JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 4/18/24

Dan Szymborski

12:01

TIMEFORADANCHAT AH CN ADAR OF EMIT

the person who asks the lunch question

12:01

what's for lunch?

Dan Szymborski

12:01

Some stir-fried chicken I made on Tuesday.

v2micca

12:01

Braves appear to be testing their depth early. Are their losses going to be enough to give Philly a reasonable window of opportunity to take the division?

Dan Szymborski

12:01

I'm writing on this for tomorrow!

Angels firstbaseman

12:03

Nolan schanuel could obviously use some work at AAA but why don’t they call up a gold glove first base man named evan white to replace him?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Uh, isn't White still at Tacoma?

Mark

12:03

Re: Story's injury, are there any recent examples of a position player making a comeback in his thirties after missing significant time 3 years in a row? My gut tells me this is the sort of thing that ends careers but I don't know for sure.

Dan Szymborski

12:03

There have been pitchers. It's tough tough

though

Rob

12:04

Getting ready to start a playthrough of Baldur's Gate 3. Is Jose Altuve a Dwarf, Halfling, or Gnome? And which class should he be?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

He doesn't have the beard of a dwarf

Maybe a halfling?

Section 34

12:06

Dan, you are the right guy to ask this. I wonder about the most extreme effect possible from lineup construction, so I think about the 1970 Baltimore Orioles, who had 6 strong regulars (including two guys with OBP over .400) and also Mark Belanger. In later years, Earl Weaver occasionally batted Belanger first against lefties.

What if Belanger batted leadoff every game for the 1970 Orioles? Or third? How many fewer runs would they have scored? Is there a way to project this? Thank you.

Dan Szymborski

12:07

You can goof around here

https://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/LineupAnalysis.py

12:09

Don't forget, Belanger had a couple decent offensive seasons around that time frame

Naive Hope

12:09

When I watch Logan O'Hoppe from last year, the eye test seems like hes improved on defense alot. When I hopped online to look at his defensive metrics, I felt pleasantly suprised that they agreed. With his batting prowess, am I foolish to believe he might be a top 5-8 catcher.

Dan Szymborski

12:09

It's not at all foolish

Chris

12:10

Is there an observable reason Jesse Chavez performs better with the Braves? Are other teams using him differently, pitch selection, anything besides the jersey??

Dan Szymborski

12:10

Nothing I have seen

It might just be one of those weird things that happens?

12:11

Presumably, if *Chavez* was aware of something, he'd let other teams know

Tanner Houck

12:11

28:2 K:BB ratio. Sub-1.00 WHIP. A splitter that seems to have found another gear. Hitters were looking pretty silly against me yesterday. Am I...Am I an ace?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I was actually thinking of a doing a splitters thing on Wheeler/Houck before kinda pivoting more towards Wheeler/Phillies offense

He's a fascinating pitcher, and I'm a fan of his splitter

Content suggester

12:11

A few weeks ago you mentioned you have a 90-ish year old godfather. How about doing a yearly podcast with him from Florida?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

He still lives in Baltimore! He'll turn 99 in June. I don't think he's into baseball though.

Though he's a noted German historian who wrote a lot about the 20 July plot (and had spoken with every survivor)

12:13

Not sure that necessarily fits with the stuff I do

Oddball Herrera

12:13

I hear that the city of Denver has now thrown its hat into the ring on MLB expansion in a bid to get a major league team there...

Dan Szymborski

12:13

Oof

TomBruno23

12:13

Great Scott II writeup from Other Ben...most damning part is the Siani-Walker-Scott II sub patterns c'mon Oli...

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I briefly had Scott II on my MLB the Show DD team thanks to the 99 speed/steal

Edward Cabrera

12:14

Thx in advance for your help. Are you buying after one start?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I had him on my breakout list!

Dancing on my Own

12:14

How low can Johan Rojas' offensive production be for him to still be a league average player (~2.0 WAR)? What would you put the chance of him reaching that level in the next 2-3 years?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

Assuming he's a +15 run defender, probably 75-80 or so?

Though it's off the cuff

Zips user

12:15

For stats that are scaled against league statistics (as opposed to MLB), do you advocate that they be changed to be MLB-scaled due to the more or less balanced schedule ?

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