JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 2/8/24

Dan Szymborski

12:01

If you can't do the chat time, don't do the chat crime

12:02

I don't know what that means either, like most things out of my mouth

the person who asks the lunch question

12:03

what's for lunch?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Nothing, this isn't an eating Thursday

Andy Dufresne

12:03

Are you bullish on Correa exceeding his projections now that the foot (and septum) are fixed?

Dan Szymborski

12:03

Mildly so? I tend to be skeptical over "OK, this fixes the injury thing for good" things

TomBruno23

12:04

Ben Hochman with a column for today's P-D proclaiming Jordan Walker to be the next STL 20 HR 20 SB player and I say to Benjamin it might take Jordan Walker 40 SB Attempts to get 20 SB.

Dan Szymborski

12:04

Probably a little TOO negative

Marlins Man

12:05

Jonah Bride had great stats in triple-a. What’s stopping him from doing this at mlb level?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

It's hard to say, but remember, players are quite volatile. I think he'll be OKish

Anon21

12:05

Max Fried: a Brave in 2025? Atlanta has been gun-shy about free agents in general and have allowed Freeman and Swanson to walk the past two offseasons.

Dan Szymborski

12:05

I actually think they'll work it out

TomBruno23

12:05

Burnes was cool but let's always remember the acquisition for the O's under new ownership was Andrew Suarez. Forever a Cardinal.

The Oriole Bird

12:05

Pickle's Pub: Before game, during game, after game, or all 3? (I once stayed at the hotel right behind it with my kids after going to a game. Pro tip: Ask for a room on the other side of the hotel.)

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I don't usually do places right near the stadium

I rather go to Canton or Fells Point or go over and get some pit beef

SAWA

12:06

Is spring training (squeezed between the season and offseason) a sandwich?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

Only if you can eat it and it's not hinged

Greg

12:07

Do you see a potential upside scenario in the Pirates rotation where Gonzales and Perez provide a serviceable first half of the season and then some combination of Burrows/Brubaker returning from injury plus Skenes/Jones call ups result in a middle-of-the-pack full season rotation scenario for the Pirates?

Dan Szymborski

12:07

It's POSSIBLE, but my money is below average

Richard

12:07

The year is 3034. The Baltimore Orioles have exceeded their ZiPS projections for over 1000 straight years. Dan Szymborski continues to serve his lifetime sentence for Oriole disrespect and slander.
*Orioles Twitter wakes up from its fever dream*

Dan Szymborski

12:07

I think it's a nightmare for people if they have to listen to me for a thousand years

Tim

12:07

Now that we are several years removed from COVID, did the shortened 2020 season impact projection systems in any way? It seems like the general consensus is that the lost season was particularly hard on younger players in the minors, who by now would be entering their age 25, 26 etc. season.

Dan Szymborski

12:08

I haven't really spent enough time looking at the long-term effect

TomBruno23

12:08

The Drive to 85 Wins in the NL Central really could not be more exciting. Oh baby.

Royals and Witt

12:08

Doesn't KC's signing Witt kind of demonstrate the small-market teams can, in fact, afford to compete to keep their players if they're willing to take the initiative?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

Yes

But some teams don't want to pay in risk OR currency

Chat Burglar

12:08

You'll never chat me copper

Richard

12:08

Do you consider deGrom to have more of an injury "reset" after his UCL surgery? Should we expect injury prevalence to mirror other similarly aged pitchers?

Dan Szymborski

12:08

At this point, I have zero idea what to expect

Who's Fabio

12:08

Hey Dan, just for fun, what do the AL ZiPS projected standings look like when you apply your whimsy instead of logic and reasoning? Can you force the non MLB team to kind of compete?

Dan Szymborski

12:09

I'll figure out how to make my cats shut up when I'm on the phone long before I can make the A's compete

Guest

12:09

Does Jackson Merrill play in the majors this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

I wouldn't be surprised to see him pop In and maybe even quite a lot

I'm under the impression that they were at least thinking of it LAST year

And I know they're giving him more time in the outfield in the hopes of him getting some playing time in the majors quickly

12:11