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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 8-27-2019
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Mark
3:48
I know SS is deep but can Bo Bichette be a top 5 contributor at the position as early as next year?
Brad Johnson
3:49
That's his ceiling, but it's not a likely outcome
As you mentioned, there are just so many good SS in the league. You even have guys like Marcus Semien kicking around. You don't think of him as a Top 10 SS even but he's one of the best this season
3:50
I think Bichette can be safely expected to perform like a typical Semien year
(and let's not forget the .416 BABIP)
Evan
3:50
Domingo German has had a great year; however, his HR issues seem out of control. How do you think he can go about limiting the long ball and what do you think the likelyhood of him taking a step forward in that regard in 2020 is?
Brad Johnson
3:51
For me, this is a a little bit of a random number generator scenario. Shane Bieber looked like he was going to have huge HR problems and they suddenly vanished. Other guys looked safe and fell apart
3:52
I would hazard there's a solid chance - somewhere in the 20-50% range - he'll regress to the mean
I should add "all the way to the mean"
Sum
3:52
Brad, I had this idea while in the shower last night - Shadow Fantasy Baseball. You set up a parallel league where all the rosters start out the same as your regular league, after the draft, and the scoring is all the same. Except you start out with another team's roster. You know whether you won or lost that week, or your position in the cats, but you don't know which other teams are ahead/behind, and you can't see their rosters or moves; you can only see which players are available/on rosters. you can see all players' stats, just not for which team they're playing. what do you think? do you know of any platforms that are capable of this type of blindness?
Brad Johnson
3:53
I'm not sure I follow it completely, but I do like the idea of playing blind to your opponents. I think you'd have to start from scratch platform-wise. Maybe FanTrax would support it if you paid them for the dev time
Ryan
3:53
Devers has had a breakout season at the dish, but Adell's fantasy stock has seemed to rise this year. Who do you prefer in 14-team, keep forever dynasty league?
Brad Johnson
3:54
Gimme the proven guy over the prospect 9 times out of 10
If Devers were 26, it'd be a different conversation
Snowy
3:54
Thoughts on Senzel possibly returning to 2nd base next year?
Brad Johnson
3:54
If he does, it's probably in a platoon role. VanMeter is legit, although they're doing too good a job of hiding him from LHP. He needs experience against southpaws to be a true full timer
3:55
Personally, I prefer VM at 2B and Senzel in the OF
They could disagree with me :)
Jonesing for Andruw
3:55
Am I being myopic in looking to NOT keep Sale in a keeper league (6 keepers for 2 more years, with draft round penalty in 12 team mixed league, keeping Contreras, Bryant, Greinke, Soto, Arenado) and supplanting him with one of Bichette, W. Smith (the catcher), Sano, Suarez?  And if I replaced, what would your order be?
Brad Johnson
3:56
I assume you can't trade him.
3:57
Personally, of the guys you listed, I'd keep Soto, Arenado, Bryant, Suarez, Smith, and Bichette as of today. Things could change over the next month which is why....
...try not to send too many keeper related questions today. The standard response is: let's wait and see.
wrt Sale in particular, let's wait and see.
Get Rich Or Die Tryin'
3:57
Who are some of your fav buy-low candidates right now?
Brad Johnson
3:58
For keeper/dynasty, anybody injured
For redraft, gimme a moment to digest this
3:59
Maybe JUpton, Nate Lowe, Emanuel Clase, I can't think of a SP
Tried to give a scattering of choices
Jeet
3:59
I've lost JRam and there are no good replacements on the wire.  Any 3B prospects you can see being  a September callup and given decent playing time?
Brad Johnson
3:59
I assume Toro-Hernandez is out?
4:00
The Phillies *might* be desperate enough to call up Alec Bohm. I'd say that's a 5% outcome at best.
4:01
I'll have to research this more later because I find I'm more unaware of potential answers than I should be. All the guys I thought might be September guys (like Toro) are already active.
Sara Yost
4:01
What you take on Julio Urias the 2020 starter? Seems to be a wide range of takes on where he stacks up.
Brad Johnson
4:02
Yes, he's a volatile asset
Ryan
4:02
Do you think Toro is fantasy relevant in a 15 team 5x5?
Brad Johnson
4:02
So long as it's also a CI league
And only until Correa is back. It's a short window
hi
4:02
Are you still starting Bauer at every turn or is it worth playing matchups with Matz/Heaney (12 TM H2H QS league)
Ryan
4:03
fgpnts: I was offered a 15$ Bauer for my 4$ Semein and 1$ Luke Weaver.  That's a little steep for Semein no?
Brad Johnson
4:03
I'm kinda out on Bauer right now
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