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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 12-17-2019
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Brad Johnson
3:46
Welcome. Let's kick this off.
Dave F.
3:47
When will the ATC projections be released?
Brad Johnson
3:48
You should ask @ATCNY on twitter. Or otherwise harass Ariel.
3:49
Some "hot" takes while we wait on some questions.
3:50
1. The Diamondbacks are addicted to playing in the pricey end of the pitching pool. And, as they didn't regret the Greinke signing, I don't think they'll come out on the wrong end of the Bumgarner signing
Granted pitcher injuries are always a risk
3:51
But normal aging looks like a pretty good outcome for Bumgarner. I know I'm in the minority, but I preferred him to Wheeler this winter. And my fantasy preferences are the same.
Dave
3:51
What do you think Julio Urias's 2020 line looks like?
Brad Johnson
3:51
120 IP, about a K per inning
maybe a high 3s ERA and 1.20s WHIP?
3:52
Might as well see how he's used first before thinking about win rate. Lower rates if relieving, but not good enough to use in 12-mixed.
Guest
3:52
What's the best outcome for Senzel this year? Top ___ OF?
Brad Johnson
3:53
I mean, the best case scenario has to be something like 25 HR, 20 SB, and a .300 AVG while hitting in a mid-lineup role.
I don't think that's a *likely* scenario
but it is around the upper bound of what's plausible
3:54
So that's, what? Wherever Brett Gardner was ranked?
Brantley?
Highway61
3:54
Do you ever play on Yahoo? Do you have any pull with the fantasy guys? It's 2019 and we can't download the player pool into excel. Oh, and Shoetani is two different players. Where do you play?
Brad Johnson
3:55
I've been moving off Yahoo pretty consistently. At one point, I probably had 8 or 10 leagues with them
Now I'm down to 2, and my involvement is very perfunctory
I used to have a decent online relationship with Pianowski, but we haven't talked in ages
3:56
I've given up making suggestions. It's clear they have no intention of improving the product. Yahoo will ride what they have off into the sunset with AOL and hotmail.
That's my read of the situation
FanTrax is the obvious replacement
3:57
It can be clunky at times which is a function of its flexibility.
Yahoo is a pretty tight application because it's extremely narrow in scope. FanTrax has the exact opposite problem.
Darren
3:57
Thoughts on fantasy impact of on Kwang-Hyun Kim to the Cardinals? Deep league target?
Brad Johnson
3:57
Yea, I think fliers are warranted until we know more.
Jake
3:58
What are your thoughts on Omar Narvaez? I'm going back and forth on him for Ottoneu. He was great last year and the move to MIL is better, but his Statcast data says he overperformed.
Brad Johnson
3:58
He's also soooo bad defensively
A so-called contender can't afford to be too aggressive with starting him, especially because the Brewers tend to squeeze every last drop they can out of pitcher usage
Everybody said that was an obvious move, but I thought it was a terrible fit all along.
4:00
Offensively, I think he'll earn decently for a catcher. If you have spare cash, keep him (under $5 I assume?). Don't cry if you need that money elsewhere for a big play.
Guest
4:00
DJL or Semien 2020 only? OBP/SLG league, no AVG
Brad Johnson
4:01
That's a sufficiently tricky question. I'll say Semien today just on the off chance the Yankees put together some kind of playing time crunch in the infield.
I think you could flip a coin. Or decide based on your positional needs. If you're thinking for MI, then decide which of 2B/SS has a weaker starter.
Rusty
4:01
In re-drafts like NFBC DCs, how much of a team's success is about identifying market/adp inefficiency vs. wise roster construction?
Brad Johnson
4:02
I tend to think roster construction is massively undervalued. I consider that my bread and butter, and I know I'm only middling with adp efficiency.
Stock
4:02
Does Miley teaming up with Derek Johnson again spike your interest in him?  Is he a 12 team mixed league play option?
Brad Johnson
4:03
Not really. I don't see anything in the profile telling me he has something latent waiting to be unlocked.
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