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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 2-18-2020
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Brad Johnson
3:57
Let's start this shindig
Who has something poll worthy?
Jack
3:58
How do you interpret slash lines against a pitch? Is it only when the pitch ends the at-bat (hit, walk, strikeout, out)?
Brad Johnson
3:58
Exactly
3:59
Would the Dodgers have defeated the 2017 Astros?
Yes (42.3% | 52 votes)
 
No (21.1% | 26 votes)
 
Don't care (36.6% | 45 votes)
 
Total Votes: 123
Guest
3:59
not fantasy but fun for a poll. would the dodgers have won if the astros hadnt stole signs?
Reuben
3:59
Would you play in a WAR league?
Brad Johnson
3:59
I have! You gotta do them as bestball unless you have a very active commish.
4:00
It was one of my early Experimental Leagues which presaged my Highly Custom Leagues series.
Vader
4:00
Hi Paul! Need some keeper advice for H2H keep for 1 year.

I’ve got 2 spots left, and have to decide between Meadows, L Castillo, Darvish and Urias.

Pitching seems to be at a premium in our league, especially starters who qualify as relievers. Just don’t know if Urias will get the starts/innings. Help!
Brad Johnson
4:01
What's up Jimmy! I think Zac Gallen fits the bill.
(Meadows and Darvish imo. Can do Meadows/Castillo though if you're worried about pitching.)
Reuben
4:01
I am said commisioner. My league is really excited. I’ll look into bestball for next year.
Brad Johnson
4:01
So you need to be very careful with the defensive components.
Reporting lags by a couple weeks on uzr for example
at least it did the last time I talked to Appelman about it
4:02
I couldn't conceive of a way to total it on a weekly basis with any kind of accuracy.
Enlightening Round
4:03
What kind of trade value would you put on Kluber at $25, points league, aprox. cap of $350, think he outearns that?  I'm torn as to what to expect from him this year
Brad Johnson
4:03
Very low trade value.
Probably about a $22-24 pitcher in a $350 cap. So he's keepable, but not really a dude. You're going to get some other par value contract.
dave in slc
4:04
what kind of year to you expect from caleb smith? worth $10 in an NL only?
Brad Johnson
4:04
My gut reaction is this is a tad rich but not outlandish. I'd prefer to pay $8, but that's splitting hairs.
You're going to get strikeouts, maybe slightly minus rates, and a double-minus win total.
4:05
Which in NL Only isn't a bad package.
Brian K
4:05
Hi Brad....12 team mixer w moderate inflation. Torn about keeping Kingery $6 and J Urias at $6. 3 yr keeper league so 2019 would be 2nd yr and 2021 would be last. $11 price tag in 21' . Thank you
Brad Johnson
4:05
Go for Urias imo
He could give you ace-like production on the upside. Kingery's upside is solid fantasy utility guy.
Siri
4:06
O/U 25 HRs and .340 OBP for JD Davis?
Brad Johnson
4:06
Smart betting is probably under/under.
I'll be a little bold and say under/over
4:07
He still has a few obstacles to full time PAs
I think he'll get there when the dust clears, but I'm factoring it in for now.
kev
4:08
operating, anecdotally, under the assumption that atc is generally the most conservative public projection system, which public projection system is closest to, by your definition, an observed 99 percentile projection rather than an observed 50th
Brad Johnson
4:09
We've discontinued it this year but The FANS was always running around a 66th percentile projection. PECOTA used to do percentile outcomes for everyone. I haven't looked in recent years.
Dave
4:09
Why'd you pass on Mondesi in round 5?
Brad Johnson
4:09
OBP league. Easy pass.
I honestly thought he'd get back to me in the 6th or 7th.
4:10
Especially with this crowd (talking Tout Wars D&H)
Aiden
4:10
Gotta pick 1 in a points league: Soroka, Wheeler, Matthew Boyd. No cost associated.
Brad Johnson
4:10
Soroka for me.
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