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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 6-12-2018
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Stonecutter
4:00
In need of steals. Would you trade Correa for Turner?
Brad Johnson
4:01
Yea, classic swap
I've definitely won seasons trading a better player for Dee Gordon. Turner has better all-around production and similar stealing ability
Big Tuna
4:02
With Soroka coming off the DL in a 12 tm, would you drop Kingham or Manaea?
Brad Johnson
4:02
I would
I think Soroka has a slightly more stable profile than them.
They're similar assets though
Andy
4:02
Michael A. Taylor remains unowned in my 12 team mixed league.  I have to pick him up, right?
Brad Johnson
4:02
Well... With Eaton back and Soto continuing to play like a top 40 hitter, I'm not sure there's a role for him.
JayA
4:03
Is this the time to buy low on Ozzie Albies? Or are you concerned about his recent struggles?
Brad Johnson
4:03
This is the other shoe I was waiting for to drop all season. I don't think you'll get a "low" price yet
There are flaws in his approach, and we're seeing what can happen with them
Vegan Man!
4:03
Andrus for Semien and Kelvin Herrera / Boxberger in a 12 team roto? If so, which closer would you rather own ROS? Thanks!
Brad Johnson
4:04
Well, that depends on the saves needs of you and your trade partner
4:05
Definitely prefer Andrus over Semien, but it's not a guarantee Andrus will rebound from injury
Let's back up a step
This applies to this trade and the Correa/Turner comment
4:06
We're at the point of the season when roto points start to matter more than this soft concept of "value" we use early in the season.
I tend to approach the first couple months as building as strong a roster as I can and letting them accrue stats. Then I go into problem solving mode in June/July
4:07
So trades should be judged on the merits of the roto points they'll deliver.
4:08
Ideally, use a sophisticated projection system to estimate league wide performance
Lacking that, just eyeball how many points you stand to gain and lose in best/worst case scenarios.
Dylan Covey
4:08
Hi Brad! What do you make of my performance thus far and how do you see me doing for the rest of the season?
Brad Johnson
4:09
The rest of the season is a shrug. I can't say I think the skill set lends itself to continued success. However, his velocity is up, and he's induced a tidy GB rate
4:10
I kinda think he needs better breaking stuff
Biggy
4:10
Time to get off the Arrieta train?  See who thinks he’s still an ace?
Brad Johnson
4:10
Yes. Might be too late.
Jake Junis Priest
4:10
Curious about Jose Miguel Fernandez. AL Only OBP: him or Brock Holt?
Big Tuna
4:10
José Fernandez or Brown Anderson as bench stash in a 12 tm OPS league?
Brad Johnson
4:10
dunno about Brown Anderson :)
4:11
I assume that's an ask about "Brian." I would choose Anderson if so
As for Fernandez, decent lotto ticket as a fill in to Shohei
He's 30 so it's not like he needs to develop
4:12
He either hits or goes away. Might be a little like Yuli in that the power doesn't play as much as you'd like
4:13
Made a lot of contact in the minors, but could be more of a Quad-A bat.
Max Muncy
4:13
You on my bandwagon?!?
Brad Johnson
4:13
Oh yea
I one of the first pushing it
He's a clone of Brandon Nimmo except with better power and less speed
4:14
and better positions
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