JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/2/23

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 3/2/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:01

It's chat time, hopefully!

12:02

I was a little late setting it up becasue I was giving my mom a ride to pick up her car from the mechanic

Seems to be on the front page and I see questions, so cautiously optimistic!

Walla Walla Ron Washington

12:02

Hey Dan! So where are we on the whole ‘lineup protection’ question. A few years ago, didn’t a lot of analysis show that it basically doesn’t exist in the traditional way we think about? Yet I still hear many folks cite it constantly. Has there been any new data?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

I haven't seen anyone tackle this in a new way for quite a while, simply because the studies weren't in the middle

12:05

It was pretty clear that the protection that appears to exist is what's called "Weak protection" meaning, that in extreme cases of difference in ability, intentional walks go up

The argument never dies because it's superficially alluring and difficult to disprove.

De-Lux

12:05

With Lux going down, should the O's finally trade Mateo for some pitching?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Probably not

It's not like it's an obvious upgrade from Rojas

I don't think the Dodgers are particularly motivated to make a move at short as long as both Rojas and Taylor are healthy

12:08

Now, put them in a situation in which Bryson Brigman is suddenly the starter and I think the team would react differently

Curtis Mead

12:08

How much did missing the last 2 months in AAA (and potentially MLB debut) hurt me in terms of projections and overall ZT100?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

Shouldn't be that much. A few spots at most.

OakTreeStatus

12:09

Let’s say 1) Brendan Rodgers is out for the season and 2) Rockies fans courageously continue to find the will to live. What *should* the Rockies do at 2B? McMahon?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

I'd probably want to see if McMahon is open to it. He's a really good 3B with 2B experience.

But in truth, it probably doesn't make a difference

12:11

In this case, then you could get a look at Nolan Jones at third

I mean, what's the worst that could happen, the Rockies not win many games?

12:12

But the Rockies never choose even the very slightly creative route, they'll just stuff whatever they have at 2nd and shrug

Todd Bonzalez

12:12

After that interview on CN the other night, how many people out there think Dan Szymborski (a.k.a "AI Extraordinaire") is the inventor of the AI?

Dan Szymborski

12:12

Probably some, unfortunately

12:13

But they got my credit right! I'm annoyed that the Daily Mail only mentioned my old ESPN gig, not FanGraphs

Zach

12:13

Gotta absolutely feel for Gavin Lux. Were you bullish on him coming into the year? He reportedly had gained 6 mph to his bat speed and put on 15lbs.

Dan Szymborski

12:13

I was relatively bullish, as was ZiPS. Not that he'd be a star, but a solid B+ dude

The whole presidents CNN thing was bad timing because it was right when I was finishing my list and getting my piece ready and it all basically distracted me for a day and broke my Twitter timeline

12:15

But I did get a wonderful image to use out-of-context out of the it

out of it

Boids

12:15

When ZIPS don't know how well a Cardinal is going to do does it just fill in 3 WAR and call it a day?

Dan Szymborski

12:15

2.6

Matt Damon

12:16

MATT. DAMON.

cool

2

trophy

2

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Haven't seen this gag in my chat for a while!

Walton Dilcox

12:16

Have shoulder dislocations ever been so common in the sport?

I’m stunned by the number of dislocated shoulders lately among MLB and MiLB players. Have these always been so common?

Dan Szymborski

12:16

I'm not sure, actually

I think some of the difference in injuries is how things are reported

Like I'm pretty sure shoulder capsules didn't just evolve into humans born in the 90s, but you never heard about that issue before like 2014

Scott C

12:17

What skill set regressed or not progressed for Orelvis Martinez to drop so far?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Hey, you gotta ask Eric and Tess for that one!

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