short term platoon splits

They're more even looking at this career as a whole

ZiPS projects righties to hit 252/299/385 off him and lefties 258/325/441 - smaller splits than average but still present

Dallas

12:44

Good afternoon- if Henry Davis doesn’t stick at catcher long term, how would his FV change if he played say RF, and are you confident in his ability to hit at the major league level?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

I dont' want to speculate on our FV for him and how it would change since I woudln't be the one doing that

BUT

12:45

I would definitely be far lower on him as a prospect

Yes, he hit in high-A ball, but in a five run a league environment at 22, you BETTER hit at high-A

12:46

I'm certainly not confident until he shows he can hit in the high minors against competition his own age

Antonio

12:46

That reporter who was always trying to get the scoop on Teenaged Mutant Ninja Turtles…was that Tyler O’Neill’s sister?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

aunt

Phil

12:46

What's your guess - Tyler Wells to bullpen, or Grayson Rodriguez back to AAA when Kyle Bradish returns?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

I think it depends on how well he pitches

I'm sure the O's would like to wring out an extra year of service time from him

Phil

12:46

Is Shohei a real human?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Yes, but a future more highly evolved human who came here by time machine

Danny

12:47

Usually a slow starter, Cole looks locked in already. Finally getting Cy Cole?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Certainly off to a damn good start.

And he was already one of the contenders.

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