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Craig Edwards FanGraphs Chat--1/30/2020
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Craig Edwards
2:04
Let's get things rolling.
Guest
2:04
Hello, thoughts on soroka? Is he the real deal or did he pitch way over his head?
Craig Edwards
2:06
Both can be true. He was a four-win pitcher by FIP last season, and he got a lot of sequencing luck that pushed his ERA well below three. A mid-threes ERA is more likely next season, but that still makes him a solid pitcher.
Josh Nelson
2:06
Over/Under 105.5 wins for the Dodgers if they acquire Mookie Betts?
Craig Edwards
2:07
I don't what it would take for me to go the over on 105.5, but Mookie still wouldn't get me to make that call. Too much pitching can go bad that might prevent that outcome no matter how good the lineup is. And the lineup would be pretty amazing.
Overbearing Padre
2:08
When Mookie DOES hit free agency, who would you say are his most likely suitors? It'd be pretty rough if the Pads sell some of the farm to get Betts just to see him sign with the Dodgers in a year.
Craig Edwards
2:11
The Padres would still have a very good farm plus Betts for a season and they'd get a draft pick in the low-30s after he's gone. As for suitors, the Dodgers and Rangers come immediately to mind. Depending on what the Cubs situation looks like at that time, they would probably fit as well. I also wouldn't count out a team like the Mariners trying to make a splash and accelerate the rebuild.
jill
2:11
Can Alex Reyes contribute to the cardinals this year or am i just getting my hopes up
Craig Edwards
2:12
Yes to both. I think now is the time of year to get your hopes up about players like Alex Reyes. He's still tremendously talented. He'll be in the bullpen for sure this year if he can make an impact. The odds of him being an impact player aren't great, but its okay to dream a bit now.
Kurupt FM
2:13
How much shine has come off Vladito? You can see a path where he becomes a ground ball prone 1B/DH type who contributes negatively defensively and on the basepaths.
Craig Edwards
2:15
Little to none, I think. There was always a strong possibility he'd end up as a 1B/DH. After the first couple weeks, he was a comfortably above-average MLB hitter at 20 years old. If he's getting in better shape, he could be an all-star as soon as this season.
Johnny5Alive
2:16
Mets have a lot of money coming off next year, they could be players for mookie too! i mean they are the mets, so they wont be, but they could be!
Craig Edwards
2:16
They could be. I wouldn't count on it, but they could be.
MTL
2:17
Do you envision the rise of a particular type of specialty player in the 26th roster spot? No-hit speed demon? 5-position defensive whiz? Immobile pinch-hit slugger?
Craig Edwards
2:18
I think it is going to be different for every team. there might be a speed demon assuming there's really good defense with it for late in games. The extra RH bat on the bench who can only DH or play first base, the third catcher, too. It will depend on what a team needs and what player they have to fill that role.
Guest
2:19
RosterResource estimated payroll for the Yankees is 249M. There's no way they go 1 million over the 3rd luxury tax level right? That would be super inefficient
Craig Edwards
2:20
The competitive balance tax payroll is up over $260 million so they might already be there unless they get rid of a lot more than a million. https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/payroll/yankees
Big Joe Mufferaw
2:21
Is there something in the CBA that limits the amount of cash teams are allowed to "give" in trades? To avoid, 'buying' players
Craig Edwards
2:21
No, but they all have to be approved by the Commissioner's office to prevent teams from doing that too much.
Nick Martin
2:22
What do you think about the chances of the Marlins being the 3rd team in the potential BOS-SD Betts trade or the potential COL-NYY Arenado trade?  The Marlins FO has done a great job rebuilding the Farm System, but the one question they've yet to answer is will they spend money.  Granted spending big money one Free Agents doesn't make a lot of sense for them right now, so instead maybe use some of that cash that they aren't spending on the major league club on eating undesirable contracts and thus accumulating more quality prospects so come 2021 and 2022 they'll really be ready to rock.
Craig Edwards
2:22
That's a good strategy to get more talent, but I'm not sure I see the Marlins going there. Old habits and whatnot.
Matt
2:22
What team is Kris Bryant playing for on Opening Day?
Craig Edwards
2:23
Braves?
bigleaguelou
2:23
If Tatis Jr.'s struggles with routine throws continue, do you think it makes sense to try him in CF?
Craig Edwards
2:24
I think he'll be given a lot of time at shortstop. He has all the skills to stay there so it doesn't make a ton of sense to move him until he proves he can't do it. He was still a very valuable player with all the mistakes last season.
Sir Nerdlington
2:24
Let's solve the CBA. Who balks? (heh)  Owners get: 50% Rev share and international draft.  Players get: year of service time if called up prior to 9/1, increased minimum salary to $1M, free agency after five years.
Craig Edwards
2:25
The players. None of the things the players get benefit them as much if the revenue share is limited.
Llango
2:25
What can we expect from Hiura, bichette, and moncada. All breakout players?
Craig Edwards
2:27
Moncada already broke out. Hiura and Bichette probably won't hit as well as he did last year, but they'll still be good players.
BarryBondsJuicedForOurSins
2:27
Dustin May isn't in the Dodgers projected rotation.  Not a question, just pointing that because damn.
Craig Edwards
2:29
Given how starting pitching works out during the year, particularly with the Dodgers, May is going to get a lot of starts. The Dodgers have a bunch of questionable depth guys in Wood, Nelson, Stripling, Goselin and all of them will get chances in the rotation and maybe bullpen as well. It's enviable depth.
Zac Gallen
2:29
Is my upside a #2 SP?
Craig Edwards
2:29
Seems about right.
BarryBondsJuicedForOurSins
2:30
Brusdar Graterol - how do you think his season will go?
Craig Edwards
2:30
I think above-average reliever and a handful of below average starts.
Brian
2:30
How worried are you that Eugenio Suarez's shoulder injury will impact his bat?
Craig Edwards
2:31
Fairly worried, especially given he won't really get the ramp up time that spring training usually provides.
burts_beads
2:34
No concerns about Moncada and his .400+ BABIP in 2019?
Craig Edwards
2:35
No. He hits the ball really hard and was nearly a six-win player last year. It could drop to .340 and he'd still be a four-win player.
Guest
2:35
What do you see happening with Andujar?
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