JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 11/14/24

Billy Butler Did It

12:01

What is a realistic move the Royals could make to upgrade the offense?

Dan Szymborski

12:01

I don't see a reason the Royals COULDNT go after Santander. Or at least Joc Pederson

and welcome to SzymChat! With me finally done the ZiPS prep and it rolling out, chats are back

Brad M

12:01

Are we staring down a lockout in 2027? Missed games?

Dan Szymborski

12:02

Sadly, I do not expect a clean CBA agreement and I think it's more likely than not that we miss games

Billy Butler Did It

12:03

What 1980s player would you be most interested in seeing how he would do playing today?

Dan Szymborski

12:04

I kinda want to see what young Rickey would do with EASIER stolen base rules

Kyle

12:04

just take a gander…which team does The Generational Juan Soto sign with?

Dan Szymborski

12:05

I'm gonna say Blue Jays. They're probably a bit sore after losing the LAST big fish at the last moment and where the team is, they either need to PUSH their chips or start over.

Bruno

12:05

Probably random but…the premier12 baseball tournament has been good!

Billy Butler Did It

12:05

Dave Szymborski update?

Dan Szymborski

12:06

I haven't had much Dave Szymborski stuff lately. There was some Donald Szymborski spam about three months ago but haven't seen much since (or Gmail is filtering it better)

12:08

I *do* seem to have gotten onto the VMI Alumni email list and I'm pretty sure a D___ Szymborski has to be responsible. After all, I think I'd remember relocating to Virginia and Jesuits and military guys dress very differently

And I was *never* in shape enough or neat enough or disciplined enough or many other things to have been in a military academy!

Taryn

12:09

Let’s assume the Yanks sign Soto…what other players do they go after? Trade for Josh Naylor?

Dan Szymborski

12:10

I could see them go after Alex Bregman

Roki

12:10

Why haven’t I already signed with the Dodgers? Let’s not waste everyone’s time

Dan Szymborski

12:10

I th ink there's a whole process!

Billy Butler Did It

12:10

Thinking of making a BLT for lunch. Do you do anything special aside from the three eponymous ingredients? (Avocado is a no go due to ripeness).

Dan Szymborski

12:10

I don't care for even nice lettuce with bacon for some reason

12:11

I'm having a reuben variant right now. Gruyere and since the grocery store only sold Russian dressing in boxes of like 10, I had to dump the bottle of Thousand Island in the blender and doctor it up (horseradish, smoked paprika, pickled garlic)

Williams

12:11

Are we looking at expansion once the new CBA is signed in 2 years?

Dan Szymborski

12:11

I think no

12:12

There are still a couple of blackmail stadiums to get out of venal, cowardly politicians

Norm

12:13

Tigers desperately need a RH bat with power. Who would you be targeting if you were Scott Harris?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

switch-hitting Santander probably. There aren't a whole ton of OFs to choose from

Nervous Flyball Pitcher

12:14

Do FIP and xFIP "hold up" in the minors? My understanding is that DIPS depends on pitchers living in a narrow band of contact suppression. Hard to imagine that being the case in the minors, especially below AA.

Dan Szymborski

12:14

As you go down, it holds up less and less. It still MOSTLY holds up in the high minors, as you imagine

12:16

When we talk about things like FIP, we're talking at the very elite level of play. In the elite group of everything, there aer going to be characteristics present that aren't in a non-elite group

12:17

If you're using FIP for your little league team, you're probably a dumbass and doing more harm to the kids than good

Billy Butler Did It

12:17

Are projection systems more accurate now than they were 15 years ago? If so, how much has statcast and similar data played a role in the improvement?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

ZiPS is, though you're not going to get groundbreaking changes

Especially when you talk just that bottom line middle number

Scotty

12:17

Danny Zips! What does ZIPs think is a fair deal for Soto? Does it eclipse the $600 million mark?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Last I checked, ZiPS thought 13/620

Billy Butler Did It

12:18

The worst current GM in baseball gets transported back to the 1977 to run the expansion Seattle Mariners. How quickly could he turn that terrible team into a winner?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

There still are a couple pretty lousy GMs

12:19

And even ones that aren't lousy by saddled by lousy ownership, I don't think the Mariners ownership in 1977 gets better too

Chase

12:19

Need some hope as an Angels fan. Feels like the offseason from a few years ago (depth moves like Drury, Urshela, etc.), nothing we can do makes us a playoff team but I'd even take some more moves to get to .500

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Honestly, I don't have a lot of hope to offer

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