JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/6/23

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Ben Clemens

2:01

Hey everybody, welcome to the chat

Let's talk some baseball, and maybe some improvised wok recipes if you have any, because I made a spin on kung pao chickpeas last night and I was very proud of it

Mer

2:02

Vegas has Mets and Braves at 94.5 wins over or under for both?

Ben Clemens

2:02

Oof, that's a good line. I think I'd lean over on both for choice but there's negative correlation of course, so I'd probably pick the two I like more and go over on that

Who's Fabio

2:02

Hey Ben - just curious is you have ever skied the interior of BC? Big White, Revelstoke, Sun Peaks are my favourite. Have you ever done a powder highway trip, different mountain every day for a week or so?

Ben Clemens

2:03

I wish, we've talked about doing just that but never actually done it

I've skied Banff, all three resorts there, and that was awesome, but Revelstoke is still on my ski bucket list

Justin

2:03

I'm getting into collecting baseball cards again. Any advice?

Ben Clemens

2:03

Talk to someone who knows what they're doing instead of me, I just hoard the cards i had when I was a kid

Well-Beered Englishman

2:04

Purely from an entertainment standpoint - not necessarily quality, just fun to watch on TV - which teams are you most excited to watch this year?

Ben Clemens

2:04

I'm excited to watch the Guardians because they run a lot and put the ball in play, and the Angels because of the star power

I also enjoy the Giants because they do weird stuff, and the Padres b/c I love Soto

Guest

2:04

Will assume that the "Mid-Tier Hitters I Like" article will be making a return this year. In your mind, is Eduard Julien worthy of appearing on it, or would he not qualify based on how he might be ranked in upcoming rankings?

Ben Clemens

2:04

I would assume that he's too good of a prospect to be included

Guest

2:04

Could somebody PLEASE! fix that depth chart projecting Mike Trout to get 658 plate appearances over 152 games?? It's been 7 years since Trout met those numbers. 4 years since he came within the same Zip Code of them.

Ben Clemens

2:04

That's just not how Depth Charts work

2:05

They're going to consistently overproject playing time for everyone because they generally don't project injuries

Look at deGrom; he has 172 projected IP in depth charts and 100.7 projected by ZiPS

2:06

The point of them is to project how teams will operate at full strength. Jason does them manually

Jack B.

2:06

How are those OOTP leagues you were a part of going?

Ben Clemens

2:06

I made the playoffs this year as the Phillies in MEB. I also was on vacation when the Rule 5 draft happened so lost a top 10 prospect in baseball

So, up and down!

No fake, it's Dan McGrew

2:06

Who puts up more combined WAR: Cole/Rodon or Gaussman/Manoah? Got a bet with a friend on this

Ben Clemens

2:07

I'd take Cole/Rodon but it's a very good bet, seems quite close

Insert Witty Name Here

2:07

Who said this quote you mentioned in a recent article: “It was an insurance run, so I hit it to the Prudential Building”?

Ben Clemens

2:07

Reggie Jackson

GBS42

2:07

Lost Cities (original card game) vs. Splendor: do you have a favorite? My partner and I enjoy the nice balance between luck and skill both offer. And would you take Carcassonne over either/both of them?

Ben Clemens

2:07

I was not a huge fan of Splendor when I played it, whereas I have played a ton of Lost Cities and think it's a wonderful game to take on vacation, which gives it a big boost in my book

2:08

I have heard Splendor is very good, so I think I just had a bad experience or was in a bad mood that day or something

I think Carcassonne is better with 3-4, so I'd say Lost Cities for 2 and Carcassonne above t hat

No fake, it's Dan McGrew

2:08

have you ever played stratomatic baseball?

Ben Clemens

2:09

Oh yes, I grew up playing it. I lived with my dad for the summer in middle/high school and didn't know many people where he lived, so I bought Strat-o-Matic, drafted my own teams, and would play long series with them, either me against myself or me against my dad

Reds West

2:09

Who do you think will have the better 2023 season: Eugenio Suarez or Winker?

Ben Clemens

2:10

This might just be me refusing to accept logic, so take it with a grain of salt

but Winker!

I just have a hard time believing in Suarez, and I always have, even when he was popping 4 WAR seasons regularly

2:11

that style of production (k's and homers without massive raw power) just sticks in my head as likely to fail, like an upscale version of Keston Hiura

Chuck

2:11

Michael Harris ... You like his EVs, but some (KLaw) worry about his approach. Seems like a low floor, high ceiling guy. Do you think he meets his projections?

Ben Clemens

2:11

I also worry about his approach

I left him off the top 50 trade value last year b/c of questions about his approach, which in retrospect was a mistake (obv)

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